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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Warriors49%104105
27Nets51%10589
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
43.2
43.8
18
41%
4
8
4
2
0
5
0
4
4-5
80%
7-19
10-20
37%
51%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
40.7
17.2
6
40%
2
1
2
1
1
5
1
1
1-1
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
52%
1-2
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
30.2
35.7
14
50%
4
4
3
2
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
48%
1-4
25%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.1
27.2
15.8
16
67%
7
2
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
8-12
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
19.3
31.2
9
57%
9
0
0
1
0
1
5
4
1-2
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
30.3
35.8
18
64%
2
2
5
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
3-7
60%
50%
2-4
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
28.7
22.5
13
62%
9
2
2
1
1
2
1
8
5-8
63%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.4
20.4
21.9
11
66%
9
4
1
1
3
0
5
4
3-3
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
10.8
0
1-3
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
6.2
0
1-1
60%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.9
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.0
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
42.4
32.5
15
55%
8
3
2
2
0
1
1
7
3-4
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
39.0
37.2
10
38%
7
1
0
1
0
5
3
4
0-0
-
5-11
7-14
45%
50%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.8
38.5
37.1
19
54%
2
2
2
2
1
4
0
2
11-15
73%
4-10
5-11
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.7
36.4
36.9
21
61%
10
2
2
1
1
6
5
5
5-5
100%
8-15
8-15
53%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.0
25.4
25.7
6
51%
6
2
3
1
1
0
2
4
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.4
30.4
16.3
12
42%
5
2
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-1
0%
6-12
2-4
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
10.9
14.0
6
51%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
6.2
5.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.8
6.2
11.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
4.5
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.5
12.1
0
1-2
47%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
11.1
0
2-4
45%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.4
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.