FinalWin Prob.pScore
1420%91
107
480%102
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.99092.0
LAL logo LAL
116.19391.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0LALBryant 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (33 PTS)107
7.2%
108
92.8%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)107
96.6%
105
3.4%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2106
92.3%
105
7.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0LALFisher 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)106
97.1%
105
2.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)106
97.4%
102
2.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)105
96.8%
102
3.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)104
94.5%
102
5.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)104
95.5%
101
4.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0LALLAKERS Rebound104
96.9%
100
3.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0LALMISS Bryant Driving Layup104
98.5%
100
1.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)104
94.9%
100
5.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)103
93.6%
100
6.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)102
87.5%
100
12.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0LALLAKERS Rebound102
71.7%
100
28.3%
Q4 - 0:25.0LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot102
83.7%
100
16.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (23 PTS)102
63.8%
100
36.2%
Q4 - 1:03LALGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)100
47.0%
100
53.0%
Q4 - 1:03LALGasol Tip Shot (20 PTS)100
47.0%
100
53.0%
Q4 - 1:06LALMISS Bynum Tip Shot100
71.4%
98
28.6%
Q4 - 1:07LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)100
60.7%
98
39.3%
Q4 - 1:09LALMISS World Peace Layup100
70.9%
98
29.1%
Q4 - 1:09LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)100
60.4%
98
39.6%
Q4 - 1:11LALMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot100
70.3%
98
29.7%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)100
58.8%
98
41.2%
Q4 - 1:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
45.4%
98
54.6%
Q4 - 1:38LALMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot98
40.9%
98
59.1%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)98
31.0%
98
69.0%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)97
28.9%
98
71.1%
Q4 - 2:07LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)96
24.0%
98
76.0%
Q4 - 2:16LALFisher REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
41.9%
95
58.1%
Q4 - 2:18LALMISS Bryant 23' Jump Shot96
53.9%
95
46.1%
Q4 - 2:43MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)96
41.9%
95
58.1%
Q4 - 3:08LALBynum Layup (19 PTS)93
24.1%
95
75.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
30.1%
93
69.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAHaslem Putback Layup (14 PTS)93
30.1%
93
69.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade Layup91
17.1%
93
82.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
23.6%
93
76.4%
Q4 - 3:35LALMISS Bryant 11' Fadeaway Jumper91
21.4%
93
78.6%
Q4 - 3:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
16.8%
93
83.2%
Q4 - 3:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
15.7%
93
84.3%
Q4 - 3:54LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)89
12.4%
93
87.6%
Q4 - 4:07LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
8.5%
93
91.5%
Q4 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
12.3%
93
87.7%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot89
9.5%
93
90.5%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot89
9.5%
93
90.5%
Q4 - 4:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)89
12.2%
93
87.8%
Q4 - 4:23LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 2 of 289
11.7%
93
88.3%
Q4 - 4:23LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
9.5%
93
90.5%
Q4 - 4:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
11.9%
92
88.1%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 288
11.0%
92
89.0%
Q4 - 4:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
12.1%
92
87.9%
Q4 - 4:55LALMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
10.8%
92
89.2%
Q4 - 5:06LALBryant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
10.1%
92
89.9%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 188
10.5%
92
89.5%
Q4 - 5:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 5:16LALMISS Bryant 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot86
6.8%
92
93.2%
Q4 - 5:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)86
5.3%
92
94.7%
Q4 - 5:53LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q4 - 5:53LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 284
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q4 - 6:06MIARichardson Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)84
4.7%
91
95.3%
Q4 - 6:25LALBryant 6' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS) (World Peace 5 AST)82
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
4.6%
89
95.4%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 6:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
4.7%
89
95.3%
Q4 - 6:58LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 281
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 6:58LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)81
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 7:07LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS Richardson 10' Jump Shot81
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 7:36LALBryant 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)81
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 7:59LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot81
10.2%
86
89.8%
Q4 - 8:16LALOdom 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)81
11.9%
86
88.1%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup81
10.1%
86
89.9%
Q4 - 8:43LALLAKERS Rebound81
9.4%
86
90.6%
Q4 - 8:43LALFarmar Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
11.8%
86
88.2%
Q4 - 8:43LALMISS Farmar Free Throw 1 of 281
12.6%
85
87.4%
Q4 - 8:55LALBryant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
11.9%
85
88.1%
Q4 - 8:57MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)81
12.7%
85
87.3%
Q4 - 9:19LALFarmar 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)81
15.4%
85
84.6%
Q4 - 9:40MIAWade Layup (16 PTS)81
22.8%
82
77.2%
Q4 - 9:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
18.7%
82
81.3%
Q4 - 9:43MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
16.4%
82
83.6%
Q4 - 9:55MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
18.7%
82
81.3%
Q4 - 9:57LALMISS Bryant 15' Jump Shot79
17.6%
82
82.4%
Q4 - 10:20MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)79
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q4 - 10:33MIAHeat Rebound76
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Wright Layup76
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 10:51LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)76
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 11:01LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
15.8%
79
84.2%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot76
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q4 - 11:18LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)76
18.7%
79
81.3%
Q4 - 11:38LALBryant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
26.2%
76
73.8%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 276
26.7%
76
73.3%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 276
28.8%
76
71.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL76
30.4%
76
