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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat31%91107
8Trail Blazers69%97100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.6
40.0
16.7
20
67%
9
2
1
0
1
0
0
9
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
42%
4-10
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.9
37.5
37.0
22
52%
5
12
1
2
0
3
3
2
4-7
57%
9-17
7-15
53%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
36.6
34.0
27
67%
8
0
1
1
1
2
1
7
11-12
92%
8-14
6-12
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
27.8
32.4
14
56%
5
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-1
0%
7-12
5-10
58%
47%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
21.9
33.2
6
69%
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
1
1-3
33%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.2
26.1
31.0
6
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
2-3
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
22.2
26.2
6
51%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.3
10.5
12.1
4
69%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
9.4
8.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.0
8.0
3.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.6
16.4
0
1-2
37%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
1.4
0
0-0
46%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 26.0
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.4
42.5
35.6
25
46%
5
5
1
1
0
3
3
2
4-5
80%
6-17
6-11
35%
50%
3-8
38%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
30.5
28.8
11
37%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-8
2-4
25%
47%
2-6
33%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.9
30.1
25.4
13
39%
20
2
1
1
4
1
11
9
5-8
63%
4-13
4-8
31%
58%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.8
24.7
24.8
9
75%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
3-5
60%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
18.6
10.5
6
41%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-3
67%
2-6
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.7
31.9
17.3
18
63%
3
6
0
1
0
3
1
2
10-12
83%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.8
26.6
4.5
14
79%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
6-8
1-1
75%
45%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.7
18.0
25.0
2
20%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.1
13.8
18.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
3.4
11.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
34.7
1
7-13
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.2
5.2
0
1-2
46%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.0
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.