FinalWin Prob.pScore
569%103
99
2131%96
101
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
111.28996.1
DET logo DET
112.29083.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN99
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound99
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENMISS Billups Layup99
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)99
17.5%
101
82.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETMISS Atkins 9' Jump Shot99
14.4%
101
85.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETPISTONS Rebound99
15.1%
101
84.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETMISS Stuckey 16' Jump Shot99
25.9%
101
74.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)99
22.7%
101
77.3%
Q4 - 0:52.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 299
24.6%
101
75.4%
Q4 - 0:52.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (40 PTS)99
34.4%
101
65.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0DETStuckey Driving Layup (25 PTS)98
24.7%
101
75.3%
Q4 - 1:12DENWallace STEAL (3 STL)98
40.0%
99
60.0%
Q4 - 1:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)98
56.4%
99
43.6%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Stuckey 12' Jump Shot98
51.5%
99
48.5%
Q4 - 1:36DENAnthony 9' Running Jump Shot (39 PTS)98
42.7%
99
57.3%
Q4 - 1:58DETWallace Tip Shot (7 PTS)96
33.1%
99
66.9%
Q4 - 2:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)96
43.6%
97
56.4%
Q4 - 2:02DETMISS Atkins Layup96
54.5%
97
45.5%
Q4 - 2:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)96
42.8%
97
57.2%
Q4 - 2:23DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 296
57.9%
97
42.1%
Q4 - 2:23DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)96
49.7%
97
50.3%
Q4 - 2:23DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
55.3%
96
44.7%
Q4 - 2:23DENMISS Anthony 10' Jump Shot96
60.6%
96
39.4%
Q4 - 2:36DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
71.5%
96
28.5%
Q4 - 2:37DETMISS Atkins Driving Layup96
67.0%
96
33.0%
Q4 - 3:00DENBillups 18' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)96
57.2%
96
42.8%
Q4 - 3:15DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)94
49.4%
96
50.6%
Q4 - 3:15DETMISS Jerebko Free Throw 1 of 294
52.4%
95
47.6%
Q4 - 3:16DETPISTONS Rebound94
45.5%
95
54.5%
Q4 - 3:17DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
50.2%
95
49.8%
Q4 - 3:37DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
60.1%
95
39.9%
Q4 - 3:37DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
61.6%
94
38.4%
Q4 - 3:54DENAnthony Driving Layup (37 PTS)94
68.1%
93
31.9%
Q4 - 4:14DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)92
59.9%
93
40.1%
Q4 - 4:14DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 292
64.2%
92
35.8%
Q4 - 4:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)92
59.1%
92
40.9%
Q4 - 4:14DETMISS Jerebko 3PT Jump Shot92
66.0%
92
34.0%
Q4 - 4:31DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)92
59.1%
92
40.9%
Q4 - 4:48DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)89
40.4%
92
59.6%
Q4 - 5:09DETPISTONS Rebound89
35.6%
92
64.4%
Q4 - 5:09DENMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot89
38.1%
92
61.9%
Q4 - 5:20DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
43.9%
92
56.1%
Q4 - 5:21DETMISS Jerebko Putback Dunk89
41.3%
92
58.7%
Q4 - 5:23DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)89
35.4%
92
64.6%
Q4 - 5:24DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot89
41.3%
92
58.7%
Q4 - 5:42DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)89
35.3%
92
64.7%
Q4 - 5:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)86
21.9%
92
78.1%
Q4 - 5:51DENMISS Smith Tip Shot86
18.0%
92
82.0%
Q4 - 5:52DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
21.9%
92
78.1%
Q4 - 5:53DENMISS Smith Layup86
18.0%
92
82.0%
Q4 - 6:23DETVillanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T11)86
26.8%
92
73.2%
Q4 - 6:36DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
20.8%
92
79.2%
Q4 - 6:37DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
22.5%
92
77.5%
Q4 - 6:43DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
26.6%
92
73.4%
