FinalWin Prob.pScore
542%101
106
758%104
99
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
109.397102.0
SAS logo SAS
103.19691.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN106
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)106
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)105
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T19)104
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)104
98.3%
99
1.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 2103
98.1%
99
1.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)103
98.0%
99
2.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMISS Blair 3' Layup103
97.2%
99
2.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)103
95.3%
99
4.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
94.9%
99
5.1%
Q4 - 1:01DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot103
91.7%
99
8.3%
Q4 - 1:26SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)103
92.8%
99
7.2%
Q4 - 1:26SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)103
93.5%
98
6.5%
Q4 - 1:30DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (34 PTS)103
95.1%
97
4.9%
Q4 - 1:46DENNuggets Rebound101
90.3%
97
9.7%
Q4 - 1:46DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)101
90.3%
97
9.7%
Q4 - 1:46DENMISS Martin 4' Tip Shot101
86.4%
97
13.6%
Q4 - 1:48DENDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)101
86.1%
97
13.9%
Q4 - 2:06SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)101
91.0%
97
9.0%
Q4 - 2:06SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)101
91.4%
96
8.6%
Q4 - 2:21DENBillups 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)101
93.5%
95
6.5%
Q4 - 2:39DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)99
91.4%
95
8.6%
Q4 - 2:40SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup99
89.6%
95
10.4%
Q4 - 2:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)99
81.9%
95
18.1%
Q4 - 2:59DENMartin 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)99
81.9%
95
18.1%
Q4 - 3:00DENMISS Smith 1' Layup97
68.6%
95
31.4%
Q4 - 3:04SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)97
76.6%
95
23.4%
Q4 - 3:14SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
64.7%
95
35.3%
Q4 - 3:14DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 297
66.5%
95
33.5%
Q4 - 3:14DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
72.5%
95
27.5%
Q4 - 3:25SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)96
68.2%
95
31.8%
Q4 - 3:25SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)96
70.2%
94
29.8%
Q4 - 3:29SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
74.5%
93
25.5%
Q4 - 3:30DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot96
77.9%
93
22.1%
Q4 - 3:50SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)96
78.4%
93
21.6%
Q4 - 4:12DENAnthony 13' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)96
70.9%
93
29.1%
Q4 - 4:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)94
63.1%
93
36.9%
Q4 - 4:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)94
65.5%
92
34.5%
Q4 - 4:45SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
71.1%
91
28.9%
Q4 - 4:47DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
73.7%
91
26.3%
Q4 - 4:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)94
79.0%
91
21.0%
Q4 - 5:01SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot94
73.0%
91
27.0%
Q4 - 5:14DENBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T14)94
68.1%
91
31.9%
Q4 - 5:27SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (24 PTS)94
75.3%
91
24.7%
Q4 - 5:42DENNene Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)94
80.9%
89
19.1%
Q4 - 5:57SASParker 2' Running Layup (23 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)92
75.5%
89
24.5%
Q4 - 6:18DENLawson 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)92
77.9%
87
22.1%
Q4 - 6:21SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)90
72.7%
87
27.3%
Q4 - 6:41DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)90
65.9%
87
34.1%
Q4 - 6:41DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 289
64.7%
87
35.3%
Q4 - 6:52SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)89
66.4%
87
33.6%
Q4 - 7:11DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)89
70.1%
85
29.9%
Q4 - 7:11DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
69.1%
85
30.9%
Q4 - 7:36SASParker 13' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
64.6%
85
35.4%
Q4 - 7:58DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)87
70.3%
83
29.7%
Q4 - 8:18SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
56.7%
83
43.3%
Q4 - 8:18SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
58.1%
82
41.9%
Q4 - 8:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
63.1%
81
36.9%
Q4 - 8:23DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot84
64.9%
81
35.1%
Q4 - 8:41SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
68.8%
81
31.2%
Q4 - 8:41SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 284
69.9%
80
30.1%
Q4 - 8:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)84
68.9%
80
31.1%
Q4 - 8:51DENAnthony 1' Tip Shot (30 PTS)84
68.9%
80
31.1%
Q4 - 8:53DENMISS Andersen 1' Layup82
58.8%
80
41.2%
Q4 - 8:54DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
63.0%
80
37.0%
Q4 - 8:56DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
58.8%
80
41.2%
Q4 - 9:10SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
61.8%
80
38.2%
Q4 - 9:10SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
62.9%
79
37.1%
Q4 - 9:14SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
67.4%
78
32.6%
Q4 - 9:16DENMISS Lawson 6' Jump Shot82
68.9%
78
31.1%
Q4 - 9:18DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
72.3%
78
27.7%
Q4 - 9:20DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
68.9%
78
31.1%
Q4 - 9:32SASBlair 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)82
72.3%
78
27.7%
Q4 - 9:49DENAnthony 14' Jump Shot (28 PTS)82
77.0%
76
23.0%
Q4 - 10:12DENNuggets Rebound80
70.7%
76
