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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hornets49%9996
28Kings51%100112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.9
41.7
23.7
8
50%
2
4
2
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
2-6
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
40.1
35.0
24
64%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
6-6
100%
9-16
7-15
56%
48%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
31.8
24.3
20
78%
11
0
0
1
3
0
6
5
2-4
50%
9-11
3-6
82%
54%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.3
31.4
30.2
11
43%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
5-10
5-11
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.9
30.9
21.2
10
53%
8
3
2
1
1
4
1
7
8-8
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
27.7
22.7
10
33%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
48%
2-7
29%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.8
13.2
19.6
4
100%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.2
9.1
12.6
9
64%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
7.8
13.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
6.3
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
6.1
0
1-1
49%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
5.7
0
0-1
44%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.5
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
45.6
28.4
22
68%
14
1
0
1
0
2
4
10
6-7
86%
8-13
4-9
62%
50%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.2
40.2
35.5
14
44%
1
4
0
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.0
20.0
23.0
13
54%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
3-6
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.3
19.7
10.8
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.8
18.8
21.5
7
44%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.4
29.3
26.1
12
55%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
25.3
26.7
13
111%
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-3
3-7
100%
50%
2-2
100%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.5
24.0
17.8
24
76%
2
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
44%
2-4
50%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.7
16.6
14.3
5
64%
8
0
0
0
0
2
4
4
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
0.5
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.6
25.0
0
4-7
50%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.7
4.0
0
1-1
47%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.8
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.