Q4 - 6:45DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
24.7%
92
75.3%
Q4 - 7:03DENBillups 19' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
24.6%
92
75.4%
Q4 - 7:16DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)84
20.1%
92
79.9%
Q4 - 7:16DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 284
20.8%
91
79.2%
Q4 - 7:22DENSummers STEAL (1 STL)84
19.7%
91
80.3%
Q4 - 7:30DENNuggets Rebound84
24.9%
91
75.1%
Q4 - 7:30DENVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)84
21.2%
91
78.8%
Q4 - 7:36DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
24.9%
91
75.1%
Q4 - 7:37DETMISS Villanueva 12' Running Jump Shot84
23.2%
91
76.8%
Q4 - 7:54DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)84
19.5%
91
80.5%
Q4 - 8:13DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)84
28.0%
91
72.0%
Q4 - 8:13DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)84
28.7%
90
71.3%
Q4 - 8:34DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)84
33.5%
89
66.5%
Q4 - 8:52DETBrown Dunk (3 PTS) (Villanueva 5 AST)81
22.9%
89
77.1%
Q4 - 9:15DENAndersen Tip Shot (9 PTS)81
31.0%
87
69.0%
Q4 - 9:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
26.0%
87
74.0%
Q4 - 9:17DENMISS Smith Layup79
23.0%
87
77.0%
Q4 - 9:30DETSummers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)79
25.9%
87
74.1%
Q4 - 9:50DETPISTONS Rebound79
36.2%
84
63.8%
Q4 - 9:52DENSummers BLOCK (1 BLK)79
37.8%
84
62.2%
Q4 - 10:04DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Summers 1 AST)79
43.6%
84
56.4%
Q4 - 10:08DETSummers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
54.7%
81
45.3%
Q4 - 10:10DETMISS Brown Layup79
58.6%
81
41.4%
Q4 - 10:11DETBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
54.7%
81
45.3%
Q4 - 10:12DETMISS Stuckey Layup79
58.6%
81
41.4%
Q4 - 10:34DENSmith Driving Layup (14 PTS)79
54.7%
81
45.3%
Q4 - 10:49DETBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)77
49.1%
81
50.9%
Q4 - 10:49DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 277
51.4%
80
48.6%
Q4 - 11:08DENSmith Layup (12 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)77
50.7%
80
49.3%
Q4 - 11:14DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
45.2%
80
54.8%
Q4 - 11:15DETMISS Villanueva 16' Turnaround Jump Shot75
43.6%
80
56.4%
Q4 - 11:40DENAnthony Layup (26 PTS)75
40.0%
80
60.0%
Q4 - 11:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
34.9%
80
65.1%
Q4 - 11:45DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
31.7%
80
68.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET73
34.8%
80
65.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)73
30.3%
80
69.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
33.5%
80
66.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
36.4%
80
63.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
38.7%
79
61.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T12)73
41.7%
78
58.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
46.2%
78
53.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
47.1%
77
52.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
51.7%
76
48.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot73
53.1%
76
46.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
56.3%
76
43.7%
Q3 - 1:07DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
66.4%
73
33.6%
Q3 - 1:08DENMISS Smith Dunk73
67.7%
73
32.3%
Q3 - 1:12DETSummers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)73
70.4%
73
29.6%
Q3 - 1:32DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
66.4%
73
33.6%
Q3 - 1:32DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
65.4%
73
34.6%
Q3 - 1:39DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)71
61.6%
73
38.4%
Q3 - 1:40DETMISS Jerebko 5' Hook Shot71
60.2%
73
39.8%
Q3 - 1:44DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
57.2%
73
42.8%
Q3 - 1:45DETMISS Jerebko 8' Jump Shot71
60.2%
73
39.8%
Q3 - 1:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
57.2%
73
42.8%
Q3 - 1:55DETMISS Daye 7' Running Hook Shot71
60.2%
73
39.8%
Q3 - 2:13DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
57.9%
73
42.1%
Q3 - 2:15DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 271
58.5%
73
41.5%
Q3 - 2:15DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 271
