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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons44%9390
2076ers56%9586
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.6
40.9
35.0
27
61%
5
8
2
1
0
2
1
4
7-7
100%
10-19
7-14
53%
45%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.8
38.7
31.9
17
66%
10
2
0
1
0
4
4
6
2-2
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
53%
1-2
50%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.3
29.8
17.2
8
51%
1
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
29.6
32.6
0
0%
12
1
4
1
0
2
4
8
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.8
25.5
17.2
12
61%
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
55%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.3
27.4
25.3
11
44%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
0-3
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.9
18.5
28.5
4
29%
1
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
5-9
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.8
18.0
14.8
11
65%
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
7-8
88%
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.5
9.3
13.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
2.3
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
18.1
0
3-5
48%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
4.3
0
1-1
51%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.8
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.9
46.4
40.4
18
45%
6
9
2
2
2
2
0
6
2-5
40%
5-11
6-12
45%
51%
2-7
29%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.7
39.0
32.6
17
55%
6
3
0
1
3
1
4
2
3-3
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.6
38.1
30.3
17
82%
11
2
0
1
1
0
5
6
3-3
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
51%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
36.1
39.4
11
39%
4
3
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
6-12
17%
53%
3-8
38%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.5
33.5
24.4
11
44%
0
3
2
1
1
6
0
0
5-6
83%
3-10
4-9
30%
45%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
19.5
26.6
6
77%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
19.1
15.8
4
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.8
6.7
8.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.0
1.6
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.5
10.5
0
1-2
47%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.7
9.2
0
1-1
48%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.3
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.