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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bucks47%100102
19Wizards53%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
39.0
34.1
8
29%
7
5
1
1
3
3
0
7
0-0
-
4-14
7-13
29%
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
35.8
35.2
17
39%
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
5-13
6-14
38%
44%
2-8
25%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.3
33.6
26.0
9
45%
8
2
1
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
41%
1-4
25%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
26.6
32.8
15
68%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
14.2
28.1
9
57%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
32.7
25.8
20
63%
4
6
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
46%
2-6
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
31.8
22.9
20
80%
4
0
0
1
0
3
3
1
8-8
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
17.4
11.8
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.2
9.0
20.2
2
25%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
6.8
0
1-2
48%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.8
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
39.1
37.5
15
77%
9
2
1
1
0
0
1
8
3-4
75%
3-5
6-13
60%
49%
2-3
67%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
37.7
34.8
22
44%
2
9
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
9-18
5-11
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
36.8
35.2
15
52%
6
4
0
1
1
3
0
6
7-10
70%
4-10
5-11
40%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.0
34.6
31.9
8
74%
14
0
2
1
2
1
2
12
0-1
0%
4-5
4-8
80%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
34.0
26.4
21
70%
5
1
1
1
0
5
0
5
7-7
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
19.7
16.4
10
100%
4
0
2
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.5
19.5
19.5
13
69%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
7-10
70%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
8.2
4.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.2
4.7
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
3.3
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
2.3
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
59%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
10.8
0
2-3
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.8
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.