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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Raptors41%10095
17Bucks59%103117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.7
38.6
33.0
26
59%
10
2
0
1
0
1
1
9
12-14
86%
7-16
8-15
44%
49%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
32.8
30.7
12
52%
3
7
3
1
0
4
0
3
0-1
0%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
0-3
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.7
30.7
31.9
9
56%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
1-2
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.3
24.5
23.4
8
60%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-6
67%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.5
13.0
9.8
2
25%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
24.1
18.1
7
51%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
21.7
14.9
10
73%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
18.8
5.7
12
87%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-5
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.1
15.2
5.7
2
26%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.6
13.5
14.9
4
69%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
3.9
3.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
3.1
2.1
3
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.1
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
39.7
23.4
16
78%
4
0
2
1
1
2
0
4
4-5
80%
6-7
2-5
86%
48%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.3
36.5
30.1
14
51%
8
3
0
1
1
1
1
7
4-4
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
34.4
36.9
22
74%
2
6
2
1
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
7-14
57%
46%
4-7
57%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
32.7
31.0
17
62%
9
0
0
1
0
3
3
6
5-6
83%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
27.6
34.6
12
51%
8
1
0
1
1
1
4
4
2-2
100%
5-11
7-13
45%
56%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
25.1
4.8
17
73%
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
3-4
1-1
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
16.2
6.6
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
14.6
20.6
15
76%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
13.2
20.2
4
45%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
26.1
1
2-4
46%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.2
6.3
0
1-1
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
5.4
0
1-1
49%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.