FinalWin Prob.pScore
756%98
106
1444%96
93
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
115.29295.7
MIA logo MIA
98.99490.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DALKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DALMISS Kidd Free Throw 1 of 2105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16DALWright BLOCK (1 BLK)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48DALBarea Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54DALMavericks Rebound103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59MIAHEAT Rebound103
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T9)103
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 3:28MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T10)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)103
99.5%
89
0.5%
Q4 - 3:34DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 3:57DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)103
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)103
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 4:10DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot103
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 4:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2103
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 4:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)103
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 4:44DALDampier Layup (20 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)103
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 4:48DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)101
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 4:49DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot101
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)101
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)101
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 5:09DALChalmers STEAL (2 STL)101
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 5:21MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)101
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 5:21MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)101
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 5:30DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)101
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 5:48MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)98
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)98
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 5:57DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 6:07DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)98
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot98
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 6:28DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)98
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 6:39DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)96
98.4%
84
1.6%
Q4 - 6:40DALMISS Terry 9' Jump Shot96
98.0%
84
2.0%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)96
98.4%
84
1.6%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)96
98.5%
83
1.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q4 - 7:02DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot96
98.4%
82
1.6%
Q4 - 7:09MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)96
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 7:19DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)96
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q4 - 7:34MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)93
97.2%
82
2.8%
Q4 - 7:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
97.8%
80
2.2%
Q4 - 7:45DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.0%
80
2.0%
Q4 - 8:07MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)93
97.8%
80
2.2%
Q4 - 8:07MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 8:23MIAHEAT Rebound93
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot93
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 8:34MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot93
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 8:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 8:42DALMISS Barea Driving Layup93
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 8:47DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
98.7%
78
1.3%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot93
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 9:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)93
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 9:10DALMISS Gooden Layup93
98.0%
78
2.0%
Q4 - 9:13DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 9:14DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.0%
78
2.0%
Q4 - 9:29MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)93
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 9:42DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)93
98.7%
76
1.3%
Q4 - 10:04MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
97.9%
76
2.1%
Q4 - 10:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup91
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 10:27DALGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)91
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 10:40DALGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 288
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 10:41MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q4 - 10:55DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
97.4%
73
2.6%
Q4 - 10:55DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
97.3%
73
2.7%
Q4 - 11:04DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
96.1%
73
3.9%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot86
95.9%
73
4.1%
Q4 - 11:21DALGooden 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)86
95.3%
73
4.7%
Q4 - 11:39MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)84
94.2%
73
5.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound84
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
93.1%
73
6.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAHEAT Rebound84
92.3%
73
7.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot84
93.2%
73
6.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)84
92.3%
73
7.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
88.7%
73
11.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot81
88.1%
73
11.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0DALWade STEAL (1 STL)81
86.7%
73
13.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIABeasley 3' Jump Shot (14 PTS)81
88.7%
73
11.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
90.8%
71
9.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup81
91.8%
71
8.2%
Q3 - 1:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
90.0%
71
10.0%
Q3 - 1:07DALMISS Howard 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
90.5%
71
9.5%
Q3 - 1:29MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)81
91.6%
71
8.4%
Q3 - 1:44DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)81
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q3 - 1:44DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 280
94.1%
68
5.9%
Q3 - 1:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
94.2%
68
5.8%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 280
94.1%
68
5.9%
Q3 - 1:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)80
93.3%
68
6.7%
Q3 - 2:07DALGooden Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T6)80
93.5%
67
6.5%
Q3 - 2:24DALMavericks Rebound80
94.6%
67
5.4%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot80
94.3%
67
5.7%
Q3 - 2:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
93.6%
67
6.4%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot80
94.3%
67
5.7%
Q3 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
93.6%
67
6.4%
Q3 - 2:46DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot80
93.9%
67
6.1%
Q3 - 3:03MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS)80
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q3 - 3:24DALHoward 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barea 9 AST)80
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q3 - 3:38MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)78
94.2%
65
5.8%
Q3 - 3:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
93.1%
65
6.9%
Q3 - 3:55DALMISS Howard 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