29.3%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS McDyess 18' Turnaround Jump Shot80
69.2%
76
30.8%
Q4 - 10:38DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
65.8%
76
34.2%
Q4 - 10:38DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
64.5%
76
35.5%
Q4 - 10:55DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
60.7%
76
39.3%
Q4 - 10:57SASMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot78
59.0%
76
41.0%
Q4 - 11:17DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)78
54.5%
76
45.5%
Q4 - 11:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
43.7%
76
56.3%
Q4 - 11:23SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot75
42.2%
76
57.8%
Q4 - 11:37DENGinobili STEAL (3 STL)75
38.7%
76
61.3%
Q4 - 11:43DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
43.7%
76
56.3%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
42.1%
76
57.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
38.7%
76
61.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound75
43.7%
76
56.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 4' Jump Shot75
40.2%
76
59.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENNuggets Rebound75
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Layup75
42.1%
76
57.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENLawson Foul Turnover (P1.T12)75
39.0%
76
61.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASMISS McDyess 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
42.1%
76
57.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASSPURS Rebound75
39.0%
76
61.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASMISS Hill 3' Driving Layup75
42.1%
76
57.9%
Q3 - 1:00DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS)75
39.0%
76
61.0%
Q3 - 1:08DENNuggets Rebound73
33.9%
76
66.1%
Q3 - 1:08DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)73
31.2%
76
68.8%
Q3 - 1:15SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)73
33.9%
76
66.1%
Q3 - 1:36DENSmith 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
30.0%
76
70.0%
Q3 - 1:56SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)71
25.7%
76
74.3%
Q3 - 2:15DENMartin 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)71
34.2%
73
65.8%
Q3 - 2:32SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)69
30.0%
73
70.0%
Q3 - 2:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
26.3%
73
73.7%
Q3 - 2:45DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)69
27.4%
73
72.6%
Q3 - 2:57SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)69
30.0%
73
70.0%
Q3 - 3:13DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
26.8%
73
73.2%
Q3 - 3:13DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
26.4%
73
73.6%
Q3 - 3:28SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)67
23.6%
73
76.4%
Q3 - 3:28SASSPURS Rebound67
23.4%
72
76.6%
Q3 - 3:28SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 367
24.0%
72
76.0%
Q3 - 3:28SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)67
21.3%
72
78.7%
Q3 - 3:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q3 - 3:43SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 267
30.1%
71
69.9%
Q3 - 3:43SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 267
27.6%
71
72.4%
Q3 - 4:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
26.9%
71
73.1%
Q3 - 4:02DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
28.2%
71
71.8%
Q3 - 4:08SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)67
31.1%
71
68.9%
Q3 - 4:34DENAnthony 9' Jump Shot (24 PTS)67
26.9%
71
73.1%
Q3 - 4:45SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)65
24.1%
71
75.9%
Q3 - 4:47SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
20.6%
71
79.4%
Q3 - 4:49SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot65
23.0%
71
77.0%
Q3 - 4:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
20.6%
71
79.4%
Q3 - 4:58DENMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot65
21.6%
71
78.4%
Q3 - 5:07DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
24.3%
71
75.7%
Q3 - 5:09SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot65
23.3%
71
76.7%
Q3 - 5:31SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 5:32DENParker BLOCK (1 BLK)65
22.0%
71
78.0%
Q3 - 5:35DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
24.3%
71
75.7%
Q3 - 5:37SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
23.3%
71
76.7%
Q3 - 6:00DENAnthony 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)65
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 6:17SASJefferson 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)63
19.3%
71
80.7%
Q3 - 6:30DENAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)63
21.6%
69
78.4%
Q3 - 6:35SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
24.8%
69
75.2%
Q3 - 6:35SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)63
25.6%
68
74.4%
Q3 - 7:00DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)63
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q3 - 7:17SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)61
25.1%
67
74.9%
Q3 - 7:28DENAnthony 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
22.1%
67
77.9%
Q3 - 7:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
19.8%
67
80.2%
Q3 - 7:41SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 7:49SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 7:51DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)59
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q3 - 8:06DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
20.0%
67
80.0%
Q3 - 8:08SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot59
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 8:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
17.6%
67
82.4%
Q3 - 8:23DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot59
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 8:39SASDuncan 8' Running Hook Shot (20 PTS)59
20.0%
67
80.0%
Q3 - 8:53DENJefferson STEAL (1 STL)59
22.4%
65
77.6%
