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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hornets15%9199
4Lakers85%105110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.3
33.8
30.0
20
63%
2
5
2
1
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
5-10
4-11
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
32.1
28.0
17
75%
12
1
2
1
0
0
2
10
3-3
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
52%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.9
29.8
32.9
7
58%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
27.3
37.2
8
44%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
7-15
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.9
24.8
26.2
6
28%
3
8
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-5
2-6
20%
40%
0-4
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
24.9
25.1
9
45%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-8
60%
43%
1-5
20%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.8
20.7
15.6
12
75%
3
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.2
17.3
10.6
10
45%
0
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
1-3
56%
43%
0-2
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
16.5
5.9
7
51%
5
3
1
0
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
12.8
11.6
3
39%
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.1
33.7
28.1
21
89%
9
3
0
0
0
1
0
9
3-4
75%
9-10
6-10
90%
57%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
32.5
31.6
18
66%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
3-6
8-16
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.4
28.6
32.7
14
70%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
8-9
89%
3-6
6-10
50%
56%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
27.1
29.6
16
90%
1
0
0
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
47%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.3
24.1
23.8
7
55%
3
7
5
1
1
3
0
3
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
24.5
23.8
8
47%
8
6
1
1
0
2
0
8
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
23.9
18.8
10
51%
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
1-5
20%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
22.8
21.0
4
29%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.4
10.8
10.8
6
44%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
41%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
7.8
8.0
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.7
4.3
8.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.9
5.2
0
1-1
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.