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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz27%9777
2Lakers73%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.1
36.2
38.6
11
33%
12
2
0
1
0
1
3
9
1-2
50%
5-16
8-16
31%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.7
34.0
39.4
9
46%
5
1
3
2
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
52%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
32.7
32.3
7
26%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
48%
0-3
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
32.5
37.6
17
51%
2
8
1
1
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
6-13
6-11
46%
50%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
32.1
28.5
14
50%
8
1
1
1
2
2
4
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
2-6
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
29.3
17.9
14
58%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
23.4
25.0
5
43%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
1-4
4-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
15.5
11.4
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.8
4.2
1.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
9.7
0
1-2
48%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.0
4.7
0
1-1
51%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.7
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
38.9
33.6
16
51%
7
3
0
1
0
1
4
3
5-6
83%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
37.8
35.8
27
60%
6
8
2
2
2
2
0
6
6-8
75%
9-16
8-16
56%
51%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.4
32.6
34.0
19
78%
12
4
0
1
1
3
4
8
5-5
100%
7-10
6-11
70%
56%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.1
31.6
30.3
14
54%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
6-9
67%
4-9
6-10
44%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.3
18.5
25.7
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
29.7
23.1
7
39%
10
2
0
1
2
0
1
9
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
1-4
25%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
20.6
18.7
11
59%
4
1
2
1
1
2
1
3
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
18.3
18.7
4
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.8
9.9
4.5
3
150%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-1
100%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
2.1
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.4
6.2
0
1-1
40%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.9
3.8
0
1-1
49%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.