61.3%
73
38.7%
Q3 - 2:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
62.4%
73
37.6%
Q3 - 2:17DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot71
59.3%
73
40.7%
Q3 - 2:17DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
62.3%
73
37.7%
Q3 - 2:19DENMISS Andersen Layup71
59.2%
73
40.8%
Q3 - 2:27DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
62.3%
73
37.7%
Q3 - 2:28DETMISS Daye 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
61.0%
73
39.0%
Q3 - 2:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
57.8%
73
42.2%
Q3 - 2:43DENMISS Billups 11' Turnaround Jump Shot71
59.2%
73
40.8%
Q3 - 2:57DETDaye 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
62.3%
73
37.7%
Q3 - 3:19DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)71
67.7%
71
32.3%
Q3 - 3:43DETVillanueva 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS)68
59.6%
71
40.4%
Q3 - 4:04DENAnthony Driving Layup (24 PTS)68
63.5%
69
36.5%
Q3 - 4:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
60.1%
69
39.9%
Q3 - 4:19DETMISS Stuckey 11' Running Jump Shot66
58.6%
69
41.4%
Q3 - 4:34DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)66
55.2%
69
44.8%
Q3 - 4:34DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)65
54.8%
69
45.2%
Q3 - 4:34DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)64
54.3%
69
45.7%
Q3 - 4:42DETVillanueva Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)63
47.1%
69
52.9%
Q3 - 5:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
51.4%
67
48.6%
Q3 - 5:05DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 263
52.1%
67
47.9%
Q3 - 5:05DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
54.6%
67
45.4%
Q3 - 5:17DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)62
51.9%
67
48.1%
Q3 - 5:17DETPISTONS Rebound62
47.2%
67
52.8%
Q3 - 5:17DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot62
50.5%
67
49.5%
Q3 - 5:46DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
47.1%
67
52.9%
Q3 - 6:11DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
41.2%
67
58.8%
Q3 - 6:11DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
42.7%
66
57.3%
Q3 - 6:30DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
44.6%
65
55.4%
Q3 - 6:48DETMaxiell 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
41.1%
65
58.9%
Q3 - 7:10DENWallace STEAL (2 STL)57
45.8%
63
54.2%
Q3 - 7:27DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)57
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q3 - 7:27DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)57
50.5%
62
49.5%
Q3 - 7:51DENGraham 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)57
53.5%
61
46.5%
Q3 - 8:09DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)55
50.6%
61
49.4%
Q3 - 8:13DENStuckey STEAL (2 STL)55
57.8%
58
42.2%
Q3 - 8:29DETStuckey Driving Layup (18 PTS)55
61.7%
58
38.3%
Q3 - 8:43DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)55
64.9%
56
35.1%
Q3 - 8:55DETMaxiell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)52
58.0%
56
42.0%
Q3 - 9:11DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q3 - 9:12DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup52
56.0%
56
44.0%
Q3 - 9:27DETJerebko Layup (8 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)52
58.6%
56
41.4%
Q3 - 9:48DENAnthony Dunk (22 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)52
62.0%
54
38.0%
Q3 - 9:59DETStuckey Traveling Turnover (P4.T7)50
58.6%
54
41.4%
Q3 - 10:07DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
55.9%
54
44.1%
Q3 - 10:08DENMISS Anthony 17' Turnaround Jump Shot50
56.9%
54
43.1%
Q3 - 10:34DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
59.4%
54
40.6%
Q3 - 10:35DETMISS Atkins 18' Jump Shot50
58.3%
54
41.7%
Q3 - 10:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q3 - 10:42DENMISS Billups 18' Turnaround Jump Shot50
56.9%
54
43.1%
Q3 - 10:54DENNuggets Rebound50
59.3%
54
40.7%
Q3 - 10:55DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot50
56.9%
54
43.1%
Q3 - 11:15DETMaxiell Layup (4 PTS)50
60.3%
54
39.7%
Q3 - 11:16DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
63.4%
52
36.6%
Q3 - 11:17DETMISS Jerebko Layup50
65.8%
52
34.2%
