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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics51%9590
7Spurs49%9483
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.4
40.0
35.4
15
46%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
0-4
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.1
37.2
34.8
8
37%
2
0
1
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
1-4
25%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.8
36.0
31.6
12
55%
6
12
3
2
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.5
35.2
28.4
20
63%
7
5
2
1
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
9-15
5-10
60%
51%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.1
31.9
29.0
9
54%
7
1
0
0
2
2
1
6
1-3
33%
4-7
4-7
57%
58%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.9
16.6
19.4
6
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.2
15.9
18.0
13
58%
2
0
0
1
4
0
1
1
3-5
60%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.6
14.5
17.8
5
64%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
12.8
4.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
39%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
13.7
0
2-3
46%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.2
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.9
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
36.3
33.6
17
51%
4
7
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-4
25%
8-15
7-14
53%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.5
35.2
30.2
6
22%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.6
32.4
31.5
16
45%
15
2
1
1
2
6
7
8
0-2
0%
8-17
7-13
47%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
19.7
19.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.6
12.6
21.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
21.6
18.8
2
20%
9
1
1
0
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-3
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.6
21.6
13.2
18
79%
11
0
0
0
2
1
5
6
0-1
0%
9-11
2-4
82%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.4
18.3
15.6
11
43%
3
3
0
1
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
2-8
2-3
25%
49%
2-4
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
16.9
18.4
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-3
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.6
14.0
23.8
9
64%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-7
71%
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.7
11.5
21.7
4
50%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.6
3.6
0
0-0
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.1
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.