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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Rockets56%9896
2176ers44%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.4
42.1
40.3
13
42%
12
3
2
2
0
2
1
11
1-6
17%
3-8
5-11
38%
50%
2-5
40%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.9
35.2
34.1
19
53%
1
1
2
1
1
3
0
1
2-4
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
48%
3-5
60%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.6
34.7
26.5
14
64%
11
2
0
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.3
27.9
35.1
3
21%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.5
16.6
22.5
1
27%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.2
32.8
28.0
20
66%
7
2
0
1
2
3
3
4
12-14
86%
4-9
6-10
44%
58%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.7
21.1
21.0
11
81%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.6
17.9
13.3
15
89%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-4
2-3
100%
49%
2-4
50%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.5
11.7
13.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.0
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.0
0.8
0
0-0
41%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.0
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.2
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
42.7
34.7
19
52%
10
2
2
1
1
3
4
6
5-5
100%
7-16
6-12
44%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.9
40.5
42.3
24
73%
4
3
0
2
0
2
1
3
7-8
88%
7-10
6-12
70%
50%
1-3
33%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.5
35.5
28.4
20
46%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
6-9
67%
7-18
5-11
39%
44%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
34.3
37.6
15
63%
11
0
0
1
0
2
3
8
1-2
50%
7-10
6-11
70%
51%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.6
28.5
33.2
7
39%
14
1
2
1
1
2
5
9
1-2
50%
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
25.0
23.7
2
14%
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.9
16.8
17.0
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.5
8.3
8.3
2
26%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
4.8
2.5
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.8
3.4
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.7
0.3
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.0
4.6
0
0-1
41%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.