FinalWin Prob.pScore
1328%97
96
572%105
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.59194.7
DEN logo DEN
126.79087.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Graham 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot96
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound96
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMagloire Layup (4 PTS)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57DENAfflalo 12' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32DENMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04DENMISS Petro Free Throw 2 of 289
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04DENMISS Petro Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAWright Dunk (7 PTS)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17DENPetro 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)84
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMagloire Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52DENLawson 8' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMagloire Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57DENLawson 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20MIABeasley Dunk (17 PTS)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:23MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:21DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31MIAMISS Arroyo 23' Jump Shot74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45DENAnthony Palming Turnover (P4.T10)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:22MIAArroyo Driving Layup (2 PTS)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:34MIAAndersen STEAL (2 STL)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:51DENAndersen Dunk (9 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 10:08MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 10:16MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:16DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 10:32MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS)72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 10:59DENAndersen Driving Layup (7 PTS)70
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 11:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 11:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)69
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 11:34DENNene Layup (15 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)68
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 11:47DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot68
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)68
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot68
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAWade Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)68
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical67
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENMartin 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)67
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)67
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHeat Rebound65
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Anthony Free Throw Technical65
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 1:09DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)65
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 1:10DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:11MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)65
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)65
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:19DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot65
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 264
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:52DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 2:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)64
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 2:29DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 2:29DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 2:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Fadeaway Jumper61
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 2:44DENAnthony Palming Turnover (P3.T8)61
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 3:03MIAO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)61
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 3:24DENMartin 10' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)59
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 3:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 3:32DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 259
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 3:32DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)59
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 3:46DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 259
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 3:47MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 4:11DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)58
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 4:26MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)58
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 4:40DENAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 5:03DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot56
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)56
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 5:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 5:34DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 5:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 5:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 6:08DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)54
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 6:21MIABeasley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)54
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 6:40DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 7:07DENAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)52
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 7:28MIAO'Neal Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)52
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 7:46DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 7:46DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 7:49DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMartin BLOCK (2 BLK)50
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 8:18DENAfflalo Layup (7 PTS)50
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 8:20DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 8:21DENMISS Afflalo 8' Jump Shot50
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 8:38MIABeasley Driving Layup (15 PTS)50
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 8:51DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 8:51DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 8:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot48
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 9:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 9:03DENMISS Nene 7' Running Hook Shot48
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 9:24DENNUGGETS Rebound48
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)48
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 9:39DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)48
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 9:59MIAChalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 10:13DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 10:13DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 10:29MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 10:43DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)44
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 10:55DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q3 - 11:15DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)44
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q3 - 11:40MIAWade Dunk (11 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)44
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q3 - 11:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q3 - 11:46DENMISS Nene Layup42
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN42
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound42
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 13' Jump Shot42
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 241
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q2 - 0:20.0DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 241
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q2 - 0:20.0DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWright Layup (2 PTS)41