Q3 - 11:20DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
63.4%
52
36.6%
Q3 - 11:21DETMISS Atkins 19' Jump Shot50
65.8%
52
34.2%
Q3 - 11:36DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)50
63.4%
52
36.6%
Q3 - 11:40DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)50
66.7%
52
33.3%
Q3 - 11:41DETMISS Jerebko 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
65.7%
52
34.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET50
63.4%
52
36.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound50
63.4%
52
36.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stuckey 58' 3PT Jump Shot50
65.7%
52
34.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENBillups Layup (6 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)50
64.6%
52
35.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)48
60.7%
52
39.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 248
60.4%
52
39.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)48
57.9%
52
42.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0DETPISTONS Rebound48
61.4%
51
38.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETMISS Stuckey 16' Pullup Jump Shot48
63.1%
51
36.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
61.4%
51
38.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 247
60.5%
51
39.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENNuggets Rebound47
60.7%
51
39.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot47
58.9%
51
41.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
60.7%
51
39.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
58.9%
51
41.1%
Q2 - 1:02DETVillanueva 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)47
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q2 - 1:20DENAnthony 16' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)47
65.1%
49
34.9%
Q2 - 1:47DETStuckey Driving Layup (15 PTS)45
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q2 - 1:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
65.1%
47
34.9%
Q2 - 1:53DENMISS Nene Layup45
65.8%
47
34.2%
Q2 - 2:10DETJerebko Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)45
68.0%
47
32.0%
Q2 - 2:30DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
65.0%
47
35.0%
Q2 - 2:30DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
64.7%
47
35.3%
Q2 - 2:42DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)43
62.1%
47
37.9%
Q2 - 2:53DENAnthony Putback Dunk (18 PTS)43
59.0%
47
41.0%
Q2 - 2:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
55.9%
47
44.1%
Q2 - 2:59DENMISS Nene Reverse Layup41
53.6%
47
46.4%
Q2 - 3:16DETJerebko Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)41
57.2%
47
42.8%
Q2 - 3:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
59.6%
45
40.4%
Q2 - 3:21DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot41
60.7%
45
39.3%
Q2 - 3:50DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Villanueva 4 AST)41
63.1%
45
36.9%
Q2 - 4:12DENLawson Palming Turnover (P2.T8)41
66.0%
43
34.0%
Q2 - 4:24DETStuckey Layup (13 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)41
68.9%
43
31.1%
Q2 - 4:40DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)41
71.2%
41
28.8%
Q2 - 4:40DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
66.2%
41
33.8%
Q2 - 4:43DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
64.1%
41
35.9%
Q2 - 4:51DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
66.2%
41
33.8%
Q2 - 4:52DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 238
65.8%
41
34.2%
Q2 - 4:52DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 238
64.8%
41
35.2%
Q2 - 4:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
63.1%
41
36.9%
Q2 - 4:52DETMISS Villanueva 11' Hook Shot38
65.3%
41
34.7%
Q2 - 5:15DENAnthony Layup (13 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)38
64.0%
41
36.0%
Q2 - 5:19DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)36
61.1%
41
38.9%
Q2 - 5:28DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
58.2%
41
41.8%
Q2 - 5:29DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
59.1%
41
40.9%
Q2 - 5:45DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
61.0%
41
39.0%
Q2 - 5:46DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot36
59.1%
41
40.9%