69.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
26.1%
76
73.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)76
27.1%
76
72.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)76
29.8%
76
70.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
30.6%
75
69.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0LALLAKERS Rebound76
34.6%
74
65.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Richardson 22' Jump Shot76
35.9%
74
64.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
38.9%
74
61.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0LALMISS Brown 29' 3PT Jump Shot76
37.6%
74
62.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
34.7%
74
65.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
33.7%
74
66.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical74
29.8%
74
70.2%
Q3 - 1:04LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
29.1%
74
70.9%
Q3 - 1:04LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
29.9%
73
70.1%
Q3 - 1:04LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
33.6%
72
66.4%
Q3 - 1:05LALMISS World Peace Layup74
36.5%
72
63.5%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)74
33.7%
72
66.3%
Q3 - 1:23MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
25.2%
72
74.8%
Q3 - 1:24LALMISS Gasol Layup71
24.2%
72
75.8%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWade Dunk (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)71
22.0%
72
78.0%
Q3 - 1:48LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)69
18.6%
72
81.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)69
16.0%
72
84.0%
Q3 - 2:00MIAHeat Rebound69
18.6%
72
81.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot69
16.7%
72
83.3%
Q3 - 2:24LALBrown Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)69
18.3%
72
81.7%
Q3 - 2:37MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
15.6%
72
84.4%
Q3 - 2:37MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
15.0%
72
85.0%
Q3 - 2:55MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 2:56LALMISS Bynum 6' Jump Shot67
12.7%
72
87.3%
Q3 - 3:16MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)67
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 3:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q3 - 3:41LALMISS Bryant Layup65
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 3:44MIABryant STEAL (3 STL)65
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q3 - 3:58LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q3 - 3:58LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 4:19MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)65
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q3 - 4:38LALMISS World Peace Driving Layup63
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q3 - 4:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 262
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q3 - 4:56LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)62
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q3 - 5:04MIAFisher STEAL (2 STL)62
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 5:20LALBynum Alley Oop Layup (16 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)62
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q3 - 5:30LALLAKERS Rebound62
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup62
10.3%
68
89.7%
Q3 - 5:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 5:40LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q3 - 5:45LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 5:46MIABynum BLOCK (1 BLK)62
10.3%
68
89.7%
Q3 - 6:02LALBryant 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 6:25MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 6:42LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 6:42LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q3 - 6:42LALBryant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 6:46LALMISS Bryant Driving Layup60
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q3 - 6:50LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot60
13.7%
64
86.3%
Q3 - 7:04LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
15.1%
64
84.9%
Q3 - 7:04LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 7:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
17.1%
62
82.9%
Q3 - 7:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
16.6%
62
83.4%
Q3 - 7:37LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)58
15.2%
62
84.8%
Q3 - 7:53MIABeasley Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)58
13.1%
62
86.9%
Q3 - 7:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
11.6%
62
88.4%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot56
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 8:09LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)56
11.6%
62
88.4%
Q3 - 8:09LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q3 - 8:10LALMISS Bryant Layup56
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q3 - 8:47LALBryant Driving Layup (10 PTS)54
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q3 - 8:58MIARichardson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)54
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q3 - 9:23LALFisher 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)52
13.1%
57
86.9%
Q3 - 9:43MIAO'Neal 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
14.9%
55
85.1%
Q3 - 10:00LALGasol 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)50
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q3 - 10:12LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
14.7%
53
85.3%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q3 - 10:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
16.7%
53
83.3%
Q3 - 10:24LALMISS World Peace Layup50
16.1%
53
83.9%
Q3 - 10:34MIARichardson 18' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)50
14.7%
53
85.3%
Q3 - 10:50MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q3 - 10:51LALMISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot48
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q3 - 10:56LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot48
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 11:19LALFisher 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)48
13.0%
53
87.0%
Q3 - 11:20LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 11:22LALMISS World Peace Layup48
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q3 - 11:23LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 11:24LALMISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot48
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q3 - 11:30MIABryant STEAL (2 STL)48
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 11:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q3 - 11:39LALMISS Bryant 17' Jump Shot48
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALBryant 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (8 PTS)48
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
18.7%
49
81.3%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMagloire Tip Shot (7 PTS)48
18.7%
49
81.3%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade Layup46
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0LALBynum 7' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)46
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS)46
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
16.3%
47
83.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0LALMISS Gasol 14' Fadeaway Jumper44
15.9%
47
84.1%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMagloire Slam Dunk (5 PTS)44
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q2 - 1:05MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
