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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers47%107107
22Warriors53%108126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.6
38.9
36.0
22
56%
7
2
3
1
1
5
2
5
6-6
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
48%
2-6
33%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.7
32.6
27.2
17
54%
6
4
2
1
1
4
1
5
3-4
75%
7-12
4-8
58%
48%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.6
31.0
28.3
4
25%
10
4
0
1
0
1
1
9
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
0-3
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
23.4
17.1
9
71%
9
4
2
1
2
3
6
3
1-3
33%
4-5
1-3
80%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
15.5
29.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
32.1
29.7
21
56%
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
5-6
83%
8-15
5-10
53%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.2
23.2
21.1
22
64%
3
0
2
1
0
3
0
3
7-7
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
1-6
17%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.5
22.3
21.2
6
34%
3
3
0
1
0
4
1
2
2-4
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.0
10.8
18.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.1
10.2
12.9
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
11.8
0
1-3
47%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
9.5
0
1-2
54%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.8
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.8
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
42.0
38.8
45
66%
5
1
5
2
0
7
1
4
14-16
88%
14-25
9-18
56%
51%
1-2
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
40.5
32.2
18
73%
6
2
2
1
0
1
0
6
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
4-6
67%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
23.9
31.5
2
25%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
19.8
33.9
7
60%
2
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.1
17.7
15.1
2
33%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
34.9
17.6
18
80%
4
6
3
1
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
2-3
67%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
29.4
26.0
14
55%
6
6
1
1
0
6
1
5
4-6
67%
5-7
5-9
71%
50%
0-3
0%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
12.3
11.1
8
103%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.4
11.1
21.2
12
87%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
48%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.9
8.4
11.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
7.8
0
1-2
45%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
6.2
0
1-1
60%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.6
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.0
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.