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)39
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T8)39
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)39
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 1:03DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Haslem 5' Fadeaway Jumper39
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 1:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)39
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q2 - 1:15DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 1:23MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)39
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 1:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)37
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot37
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot37
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q2 - 1:42DENSmith Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)37
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 1:42DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)37
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q2 - 1:42DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)37
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 2:05MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)37
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q2 - 2:21DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
3.1%
54
96.9%
Q2 - 2:21DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q2 - 2:38DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot34
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 2:53DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 2:53DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 3:06DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 234
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 3:19DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)33
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 3:48DENMartin Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)31
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 4:00MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)31
4.5%
47
95.5%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 230
4.5%
47
95.5%
Q2 - 4:14DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)30
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 4:19DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 4:23DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 4:29DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 4:32MIAAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)30
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 4:47DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 4:47DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 4:52DENNUGGETS Rebound30
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 4:53DENMISS Nene Layup30
8.2%
42
91.8%
Q2 - 5:09MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)30
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q2 - 5:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 5:16DENMISS Graham 6' Hook Shot28
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 5:19DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 5:21DENMISS Graham Layup28
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 5:36DENNUGGETS Rebound28
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 5:37DENMISS Nene Layup28
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 5:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot28
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 6:29DENGraham 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)28
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 6:51MIANene STEAL (2 STL)28
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 6:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q2 - 7:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 7:01DENMISS Nene Tip Shot28
8.8%
40
91.2%
Q2 - 7:02DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot28
8.8%
40
91.2%
Q2 - 7:10MIAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)28
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 7:24DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)28
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 7:35MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)28
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 8:03DENNene Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)28
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 8:09DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q2 - 8:12MIAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)28
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 8:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot28
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 8:42DENNene Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)28
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 8:47MIANene STEAL (1 STL)28
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 9:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 9:03DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 128
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 9:06DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot28
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 9:16DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q2 - 9:19DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot28
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 9:40DENNene 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)28
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 9:46DENNUGGETS Rebound28
23.2%
29
76.8%
Q2 - 9:47DENMISS Smith 16' Fadeaway Jumper28
24.6%
29
75.4%
Q2 - 10:01MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q2 - 10:01MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
23.0%
29
77.0%
Q2 - 10:33DENAnthony Layup (9 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)26
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 10:47MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
23.3%
27
76.7%
Q2 - 11:07DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q2 - 11:07DENAndersen Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q2 - 11:08DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot24
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q2 - 11:31MIABeasley Driving Layup (6 PTS)24
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q2 - 11:46DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 222
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q2 - 11:46DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 222
20.3%
25
79.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot22
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAAnthony Layup (3 PTS)20
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot18
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot18
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 1:10DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)18
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 1:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 1:11DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot18
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q1 - 1:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 1:37DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 1:37DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 1:37DENNUGGETS Rebound18
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 1:39DENMISS Martin 12' Turnaround Hook Shot18
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q1 - 1:53MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 217
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 2:02MIAHeat Rebound17
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 2:03MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)17
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 2:15DENSmith 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 2:26DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot17
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 2:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
24.9%
18
75.1%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 217
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 2:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
24.8%
18
75.2%
Q1 - 2:48DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)16
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 2:53DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 2:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 2:55DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot16
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 2:56DENMISS Anthony Layup16