12.9%
47
87.1%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot42
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 1:29LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
12.9%
47
87.1%
Q2 - 1:29LALWorld Peace Tip Shot (9 PTS)42
12.9%
47
87.1%
Q2 - 1:31LALMISS Bynum 12' Jump Shot42
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q2 - 1:37LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 1:38LALMISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot42
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q2 - 2:04MIAWade Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)42
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 2:23LALFisher 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
13.0%
45
87.0%
Q2 - 2:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 2:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
11.6%
43
88.4%
Q2 - 2:42LALMISS Fisher 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 2:54MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T9)37
10.3%
43
89.7%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
11.6%
43
88.4%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Layup37
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 3:10LALMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 3:15LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
10.2%
43
89.8%
Q2 - 3:15LALMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 3:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
10.2%
43
89.8%
Q2 - 3:16MIABeasley Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T8)37
10.2%
43
89.8%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade Layup37
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 3:46LALBynum Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)37
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 3:59LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 237
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 4:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)37
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 4:10LALWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)36
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 4:26MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 4:42LALWorld Peace 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)34
14.3%
38
85.7%
Q2 - 5:25MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
15.8%
36
84.2%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 233
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 5:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 5:47LALMISS Gasol 4' Jump Shot33
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 6:08MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)33
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 6:26LALGasol Layup (12 PTS)33
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 6:27LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 6:28LALMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot33
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIABryant STEAL (1 STL)33
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 6:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
19.3%
34
80.7%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 233
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 6:41MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 6:57LALFarmar Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
17.6%
34
82.4%
Q2 - 7:07MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)32
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 7:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q2 - 7:19LALMISS Gasol Layup30
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 7:23LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot30
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q2 - 7:45LALOdom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)30
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 7:54MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P4.T5)30
20.5%
29
79.5%
Q2 - 8:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 8:06LALMISS Bryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)30
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 8:48LALGasol Layup (10 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)27
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 8:52LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
18.5%
27
81.5%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Haslem Layup27
19.0%
27
81.0%
Q2 - 8:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
20.3%
27
79.7%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
19.0%
27
81.0%
Q2 - 9:20LALBryant 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q2 - 9:35LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q2 - 10:06LALFarmar Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q2 - 10:12MIAFarmar STEAL (1 STL)27
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
27.6%
23
72.4%
Q2 - 10:22LALMISS Brown 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
26.9%
23
73.1%
Q2 - 10:33MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)27
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q2 - 10:53LALBrown Layup (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)25
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q2 - 11:22MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)25
25.2%
21
74.8%
Q2 - 11:30MIAHeat Rebound23
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot23
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q2 - 11:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q2 - 11:43LALMISS Bryant 7' Jump Shot23
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL23
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound23
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALMISS Odom 71' 3PT Jump Shot23
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAFarmar BLOCK (1 BLK)23
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0LALWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS)23
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0LALMISS World Peace Layup23
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wright Alley Oop Dunk23
25.3%
19
74.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
26.4%
19
73.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0LALMISS Bynum 20' Jump Shot23
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 223
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAHeat Rebound22
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0LALMISS Farmar 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 1:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 221
22.5%
19
77.5%
Q1 - 1:21MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.3%
19
77.7%
Q1 - 1:23LALMISS World Peace 11' Fadeaway Jumper21
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
20.9%
19
79.1%
Q1 - 1:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 1:49LALMISS Bynum 12' Jump Shot19
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 2:03LALLAKERS Rebound19
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot19
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 2:30LALJump Ball Fisher vs. Richardson: Tip to Magloire19
19.4%
19
80.6%
Q1 - 2:33MIAFisher STEAL (1 STL)19
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 2:41LALGasol 5' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)19
19.4%
19
80.6%
Q1 - 2:55LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot19
21.5%
17
78.5%
Q1 - 3:20LALGasol Layup (6 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)19