Q2 - 6:01DENNuggets Rebound36
61.5%
41
38.5%
Q2 - 6:01DENDaye BLOCK (1 BLK)36
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q2 - 6:08DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
61.5%
41
38.5%
Q2 - 6:10DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot36
60.5%
41
39.5%
Q2 - 6:41DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
58.2%
41
41.8%
Q2 - 6:42DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q2 - 6:58DETAtkins Layup (2 PTS)36
61.5%
41
38.5%
Q2 - 7:02DENWallace STEAL (1 STL)36
64.7%
39
35.3%
Q2 - 7:19DETVillanueva Layup (17 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)36
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q2 - 7:23DENAtkins STEAL (2 STL)36
69.6%
37
30.4%
Q2 - 7:27DETDaye 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)36
72.1%
37
27.9%
Q2 - 7:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 7:44DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 136
74.5%
35
25.5%
Q2 - 7:59DETMaxiell 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)34
72.0%
35
28.0%
Q2 - 8:15DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
74.2%
33
25.8%
Q2 - 8:17DETMISS Maxiell 13' Jump Shot34
75.7%
33
24.3%
Q2 - 8:27DENAtkins STEAL (1 STL)34
74.2%
33
25.8%
Q2 - 8:31DETBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)34
76.3%
33
23.7%
Q2 - 8:50DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
74.3%
33
25.7%
Q2 - 8:50DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
73.7%
33
26.3%
Q2 - 9:02DETDaye 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)32
72.2%
33
27.8%
Q2 - 9:26DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)32
76.1%
30
23.9%
Q2 - 9:35DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
72.2%
30
27.8%
Q2 - 9:36DETMISS Villanueva 7' Turnaround Jump Shot29
71.5%
30
28.5%
Q2 - 9:55DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)29
69.8%
30
30.2%
Q2 - 10:02DETVillanueva 6' Hook Shot (15 PTS)26
65.4%
30
34.6%
Q2 - 10:19DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
67.5%
28
32.5%
Q2 - 10:22DENMISS Graham 14' Jump Shot26
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q2 - 10:28DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
69.9%
28
30.1%
Q2 - 10:29DETMISS Villanueva 11' Jump Shot26
69.2%
28
30.8%
Q2 - 10:40DENMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)26
67.5%
28
32.5%
Q2 - 10:58DETVillanueva Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)26
69.9%
28
30.1%
Q2 - 10:58DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)26
70.3%
27
29.7%
Q2 - 10:58DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)26
70.7%
26
29.3%
Q2 - 11:23DENSmith 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
73.9%
25
26.1%
Q2 - 11:44DETVillanueva 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)24
71.9%
25
28.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET24
73.9%
23
26.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETSummers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
73.9%
23
26.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Billups Reverse Layup24
74.5%
23
25.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T2)24
75.5%
23
24.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
74.0%
23
26.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENMISS Smith 9' Running Jump Shot24
74.5%
23
25.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)24
75.5%
23
24.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)24
75.7%
22
24.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
77.6%
21
22.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETMISS Daye 12' Jump Shot24
78.5%
21
21.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)24
77.6%
21
22.4%
Q1 - 1:08DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
73.6%
21
26.4%
Q1 - 1:08DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 221
73.9%
20
26.1%
Q1 - 1:28DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
74.2%
20
25.8%
Q1 - 1:28DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
74.0%
20
26.0%
Q1 - 1:41DETJerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)19
71.7%
20
28.3%
Q1 - 1:52DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
76.0%
17
24.0%
