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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Magic60%101111
12Jazz40%98120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
44.0
37.2
18
64%
10
1
1
1
2
3
3
7
6-7
86%
6-11
6-10
55%
59%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.9
38.1
29.2
34
60%
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
11-12
92%
4-12
4-9
33%
47%
5-11
45%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
30.5
28.3
2
20%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
27.2
36.6
10
54%
4
1
3
1
1
0
0
4
1-3
33%
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
12.4
27.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
26.7
10.8
16
81%
5
2
1
0
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.8
25.2
21.8
17
78%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-6
2-3
100%
51%
1-4
25%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
18.5
13.6
10
64%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.2
11.8
17.6
4
69%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
4.0
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
1.6
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.8
8.8
0
1-2
49%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.1
44.2
37.3
20
51%
14
4
2
1
1
1
4
10
4-8
50%
8-16
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
42.3
35.4
32
65%
8
15
1
1
0
1
0
8
12-15
80%
7-13
5-11
54%
51%
2-5
40%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
36.9
32.0
8
40%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-5
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.7
31.2
36.9
10
68%
3
3
2
2
0
1
2
1
2-3
67%
4-5
5-9
80%
52%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
21.8
29.9
14
53%
11
2
0
1
0
0
3
8
7-12
58%
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
30.0
24.5
14
72%
5
1
0
1
1
0
3
2
2-4
50%
6-8
3-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
27.9
23.1
22
62%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
6-10
2-5
60%
48%
3-7
43%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
5.7
13.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.7
7.1
0
0-1
45%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.0
4.4
0
1-1
52%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.8
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.