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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks30%9880
6Mavericks70%10575
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.4
43.8
37.4
31
60%
7
3
1
1
0
3
1
6
4-4
100%
12-19
6-13
63%
47%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
37.6
33.8
11
51%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
5-10
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.5
36.2
33.3
3
21%
15
1
3
1
1
0
1
14
0-0
-
0-6
4-8
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.0
26.6
22.3
12
39%
6
2
1
1
1
4
4
2
4-10
40%
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.6
21.1
30.0
2
11%
4
6
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-5
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.7
30.8
31.2
6
25%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-11
3-7
27%
45%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.4
18.6
9.0
9
46%
7
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
3-4
75%
3-8
1-2
38%
46%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.8
13.0
15.4
6
51%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.1
8.1
13.6
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.5
4.2
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.9
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.0
2.3
0
0-0
37%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.5
43.9
36.6
32
56%
9
2
1
1
4
2
1
8
8-10
80%
9-18
8-16
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.2
39.9
32.7
17
48%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
52%
3-8
38%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.7
38.9
31.7
3
26%
8
6
1
1
1
2
0
8
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-5
20%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.6
31.7
30.4
8
52%
5
2
0
1
2
2
2
3
2-4
50%
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.4
31.0
20.7
0
0%
12
0
1
0
4
2
1
11
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
61%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
21.6
15.1
5
36%
7
2
0
0
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
17.4
19.3
5
63%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
15.4
21.8
5
43%
2
0
0
0
3
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
0.1
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
8.0
0
1-3
47%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
6.9
0
1-1
53%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.3
2.7
0
0-0
44%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.8
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.6
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.