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q1 - 3:37MIAMagloire Putback Dunk (2 PTS)19
23.8%
15
76.2%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
22.2%
15
77.8%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Richardson 10' Jump Shot17
21.1%
15
78.9%
Q1 - 3:54MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
22.2%
15
77.8%
Q1 - 3:57LALMISS Brown Driving Layup17
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 4:13MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 4:27LALMISS Bynum 12' Hook Shot14
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 4:42LALLAKERS Rebound14
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 4:43LALMISS World Peace 16' Jump Shot14
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 4:52LALBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 4:53LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 5:03LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 5:05LALMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot14
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 5:20LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 214
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 214
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 5:36LALBryant Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)14
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 5:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
18.7%
13
81.3%
Q1 - 5:53MIABeasley Tip Shot (4 PTS)14
18.7%
13
81.3%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot12
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 6:11LALBryant 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)12
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 6:33MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)12
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 6:55LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)9
16.0%
11
84.0%
Q1 - 6:55LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)9
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:12MIAO'Neal 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
16.8%
9
83.2%
Q1 - 7:38LALBynum Slam Dunk (5 PTS)7
15.8%
9
84.2%
Q1 - 7:41LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 7:42LALMISS World Peace 28' 3PT Jump Shot7
17.7%
7
82.3%
Q1 - 8:07MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 8:34LALGasol Layup (4 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)4
14.4%
7
85.6%
Q1 - 8:40LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 9:03LALGasol Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)4
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 9:09MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)4
17.7%
3
82.3%
Q1 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
18.8%
3
81.2%
Q1 - 9:19LALMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot4
18.5%
3
81.5%
Q1 - 9:33MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
17.7%
3
82.3%
Q1 - 9:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.5%
3
83.5%
Q1 - 9:43LALMISS Fisher Layup2
16.2%
3
83.8%
Q1 - 9:49LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.5%
3
84.5%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.8%
3
84.2%
Q1 - 10:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.5%
3
83.5%
Q1 - 10:05LALMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot2
16.1%
3
83.9%
Q1 - 10:18LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
15.4%
3
84.6%
Q1 - 10:20LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 2 of 22
16.3%
3
83.7%
Q1 - 10:20LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 10:33MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot2
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 10:54LALBynum 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)2
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 11:08MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)2
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 11:09MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWorld Peace BLOCK (1 BLK)0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 11:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:23LALMISS Bynum 5' Jump Shot0
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 11:38LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Bynum vs. O'Neal: Tip to Chalmers0
17.1%
0
82.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
LAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
32
63%
LAL
21
38
55%
Midrange
MIA
11
31
35%
LAL
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
LAL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
27
42
64%
LAL
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2645%13.0 / 29
J. O'Neal1657%8.0 / 14
U. Haslem1454%7.0 / 13
Q. Richardson1365%6.5 / 10
M. Chalmers1267%6.0 / 9
M. Beasley1275%6.0 / 8
D. Wright758%3.5 / 6
J. Magloire758%3.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant3359%16.5 / 28
P. Gasol2258%11.0 / 19
A. Bynum1956%9.5 / 17
D. Fisher1150%5.5 / 11
M. World Peace926%4.5 / 17
J. Farmar880%4.0 / 5
L. Odom467%2.0 / 3
S. Brown220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+17
-12
95
LAL
86
+22
-7
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
LAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
108.7
MIA 118.9 +2.8
LAL 116.1
Pace
89.6
92.9
MIA 92.0 +0.9
LAL 91.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.7
MIA 15.6 +0.2
LAL 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.6%
MIA 52.6% +6.9%
LAL 45.7%
TO %
13.6%
13.9%
MIA 12.1%
LAL 7.1% +5.0%
ORB %
26.0%
27.6%
MIA 35.9% +0.6%
LAL 35.3%
FTrt
29.6
28.9
MIA 55.3 +25.2
LAL 30.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
55.0%
MIA 56.8% +9.3%
LAL 47.5%
STL %
8.1%
8.0%
MIA 4.4%
LAL 7.5% +3.1%
BLK %
9.4%
7.6%
MIA 6.6%
LAL 7.9% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.5%
MIA 54.6% +4.6%
LAL 50.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
58.4%
MIA 62.5% +7.2%
LAL 55.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.7%
MIA 35.5%
LAL 36.8% +1.3%
3P %
34.6%
34.1%
MIA 46.2% +16.8%
LAL 29.4%
FT %
75.2%
76.5%
MIA 64.3%
LAL 82.1% +17.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
34.6%
MIA 42.1% +1.2%
LAL 40.9%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
42.7%
MIA 40.8% +0.1%
LAL 40.9%
3P Att. %
21.9%
22.7%
MIA 17.1%
LAL 18.3% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions9093
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points107108
Rebounds4743
Assists2119
Steals47
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)18 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)25 (4)
Field Goals37-7640-93
At-the-Rim FG20-3221-38
Midrange FG11-3114-38
2-Point FG31-6335-76
3-Point FG6-135-17
Free Throws27-4223-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
41.5
26
45%
8
9
0
2
2
4
3
5
12-18
67%
7-20
35%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
39.1
12
67%
1
3
0
0
4
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
37.9
13
65%
8
2
2
0
2
2
2
6
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
32.1
16
57%
10
4
1
1
2
5
1
9
4-9
44%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
28.8
12
75%
5
2
0
1
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
25.7
14
54%
6
1
1
1
1
4
3
3
4-5
80%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
18.9
7
58%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
15.9
7
58%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
1-4
25%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
#42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
55%
47
21
4
5
12
0
14
33
27-42
64%
31-63
49%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.