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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Wizards36%103106
13Raptors64%107102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
43.1
33.6
30
59%
12
2
1
1
1
2
0
12
4-8
50%
10-16
6-11
63%
49%
2-6
33%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
38.6
31.8
22
57%
4
9
1
1
1
1
0
4
5-5
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
47%
3-7
43%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
38.3
32.8
19
65%
7
1
3
1
1
3
0
7
6-6
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.0
35.4
28.9
15
55%
9
0
2
1
3
1
7
2
1-8
13%
7-10
4-7
70%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
30.1
23.8
6
33%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.5
21.5
18.2
8
45%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
10.8
20.9
4
69%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
9.7
7.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
6.7
14.4
2
41%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.2
5.9
12.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
7.3
0
1-1
58%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
6.7
0
0-1
42%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.4
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.8
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.7
40.0
35.6
22
42%
14
2
0
1
0
3
3
11
8-9
89%
7-22
8-16
32%
51%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.7
38.6
33.5
13
48%
9
6
0
1
1
4
1
8
5-6
83%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
2-8
25%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
37.0
31.8
20
78%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
8-11
4-6
73%
55%
1-1
100%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.1
35.3
31.2
20
67%
11
1
0
1
1
2
4
7
2-2
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
48%
2-4
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.3
15.8
19.5
2
25%
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
27.1
24.7
18
71%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
2-4
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.6
20.6
17.7
2
27%
7
1
0
1
0
0
4
3
2-4
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
60%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
18.9
19.0
5
36%
2
0
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
6.5
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
0.1
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.5
6.4
0
1-2
53%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
4.1
0
1-1
47%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.5
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.