Q3 - 8:57SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)59
25.3%
65
74.7%
Q3 - 9:17DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)59
22.8%
65
77.2%
Q3 - 9:17DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
22.4%
65
77.6%
Q3 - 9:34SASBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)57
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 9:57DENMartin 4' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)57
18.0%
65
82.0%
Q3 - 10:15SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)55
16.5%
65
83.5%
Q3 - 10:35DENAnthony 5' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
20.7%
62
79.3%
Q3 - 10:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
18.5%
62
81.5%
Q3 - 10:51SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 253
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 11:06DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)53
19.0%
61
81.0%
Q3 - 11:33SASDuncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)53
21.3%
61
78.7%
Q3 - 11:45SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
23.6%
59
76.4%
Q3 - 11:47DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot53
24.4%
59
75.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN53
26.3%
59
73.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASParker 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)53
26.6%
59
73.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
29.9%
57
70.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup53
30.5%
57
69.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
32.1%
57
67.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
35.8%
55
64.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 253
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)53
38.4%
55
61.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENNuggets Rebound52
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
34.4%
55
65.6%
Q2 - 1:19DENAnthony 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)52
33.0%
55
67.0%
Q2 - 1:23DENNuggets Rebound50
29.4%
55
70.6%
Q2 - 1:23DENBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)50
28.1%
55
71.9%
Q2 - 1:24DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
29.4%
55
70.6%
Q2 - 1:26DENMISS Nene 4' Jump Shot50
28.1%
55
71.9%
Q2 - 1:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
29.4%
55
70.6%
Q2 - 1:42SASMISS Parker 1' Layup50
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q2 - 1:49SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
27.5%
55
72.5%
Q2 - 1:51DENMISS Smith 1' Layup50
28.1%
55
71.9%
Q2 - 1:55DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
29.4%
55
70.6%
Q2 - 1:57DENJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)50
28.1%
55
71.9%
Q2 - 2:13SASFinley 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)50
30.0%
55
70.0%
Q2 - 2:34SASFinley Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)50
32.6%
53
67.4%
Q2 - 2:38DENBillups 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)50
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q2 - 2:53DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
32.7%
52
67.3%
Q2 - 2:55SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
31.8%
52
68.2%
Q2 - 3:10DENSmith 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
29.9%
52
70.1%
Q2 - 3:25SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)46
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q2 - 3:51DENNene 1' Layup (10 PTS)46
32.6%
49
67.4%
Q2 - 4:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
30.4%
49
69.6%
Q2 - 4:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q2 - 4:07DENHill STEAL (1 STL)44
32.8%
47
67.2%
Q2 - 4:18DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
35.8%
47
64.2%
Q2 - 4:19SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot44
34.9%
47
65.1%
Q2 - 4:43DENNene 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)44
32.8%
47
67.2%
Q2 - 4:55SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)42
30.4%
47
69.6%
Q2 - 4:58DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)42
27.6%
47
72.4%
Q2 - 5:13SASFinley 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)42
30.6%
47
69.4%
Q2 - 5:16SASSPURS Rebound42
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q2 - 5:18SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot42
35.1%
45
64.9%
Q2 - 5:33DENNene 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q2 - 5:47SASDuncan 3' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS)40
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q2 - 6:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 6:02DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot40
34.0%
43
66.0%
Q2 - 6:10DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 6:11SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 6:28DENSmith 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 6:38SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)38
31.0%
43
69.0%
Q2 - 6:47SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
35.7%
40
64.3%
Q2 - 6:48DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 238
36.2%
40
63.8%
Q2 - 6:48DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
38.0%
40
62.0%
Q2 - 7:00SASDuncan 8' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)37
36.2%
40
63.8%
Q2 - 7:24DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)37
38.6%
38
61.4%
Q2 - 7:33SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)34
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 7:46DENLawson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
30.9%
38
69.1%
Q2 - 7:58SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
28.7%
38
71.3%
Q2 - 8:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 8:04DENMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup32
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 8:14DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
28.9%
38
71.1%
Q2 - 8:16SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
28.2%
38
71.8%
