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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets60%99102
26Clippers40%9585
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.4
33.7
38.9
16
50%
3
4
1
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.9
32.3
30.4
22
96%
1
5
0
1
0
6
0
1
1-1
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
46%
3-4
75%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.2
28.3
30.4
8
67%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.6
27.8
16.6
8
36%
7
3
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
52%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.5
22.3
22.4
2
26%
6
2
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.5
26.6
19.9
19
88%
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
3-4
75%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.2
25.7
28.3
10
69%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-5
80%
3-5
6-11
60%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.7
23.2
22.2
11
56%
3
2
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.4
20.3
21.6
6
47%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
1-3
33%
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.0
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.0
1.7
0
0-0
42%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.0
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.5
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
40.6
32.2
10
31%
5
2
1
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
5-15
7-13
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
39.0
34.8
9
65%
19
4
5
1
1
0
7
12
1-2
50%
4-6
4-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.6
37.2
34.3
20
55%
3
6
2
2
1
5
0
3
3-3
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
45%
1-7
14%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
35.8
36.3
19
61%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
7-8
88%
6-12
6-12
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.5
33.7
21.8
10
51%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.2
22.2
3.3
3
31%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.1
13.4
17.1
8
80%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
56%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.5
12.4
12.9
6
44%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-3
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.4
2.9
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
2.6
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
4.1
0
0-1
42%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.5
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.7
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.