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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Grizzlies20%9693
10Jazz80%107120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
38.7
15.6
17
60%
4
0
1
0
1
4
1
3
3-5
60%
7-11
2-5
64%
45%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
37.1
37.5
20
68%
3
1
2
1
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
7-11
4-10
64%
46%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
34.5
35.1
15
51%
9
1
1
1
0
3
4
5
3-4
75%
6-13
7-14
46%
47%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.8
31.2
37.4
5
29%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-8
38%
1-5
5-10
20%
55%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.8
30.6
23.3
8
28%
2
7
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
3-10
2-5
30%
41%
0-3
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
24.5
5.8
17
66%
2
6
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-9
0-1
67%
40%
1-3
33%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.3
17.4
8.1
6
75%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.8
13.4
13.0
2
33%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
9.1
2.0
1
18%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-4
25%
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.5
3.3
1.2
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
38.9
1
6-13
48%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
22.0
1
2-5
44%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.7
41.9
38.2
25
74%
3
1
3
2
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
10-13
5-9
77%
56%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
39.0
37.7
22
69%
2
6
2
1
0
5
0
2
1-2
50%
6-10
6-11
60%
54%
3-5
60%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.1
38.2
24.6
17
102%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.0
32.4
34.1
24
72%
15
7
3
1
1
2
1
14
6-6
100%
9-14
8-14
64%
55%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
15.3
27.9
5
87%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
4-8
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
24.9
18.1
10
39%
4
5
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
49%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
23.7
22.8
4
30%
3
3
0
1
3
0
1
2
4-4
100%
0-5
4-7
0%
56%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.9
20.2
9.2
11
80%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
5-6
1-2
83%
57%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.8
4.4
3.2
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
23.8
1
3-6
52%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.7
6.9
0
0-1
49%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.5
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.