Q2 - 8:29DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 8:29DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 8:43SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 8:54SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 8:56SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot30
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 9:20DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
26.8%
36
73.2%
Q2 - 9:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 9:31SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 9:45SASSPURS Rebound27
21.0%
36
79.0%
Q2 - 9:45DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot27
21.5%
36
78.5%
Q2 - 9:53DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 9:54SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot27
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 10:14DENSmith 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
21.3%
36
78.7%
Q2 - 10:35SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)25
19.7%
36
80.3%
Q2 - 10:47DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T6)25
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 11:05SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)25
25.4%
33
74.6%
Q2 - 11:24SASJump Ball McDyess vs. Martin: Tip to McDyess25
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 11:25DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
31.6%
30
68.4%
Q2 - 11:27DENMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)25
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q2 - 11:31SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
31.6%
30
68.4%
Q2 - 11:46DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)25
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASHill 30' 3PT Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASSPURS Rebound23
31.9%
27
68.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 223
32.1%
27
67.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
33.3%
27
66.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
31.4%
27
68.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup22
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q1 - 0:12.0DENGinobili STEAL (2 STL)22
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASBlair Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
31.4%
27
68.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENNuggets Rebound22
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 221
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASGinobili 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)21
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
31.8%
25
68.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMISS Smith 1' Layup21
32.4%
25
67.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
33.6%
25
66.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q1 - 1:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.6%
23
63.4%
Q1 - 1:07DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot21
37.0%
23
63.0%
Q1 - 1:21SASBlair 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)21
38.1%
23
61.9%
Q1 - 1:40DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
41.1%
21
58.9%
Q1 - 1:40DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
40.7%
21
59.3%
Q1 - 1:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
38.1%
21
61.9%
Q1 - 1:41DENMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot19
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 1:47DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
38.1%
21
61.9%
Q1 - 1:48SASMISS Blair 3' Layup19
37.6%
21
62.4%
Q1 - 1:56SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q1 - 1:57DENMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot19
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 2:05DENBillups Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)19
38.5%
21
61.5%
Q1 - 2:11DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 2:14DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 2:26SASJefferson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)18
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 2:35SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 2:37DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot18
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 2:50DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
36.2%
21
63.8%
Q1 - 2:51SASMISS Blair 3' Layup18
35.7%
21
64.3%
Q1 - 3:09DENMartin 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)18
34.3%
21
65.7%
Q1 - 3:21DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
32.3%
21
67.7%
Q1 - 3:23SASMISS Parker 16' Step Back Jump Shot16
31.7%
21
68.3%
Q1 - 3:49DENAnthony 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q1 - 4:04SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)14
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 4:15DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)14
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 4:20SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 4:35DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 4:35DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
32.1%
18
67.9%
Q1 - 4:44SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 4:44SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 5:04SASSPURS Rebound12
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 5:05DENMISS Nene 14' Jump Shot12
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 5:26SASParker Running Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)12
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 5:32SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 5:33DENMISS Anthony 5' Running Jump Shot12
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 5:46DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 5:48SASMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot12
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 6:09DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 6:21SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)9
