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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards45%9694
20Pistons55%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
36.9
35.0
13
38%
2
0
2
1
1
1
0
2
4-7
57%
3-9
5-10
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
35.0
37.0
20
51%
10
0
1
1
0
4
4
6
1-1
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
48%
3-6
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
31.7
34.9
8
40%
6
9
0
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
5-11
60%
47%
0-4
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.0
31.7
34.0
6
50%
11
0
0
1
2
2
5
6
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
17.8
25.9
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.5
25.3
24.6
18
66%
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
6-6
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
20.4
19.0
9
53%
5
1
1
1
1
4
1
4
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.2
13.2
7.4
12
90%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
6-6
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
13.0
5.6
4
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
8.1
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
7.0
6.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
3.1
0
0-0
57%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.8
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.8
38.0
28.4
10
51%
11
1
1
1
0
2
4
7
3-4
75%
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
1-3
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
34.8
31.7
0
0%
8
5
2
1
1
4
5
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.6
34.8
36.0
25
57%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
7-9
78%
9-17
7-15
53%
45%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.3
21.4
14.4
7
47%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-3
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.8
9.2
23.2
2
25%
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
56%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.3
36.8
16.6
18
46%
4
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
7-11
3-5
64%
51%
1-8
13%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.9
27.9
29.7
16
44%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
9-14
64%
2-8
5-10
25%
48%
1-4
25%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.7
13.2
16.0
4
52%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.5
12.4
14.2
11
110%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
11.6
22.5
5
78%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-5
60%
1-1
3-7
100%
48%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
0.1
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
6.0
0
1-2
52%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.8
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.