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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics71%100104
19Wizards29%93102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.4
39.0
35.0
18
66%
7
2
0
1
0
3
2
5
6-6
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
2-6
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.8
37.6
34.9
21
51%
3
11
0
2
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
10-20
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
33.4
30.6
17
57%
5
2
2
1
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
8-14
6-11
57%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.2
32.8
35.3
12
48%
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
5
6-10
60%
0-3
4-8
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.1
31.2
29.2
16
68%
11
0
0
0
2
3
3
8
6-11
55%
5-7
5-8
71%
59%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.2
18.5
17.2
4
53%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
4-4
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.9
17.4
8.7
8
74%
3
0
2
0
0
3
2
1
0-1
0%
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.6
17.2
19.2
4
40%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
12.9
6.8
4
52%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
12.8
0
0-1
43%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
2.4
0
0-0
49%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.9
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.2
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
41.5
33.3
25
49%
3
8
0
1
0
4
1
2
1-6
17%
9-17
5-10
53%
45%
2-6
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
41.4
35.7
10
41%
8
5
0
1
1
1
2
6
4-5
80%
3-10
5-10
30%
47%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
35.5
35.3
16
55%
8
0
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-1
0%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.0
35.4
32.8
17
97%
8
0
1
1
1
4
1
7
3-4
75%
7-7
4-7
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
11.9
22.5
4
34%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
26.4
19.5
17
78%
3
3
5
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
48%
1-2
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
15.9
6.4
5
51%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.2
13.8
9.7
6
30%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.5
12.8
24.3
2
50%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
3.4
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
2.0
2.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
8.6
0
1-1
42%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.8
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.