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 6:39DENAnthony 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 6:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 6:53SASMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Shot7
32.0%
12
68.0%
Q1 - 7:11SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
30.7%
12
69.3%
Q1 - 7:12SASMISS Parker 3' Layup7
32.0%
12
68.0%
Q1 - 7:24DENNene 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)7
30.7%
12
69.3%
Q1 - 7:35SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
29.0%
12
71.0%
Q1 - 7:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
30.7%
10
69.3%
Q1 - 7:51SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot5
32.0%
10
68.0%
Q1 - 8:10SASSPURS Rebound5
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 8:11DENMISS Anthony 2' Running Layup5
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 8:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 8:16SASMISS Jefferson 12' Fadeaway Jumper5
32.0%
10
68.0%
Q1 - 8:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 8:37DENMISS Billups 2' Layup5
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 8:58SASParker 5' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)5
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 9:14DENAnthony Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)5
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 9:32SASJefferson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
36.6%
8
63.4%
Q1 - 9:43DENNene 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)5
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 10:02SASBogans 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 10:10SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 10:12DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot3
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 10:22SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS)3
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 10:41SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 10:43DENMISS Billups 9' Jump Shot3
42.7%
2
57.3%
Q1 - 10:49DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 10:50SASMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 11:06DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 11:16SASParker 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)0
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 11:40DENMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:52DENNuggets Rebound0
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:53SASMISS Jefferson 6' Driving Jump Shot0
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Nene: Tip to Jefferson0
40.2%
0
59.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.5%
SAS
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
13
30
43%
SAS
15
26
58%
Midrange
DEN
21
40
53%
SAS
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
SAS
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
DEN
26
33
79%
SAS
26
31
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3455%17.0 / 31
C. Billups1864%9.0 / 14
J. Smith1745%8.5 / 19
Nene1260%6.0 / 10
T. Lawson1161%5.5 / 9
K. Martin956%4.5 / 8
A. Afflalo3150%1.5 / 1
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2768%13.5 / 20
T. Duncan2687%13.0 / 15
M. Ginobili1458%7.0 / 12
R. Jefferson1050%5.0 / 10
G. Hill850%4.0 / 8
M. Finley5125%2.5 / 2
D. Blair440%2.0 / 5
M. Bonner325%1.5 / 6
K. Bogans250%1.0 / 2
A. McDyess0-0.0 / 3
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
83
+16
-14
99
SAS
77
+8
-19
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.5%
SAS
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
110.4
DEN 109.3 +6.2
SAS 103.1
Pace
94.7
91.5
DEN 102.0 +10.5
SAS 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.0
DEN 14.1 +1.6
SAS 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
51.5%
DEN 50.6%
SAS 52.1% +1.5%
TO %
14.2%
14.1%
DEN 13.8% +4.7%
SAS 18.5%
ORB %
26.1%
26.8%
DEN 29.7% +14.1%
SAS 15.6%
FTrt
37.6
29.6
DEN 41.8
SAS 44.3 +2.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
58.1%
DEN 34.2%
SAS 48.5% +14.3%
STL %
8.7%
6.9%
DEN 10.3% +3.0%
SAS 7.3%
BLK %
7.9%
6.9%
DEN 18.4% +7.0%
SAS 11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
54.0%
DEN 53.5%
SAS 58.9% +5.4%
Rim FG%
61.0%
62.2%
DEN 43.3%
SAS 57.7% +14.4%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.7%
DEN 52.5% +4.7%
SAS 47.8%
3P %
35.9%
35.8%
DEN 44.4% +11.1%
SAS 33.3%
FT %
77.2%
74.0%
DEN 78.8%
SAS 83.9% +5.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.1%
DEN 38.0% +0.8%
SAS 37.1%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
40.6%
DEN 50.6%
SAS 32.9% +17.8%
3P Att. %
22.7%
23.2%
DEN 11.4%
SAS 30.0% +18.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points10699
Rebounds3831
Assists1316
Steals107
Blocks98
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)26 (4)
Field Goals38-7933-70
At-the-Rim FG13-3015-26
Midrange FG21-4011-23
2-Point FG34-7026-49
3-Point FG4-97-21
Free Throws26-3326-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
42.3
34
55%
7
2
0
1
2
4
4
3
6-8
75%
14-26
54%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
37.9
12
60%
1
2
3
1
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 32
37.3
9
56%
13
1
2
3
2
2
4
9
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
32.9
18
64%
2
5
1
1
2
2
1
1
8-9
89%
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
19.0
3
150%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
28.6
17
45%
7
1
3
2
4
3
0
7
4-5
80%
5-13
38%
1-4
25%
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
21.4
11
61%
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
5-7
71%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
20.5
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 31
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
#27 · C · 7'0" 247 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
54%
38
13
10
9
14
0
11
27
26-33
79%
34-70
49%
4-9
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.