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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers46%10072
26Clippers54%10188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.6
37.5
30.5
13
73%
9
1
0
1
2
1
2
7
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
31.5
29.1
6
38%
5
1
0
1
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.6
18.6
39.0
11
40%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-9
5-11
44%
47%
0-3
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.7
18.3
27.4
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
12.3
23.4
4
58%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.5
29.7
21.3
7
27%
1
9
4
1
0
5
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-6
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.0
25.4
15.3
12
61%
4
3
0
0
2
2
1
3
2-4
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
23.5
18.5
5
51%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.2
22.4
21.7
10
45%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
48%
2-4
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.1
20.9
11.8
4
34%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
4.5
0
0-1
46%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
4.4
0
0-1
52%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.8
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.8
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.6
36.4
34.9
12
40%
2
4
1
2
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
2-7
29%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
36.3
35.9
12
56%
17
6
1
1
3
2
6
11
6-6
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
35.1
35.3
19
57%
7
1
0
1
0
4
4
3
5-6
83%
7-14
6-12
50%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
31.8
32.9
10
44%
3
0
3
1
0
5
0
3
3-3
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
29.6
35.9
16
59%
11
1
0
1
2
4
3
8
6-6
100%
5-11
8-15
45%
51%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.5
16.6
27.2
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.1
12.6
15.1
4
30%
5
2
0
0
0
0
3
2
4-6
67%
0-4
3-5
0%
57%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.4
11.9
7.8
3
31%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
58%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.5
11.7
12.6
6
75%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
10.9
3.1
6
44%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.2
7.2
12.8
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
2.7
0
0-0
54%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.7
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.