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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Magic69%110126
24Warriors31%103118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
41.7
31.8
20
68%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
3-7
43%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.0
36.6
29.3
12
61%
5
8
1
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
36.3
23.4
22
73%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
6-7
86%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
4-8
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.9
34.2
33.5
27
74%
5
7
2
1
1
1
0
5
12-12
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
48%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
31.2
32.9
17
60%
8
2
2
1
2
4
2
6
5-7
71%
6-11
6-10
55%
60%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.7
17.6
21.1
11
87%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
3-3
2-3
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
12.2
8.7
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
57%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.2
11.4
16.4
5
63%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
9.4
15.1
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
9.4
11.9
4
69%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
13.9
0
1-3
49%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.8
9.0
0
1-2
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
48.0
39.7
33
59%
2
7
1
2
0
7
0
2
9-11
82%
12-21
9-18
57%
50%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
46.1
31.4
13
52%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
41.5
30.2
8
44%
4
2
4
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
2-4
50%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
30.2
28.3
17
75%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.1
7.9
15.1
4
50%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.4
34.9
9.0
28
52%
13
5
1
0
1
0
6
7
8-9
89%
10-23
2-3
43%
46%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
26.3
24.7
11
54%
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
9-12
75%
1-4
4-9
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
5.0
18.3
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
35.9
1
3-6
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
6.2
0
1-1
57%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.9
5.8
0
1-1
48%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
3.2
0
0-0
41%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.6
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.0
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.