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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks16%8789
1Celtics84%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
42.9
23.2
19
48%
8
1
3
1
0
1
3
5
5-6
83%
4-11
3-6
36%
47%
2-6
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
39.6
31.5
25
68%
14
5
1
1
2
7
4
10
3-3
100%
11-17
6-11
65%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
38.8
36.4
17
42%
3
4
0
1
0
4
2
1
3-3
100%
7-15
5-14
47%
40%
0-4
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.3
31.6
29.4
12
60%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
29.4
18.8
7
64%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
29.1
23.7
2
33%
7
2
0
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
15.1
24.1
3
32%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
13.5
24.8
4
34%
4
2
0
1
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
9.4
0
1-2
40%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.2
8.9
0
1-2
46%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
7.3
0
1-2
45%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
7.1
0
1-2
42%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.8
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.8
38.5
32.1
11
46%
9
13
5
2
0
1
3
6
5-7
71%
3-7
5-9
43%
52%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.2
37.5
33.8
15
64%
5
5
1
1
0
5
0
5
5-6
83%
5-7
4-7
71%
50%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.4
36.3
34.8
13
63%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
33.2
28.7
25
74%
9
0
2
1
0
2
1
8
7-9
78%
9-13
6-11
69%
54%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.1
30.1
28.4
15
84%
5
2
2
0
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
7-8
4-7
88%
60%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.6
21.8
16.5
4
25%
2
0
3
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.2
17.9
17.1
13
81%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
3-4
75%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
14.9
10.7
2
25%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.9
6.0
12.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
3.8
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
4.1
0
0-1
50%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.9
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.2
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.