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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Suns31%102101
7Mavericks69%108102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
41.1
30.8
25
55%
8
4
2
1
0
1
0
8
6-6
100%
8-14
3-7
57%
50%
1-6
17%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.8
40.6
31.4
27
77%
2
8
0
1
0
6
0
2
6-6
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
52%
3-3
100%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.1
34.4
33.2
20
63%
5
3
0
1
1
3
1
4
4-4
100%
8-13
7-12
62%
54%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.2
33.7
32.2
9
37%
4
5
2
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
50%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.6
30.6
35.3
2
14%
9
3
0
1
2
1
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-4
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
28.7
21.5
11
72%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
16.6
16.5
5
50%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
11.6
9.6
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.7
2.8
12.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.9
8.0
0
1-3
47%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.8
4.1
0
1-1
45%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.0
3.4
0
0-0
42%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.0
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.5
40.8
38.6
33
69%
8
3
0
1
1
0
3
5
9-9
100%
12-20
9-18
60%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.6
38.4
30.3
10
33%
7
1
1
1
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-13
5-9
38%
54%
0-2
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.7
37.6
33.6
7
39%
6
11
1
2
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-7
14%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
29.6
18.7
14
88%
2
6
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.4
6.9
24.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
62%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.2
35.9
34.7
15
51%
1
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
4-6
67%
4-7
4-8
57%
53%
1-5
20%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.6
26.2
21.8
20
64%
6
1
3
1
1
1
0
6
6-6
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
15.5
19.5
2
14%
7
1
0
0
1
4
3
4
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
9.1
6.0
1
27%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
0.1
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
17.0
0
2-3
48%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
5.0
0
1-1
54%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.6
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.8
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.