Q1 - 1:53DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot19
76.3%
17
23.7%
Q1 - 2:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
77.3%
17
22.7%
Q1 - 2:16DETMISS Villanueva Layup19
76.9%
17
23.1%
Q1 - 2:33DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
75.9%
17
24.1%
Q1 - 2:33DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
75.5%
17
24.5%
Q1 - 2:49DETVillanueva 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)17
73.9%
17
26.1%
Q1 - 3:02DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
76.1%
15
23.9%
Q1 - 3:12DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
74.4%
15
25.6%
Q1 - 3:13DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
73.8%
15
26.2%
Q1 - 3:35DENAnthony Driving Dunk (6 PTS)15
72.5%
15
27.5%
Q1 - 3:49DETStuckey Driving Layup (8 PTS)13
70.7%
15
29.3%
Q1 - 3:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
72.5%
13
27.5%
Q1 - 3:59DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
73.1%
13
26.9%
Q1 - 4:23DETVillanueva Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)13
74.4%
13
25.6%
Q1 - 4:38DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
76.0%
11
24.0%
Q1 - 4:39DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot13
76.5%
11
23.5%
Q1 - 4:54DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
77.7%
11
22.3%
Q1 - 4:55DETMISS Villanueva 9' Hook Shot13
77.2%
11
22.8%
Q1 - 5:11DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
75.6%
11
24.4%
Q1 - 5:11DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
75.3%
11
24.7%
Q1 - 5:22DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
74.1%
11
25.9%
Q1 - 5:23DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 211
73.9%
11
26.1%
Q1 - 5:23DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)11
72.7%
11
27.3%
Q1 - 5:27DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
74.0%
10
26.0%
Q1 - 5:29DENMISS Billups 14' Fadeaway Jumper11
74.5%
10
25.5%
Q1 - 5:42DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
75.8%
10
24.2%
Q1 - 5:42DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
76.0%
9
24.0%
Q1 - 5:46DENJerebko STEAL (1 STL)11
77.2%
8
22.8%
Q1 - 6:00DETVillanueva 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
78.8%
8
21.2%
Q1 - 6:20DENGraham Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)11
80.2%
6
19.8%
Q1 - 6:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
78.9%
6
21.1%
Q1 - 6:26DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot9
78.4%
6
21.6%
Q1 - 6:44DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
77.3%
6
22.7%
Q1 - 6:57DENNuggets Rebound9
78.8%
6
21.2%
Q1 - 6:57DETMISS Jerebko Free Throw 2 of 29
78.6%
6
21.4%
Q1 - 6:57DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
77.8%
6
22.2%
Q1 - 6:57DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
78.8%
5
21.2%
Q1 - 6:57DETMISS Atkins 18' Jump Shot9
79.8%
5
20.2%
Q1 - 7:01DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
78.9%
5
21.1%
Q1 - 7:03DENWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)9
79.4%
5
20.6%
Q1 - 7:22DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Nene: Tip to Graham9
80.4%
5
19.6%
Q1 - 7:35DETPISTONS Rebound9
78.9%
5
21.1%
Q1 - 7:36DETMISS Maxiell 14' Turnaround Jump Shot9
79.9%
5
20.1%
Q1 - 7:57DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
78.9%
5
21.1%
Q1 - 7:57DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
78.6%
5
21.4%
Q1 - 8:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
77.8%
5
22.2%
Q1 - 8:05DETMISS Jerebko 16' Fadeaway Jumper7
77.4%
5
22.6%
Q1 - 8:19DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
76.4%
5
23.6%
Q1 - 8:20DENMISS Billups 20' Pullup Jump Shot7
76.8%
5
23.2%
Q1 - 8:25DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
77.8%
5
22.2%
Q1 - 8:27DETMISS Stuckey 16' Turnaround Jump Shot7
77.4%
5
22.6%
Q1 - 8:52DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)7
76.4%
5
23.6%
Q1 - 9:16DETStuckey Driving Layup (5 PTS)4
73.8%
5
26.2%
Q1 - 9:24DENStuckey STEAL (1 STL)4
75.4%
3
24.6%
Q1 - 9:38DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
76.7%
3
23.3%
Q1 - 9:42DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
79.5%
0
20.5%
Q1 - 9:44DENMISS Afflalo 19' Pullup Jump Shot4
79.9%
0
20.1%
