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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Nuggets54%9895
15Bobcats46%97107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
41.4
35.5
34
63%
7
2
0
1
0
6
1
6
10-11
91%
12-20
8-17
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
36.1
32.3
8
52%
10
0
1
1
1
1
0
10
2-4
50%
3-5
5-8
60%
57%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.2
33.5
34.3
14
51%
0
1
1
1
0
5
0
0
6-6
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
43%
0-2
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
24.1
23.9
2
20%
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.5
19.6
6.4
8
68%
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
29.6
24.3
16
49%
2
4
4
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
49%
1-5
20%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.4
29.2
22.5
8
69%
8
0
2
0
3
1
4
4
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.1
18.7
21.9
5
50%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.4
7.9
2.2
0
0%
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.9
32.6
1
4-8
49%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.5
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.9
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
44.5
39.4
25
60%
16
1
1
2
1
2
5
11
8-11
73%
7-14
5-10
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.7
42.5
39.1
25
54%
7
6
3
1
0
4
0
7
9-9
100%
8-15
5-11
53%
46%
0-4
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.5
35.5
34.1
14
100%
2
3
6
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
5-10
80%
45%
2-2
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
30.9
33.6
7
35%
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
53%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.2
13.4
25.7
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
4
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
58%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.3
22.8
13.1
15
66%
5
2
0
0
1
0
4
1
9-10
90%
3-7
2-5
43%
52%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
14.0
16.2
10
85%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
2-3
67%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.1
12.5
6.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
9.7
8.6
4
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.3
8.4
8.7
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.0
3.6
11.4
2
43%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.9
2.1
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.9
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.