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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks75%100117
29Nets25%91101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.5
34.6
37.3
24
70%
7
8
1
1
1
3
1
6
5-5
100%
8-11
9-17
73%
51%
1-4
25%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.7
34.2
33.4
16
103%
8
10
5
2
1
4
1
7
4-4
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
2-2
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.6
32.1
28.2
12
77%
5
3
2
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
54%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.4
23.5
14.0
18
71%
11
0
0
0
2
2
5
6
4-6
67%
7-10
1-2
70%
61%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
13.0
12.5
6
60%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.2
35.0
32.4
18
83%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
52%
2-4
50%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
22.5
9.1
10
71%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
19.2
24.9
4
29%
3
1
0
1
2
5
1
2
0-2
0%
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
17.5
27.0
7
51%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-2
50%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
5.6
11.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
2.8
10.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.3
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.8
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.6
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
40.4
34.9
24
53%
3
1
2
1
0
5
0
3
4-4
100%
10-20
6-12
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.7
36.7
35.8
16
68%
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
5
12-13
92%
2-6
7-14
33%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.8
34.0
29.7
17
63%
1
3
2
1
0
4
0
1
6-8
75%
4-5
4-9
80%
47%
1-5
20%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.7
25.4
29.2
7
55%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.0
18.9
20.6
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
31.6
17.7
13
44%
6
1
4
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
2-7
29%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
21.3
20.8
8
45%
2
6
2
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.5
17.7
12.8
10
71%
2
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
45%
2-2
100%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
14.2
14.1
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.4
22.7
1
2-5
41%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.1
7.2
0
1-2
41%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.4
3.8
0
0-1
52%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.