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw Technical16
26.5%
15
73.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)16
26.5%
15
73.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIAHeat Rebound16
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 3:13MIAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)16
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)16
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 3:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 3:34DENMISS Nene 6' Running Hook Shot16
27.8%
15
72.2%
Q1 - 3:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
26.6%
15
73.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIAWade Tip Shot (3 PTS)16
26.6%
15
73.4%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
24.8%
15
75.2%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot14
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot14
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
24.5%
15
75.5%
Q1 - 4:10DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot14
23.9%
15
76.1%
Q1 - 4:22DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 114
23.0%
15
77.0%
Q1 - 4:36DENNene Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)11
19.9%
15
80.1%
Q1 - 4:58MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)11
21.2%
13
78.8%
Q1 - 4:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
19.9%
13
80.1%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot9
18.8%
13
81.2%
Q1 - 5:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.1%
13
79.9%
Q1 - 5:06DENMISS Billups 10' Jump Shot9
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 5:23MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup7
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 5:39DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot7
16.5%
13
83.5%
Q1 - 5:54MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 5:54DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 6:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 6:02DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 27
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 6:02DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)7
16.2%
13
83.8%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)7
17.2%
12
82.8%
Q1 - 6:27DENAnthony Layup (4 PTS)7
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 6:44MIAHeat Rebound7
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 6:44MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)7
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Beasley Layup7
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 7:00MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 7:02DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 17
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 7:14DENNUGGETS Rebound7
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot7
24.3%
7
75.7%
Q1 - 7:39DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 7:39DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)7
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 7:57MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)7
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
25.1%
5
74.9%
Q1 - 8:08DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot5
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 8:14MIAChalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
23.6%
5
76.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 8:25DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot3
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 8:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 22
20.5%
5
79.5%
Q1 - 8:51DENAnthony 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 9:07DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)2
22.3%
3
77.7%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot2
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 9:25DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
23.6%
3
76.4%
Q1 - 9:34DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.3%
3
77.7%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 9:52DENAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
23.6%
3
76.4%
Q1 - 10:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.2%
1
74.8%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot2
25.3%
1
74.7%
Q1 - 10:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.4%
1
73.6%
Q1 - 10:24DENMISS Nene 11' Turnaround Jump Shot2
25.9%
1
74.1%
Q1 - 10:31DENBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
24.8%
1
75.2%
Q1 - 10:34DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 10:35DENMISS Anthony 8' Running Hook Shot2
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 10:47DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 10:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 10:58DENMISS Martin Driving Reverse Layup2
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:10DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot2
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 11:22DENMISS Martin 8' Running Hook Shot2
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 11:38MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. O'Neal: Tip to Beasley0
24.5%
0
75.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.0%
DEN
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
23
65%
DEN
14
24
58%
Midrange
MIA
14
41
34%
DEN
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
DEN
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
20
31
65%
DEN
33
43
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2550%12.5 / 25
M. Beasley1740%8.5 / 21
J. O'Neal950%4.5 / 9
M. Chalmers750%3.5 / 7
D. Wright770%3.5 / 5
J. Jones650%3.0 / 6
D. Cook675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem542%2.5 / 6
C. Arroyo450%2.0 / 4
J. Magloire4100%2.0 / 2
Q. Richardson338%1.5 / 4
J. Anthony375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2255%11.0 / 20
A. Afflalo17106%8.5 / 8
J. Smith1662%8.0 / 13
Nene1550%7.5 / 15
C. Billups1372%6.5 / 9
K. Martin1260%6.0 / 10
C. Andersen990%4.5 / 5
T. Lawson660%3.0 / 5
J. Graham225%1.0 / 4
J. Petro250%1.0 / 2
M. Allen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+18
-10
99
DEN
79
+15
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.0%
DEN
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
111.9
MIA 105.5
DEN 126.7 +21.2
Pace
89.6
94.7
MIA 94.7 +6.8
DEN 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.7
MIA 15.2 +1.2
DEN 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
50.9%
MIA 46.3%
DEN 53.3% +7.0%
TO %
13.6%
14.2%
MIA 11.1% +0.1%
DEN 11.2%
ORB %
26.0%
26.1%
MIA 31.1% +6.7%
DEN 24.4%
FTrt
29.6
37.6
MIA 37.8
DEN 56.6 +18.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
55.0%
MIA 42.9%
DEN 55.6% +12.7%
STL %
8.1%
8.7%
MIA 8.8% +3.2%
DEN 5.6%
BLK %
9.4%
7.9%
MIA 6.8%
DEN 12.5% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
54.9%
MIA 48.0%
DEN 60.0% +12.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
61.0%
MIA 65.2% +6.9%
DEN 58.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
39.6%
MIA 34.1%
DEN 37.1% +3.0%
3P %
34.6%
35.9%
MIA 33.3%
DEN 52.9% +19.6%
FT %
75.2%
77.2%
MIA 64.5%
DEN 76.7% +12.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
37.5%
MIA 28.0%
DEN 31.6% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
39.8%
MIA 50.0%
DEN 46.1% +3.9%
3P Att. %
21.9%
22.7%
MIA 22.0%
DEN 22.4% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes23.124.6
Points96114
Rebounds4541
Assists1520
Steals85
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals35-8236-76
At-the-Rim FG15-2314-24
Midrange FG14-4113-35
2-Point FG29-6427-59
3-Point FG6-189-17
Free Throws20-3133-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
35.0
17
40%
7
0
1
0
2
3
1
6
3-4
75%
7-17
41%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
34.8
25
50%
10
4
1
0
4
3
3
7
9-13
69%
8-17
47%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
30.2
3
38%
4
2
2
1
1
3
0
4
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
25.4
9
50%
4
0
0
2
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
17.5
7
50%
1
3
1
0
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
21.5
5
42%
5
1
1
0
1
4
4
1
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
19.6
7
70%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
16.4
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
15.5
6
50%
0
1
1
0
0
4
0
0
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
8.8
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
8.8
4
100%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
6.6
3
75%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
48%
45
15
8
4
10
0
14
31
20-31
65%
29-64
45%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.