Q1 - 9:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
80.8%
0
19.2%
Q1 - 9:52DETMISS Jerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 10:14DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)4
79.1%
0
20.9%
Q1 - 10:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
78.0%
0
22.0%
Q1 - 10:19DETMISS Wallace Layup2
77.6%
0
22.4%
Q1 - 10:46DENNene Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
76.6%
0
23.4%
Q1 - 10:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 11:00DETMISS Wallace Layup0
74.9%
0
25.1%
Q1 - 11:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 11:05DETMISS Wallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot0
75.0%
0
25.0%
Q1 - 11:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 11:26DENMISS Anthony 14' Fadeaway Jumper0
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Nene: Tip to Graham0
75.4%
0
24.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.6%
DET
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
33
55%
DET
18
28
64%
Midrange
DEN
10
28
36%
DET
10
34
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
DET
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
DEN
25
31
81%
DET
30
41
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony4067%20.0 / 30
C. Billups2155%10.5 / 19
J. Smith1441%7.0 / 17
C. Andersen956%4.5 / 8
Nene857%4.0 / 7
J. Graham467%2.0 / 3
A. Afflalo350%1.5 / 3
T. Lawson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Villanueva2761%13.5 / 22
R. Stuckey2560%12.5 / 21
J. Jerebko1243%6.0 / 14
C. Atkins938%4.5 / 12
J. Maxiell867%4.0 / 6
B. Wallace735%3.5 / 10
A. Daye758%3.5 / 6
K. Brown350%1.5 / 3
D. Summers3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
74
+15
-15
89
DET
79
+20
-11
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.6%
DET
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
105.4
DEN 111.2
DET 112.2 +1.0
Pace
94.7
88.8
DEN 96.1 +12.4
DET 83.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.7
DEN 15.0 +2.2
DET 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
47.4%
DEN 48.7% +2.0%
DET 46.7%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
DEN 14.3%
DET 11.3% +3.0%
ORB %
26.1%
30.4%
DEN 26.3%
DET 35.7% +9.4%
FTrt
37.6
30.3
DEN 40.8
DET 53.9 +13.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
54.1%
DEN 41.2%
DET 48.5% +7.3%
STL %
8.7%
8.2%
DEN 7.9%
DET 11.1% +3.2%
BLK %
7.9%
6.7%
DEN 4.8%
DET 6.6% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
49.9%
DEN 55.6% +4.6%
DET 51.0%
Rim FG%
61.0%
57.1%
DEN 54.5%
DET 64.3% +9.8%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.5%
DEN 35.7% +6.3%
DET 29.4%
3P %
35.9%
31.4%
DEN 40.0% +4.3%
DET 35.7%
FT %
77.2%
72.8%
DEN 80.6% +7.4%
DET 73.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
34.1%
DEN 43.4% +6.6%
DET 36.8%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
47.9%
DEN 36.8% +7.9%
DET 44.7%
3P Att. %
22.7%
18.0%
DEN 19.7% +1.3%
DET 18.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points99101
Rebounds3743
Assists1416
Steals710
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals34-7633-76
At-the-Rim FG18-3318-28
Midrange FG10-2810-34
2-Point FG28-6128-62
3-Point FG6-155-14
Free Throws25-3130-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
42.9
40
67%
6
2
1
1
2
2
3
3
6-7
86%
14-25
56%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
37.1
8
57%
11
3
1
0
3
3
1
10
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
35.1
21
55%
1
2
1
0
3
1
0
1
8-8
100%
5-12
42%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 230 · 27
17.8
4
67%
0
0
1
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
16.6
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
34.6
9
56%
6
1
0
2
2
5
3
3
5-9
56%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
29.6
14
41%
7
1
2
0
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
3-11
27%
2-5
40%
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
15.5
0
0%
3
4
1
0
3
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
10.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
F · 6'10" 255 · 31
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
56%
37
14
7
3
15
0
10
27
25-31
81%
28-61
46%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.