93.5%
65
6.5%
Q3 - 4:09MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T5)78
93.8%
65
6.2%
Q3 - 4:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
92.5%
65
7.5%
Q3 - 4:15DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
93.0%
65
7.0%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
93.8%
65
6.2%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
94.0%
64
6.0%
Q3 - 4:53DALDampier Layup (18 PTS) (Barea 8 AST)78
94.7%
63
5.3%
Q3 - 5:06MIAChalmers 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
93.1%
63
6.9%
Q3 - 5:24DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)76
94.0%
61
6.0%
Q3 - 5:37MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)73
92.0%
61
8.0%
Q3 - 5:59DALDampier Putback Dunk (16 PTS)73
93.1%
59
6.9%
Q3 - 6:00DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)71
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q3 - 6:01DALMISS Marion Layup71
90.4%
59
9.6%
Q3 - 6:20MIAHaslem 16' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)71
91.5%
59
8.5%
Q3 - 6:46DALMarion Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)71
92.6%
57
7.4%
Q3 - 7:03MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)69
90.6%
57
9.4%
Q3 - 7:17DALNowitzki 19' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)69
92.9%
54
7.1%
Q3 - 7:35DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
91.9%
54
8.1%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot67
91.5%
54
8.5%
Q3 - 7:58DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
90.6%
54
9.4%
Q3 - 7:58DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
90.3%
54
9.7%
Q3 - 8:02DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
88.8%
54
11.2%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot65
88.3%
54
11.7%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
87.1%
54
12.9%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
88.3%
54
11.7%
Q3 - 8:26DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
87.1%
54
12.9%
Q3 - 8:26DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)64
86.5%
54
13.5%
Q3 - 8:42MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)63
85.5%
54
14.5%
Q3 - 9:01DALBarea Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)63
86.8%
52
13.2%
Q3 - 9:13MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
88.5%
52
11.5%
Q3 - 9:39DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barea 7 AST)63
89.9%
50
10.1%
Q3 - 9:48DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)60
86.9%
50
13.1%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot60
86.4%
50
13.6%
Q3 - 10:01DALNowitzki 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
84.5%
50
15.5%
Q3 - 10:21MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
82.7%
50
17.3%
Q3 - 10:44DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barea 6 AST)58
84.6%
48
15.4%
Q3 - 11:02MIABeasley Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)55
80.2%
48
19.8%
Q3 - 11:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
82.2%
46
17.8%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot55
83.6%
46
16.4%
Q3 - 11:24DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
82.2%
46
17.8%
Q3 - 11:24DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
81.5%
46
18.5%
Q3 - 11:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)53
80.2%
46
19.8%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot53
79.5%
46
20.5%
Q3 - 11:46DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)53
77.8%
46
22.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL53
80.2%
46
19.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Layup (13 PTS)53
80.2%
46
19.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
82.0%
44
18.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wright Dunk53
83.0%
44
17.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
82.0%
44
18.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
81.8%
44
18.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)51
79.5%
44
20.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
79.0%
44
21.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0DALMarion 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)51
77.7%
44
22.3%
Q2 - 1:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
74.6%
44
25.4%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 249
74.3%
44
25.7%
Q2 - 1:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
72.5%
44
27.5%
Q2 - 1:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
75.2%
43
24.8%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
76.5%
43
23.5%
Q2 - 1:21DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
75.2%
43
24.8%
Q2 - 1:21DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
74.4%
43
25.6%
Q2 - 1:21DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)47
72.0%
43
28.0%
Q2 - 1:30DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
69.3%
43
30.7%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
68.6%
43
31.4%
Q2 - 1:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
67.2%
43
32.8%
Q2 - 1:48DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
67.8%
43
32.2%
Q2 - 1:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
69.3%
43
30.7%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot46
68.6%
43
31.4%
Q2 - 2:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
66.5%
43
33.5%
Q2 - 2:15DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot46
67.4%
43
32.6%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)46
69.5%
43
30.5%
Q2 - 2:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
66.6%
43
33.4%
Q2 - 2:36DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
67.5%
43
32.5%
Q2 - 2:41DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
69.5%
43
30.5%
Q2 - 2:44DALAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)46
67.5%
43
32.5%
Q2 - 3:01MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)46
69.7%
43
30.3%
Q2 - 3:13DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)46
71.8%
41
28.2%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
69.7%
41
30.3%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
70.2%
40
29.8%
Q2 - 3:43DALNowitzki Driving Layup (11 PTS)44
71.8%
39
28.2%
Q2 - 3:51DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
69.7%
39
30.3%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup42
68.7%
39
31.3%
Q2 - 3:58DALChalmers STEAL (1 STL)42
66.4%
39
33.6%
Q2 - 4:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)42
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
66.4%
39
33.6%
Q2 - 4:10DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIAAnthony 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
69.3%
39
30.7%
Q2 - 4:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
71.6%
37
28.4%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot42
73.5%
37
26.5%
Q2 - 4:55DALDampier Dunk (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)42
71.6%
37
28.4%
Q2 - 5:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
69.1%
37
30.9%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 240
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q2 - 5:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
69.2%
36
30.8%
Q2 - 5:12DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot40
69.9%
36
30.1%
Q2 - 5:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
71.6%
36
28.4%
Q2 - 5:31MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 240
71.3%
36
28.7%
Q2 - 5:31MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
69.7%
36
30.3%
Q2 - 5:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
71.7%
35
28.3%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Beasley 11' Running Jump Shot40
73.3%
35
26.7%
Q2 - 6:02DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)40
70.9%
35
29.1%
Q2 - 6:25MIAAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)38
69.0%
35
31.0%
Q2 - 6:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
71.0%
33
29.0%
Q2 - 6:31DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 6:39MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)38
73.7%
33
26.3%
Q2 - 6:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
71.0%
33
29.0%
Q2 - 6:52DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot38
71.9%
33
28.1%
Q2 - 7:09MIABeasley 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
73.4%
33
26.6%
Q2 - 7:27DALGooden Dunk (4 PTS) (Barea 5 AST)38
75.5%
31
24.5%
Q2 - 7:34MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)36
73.4%
31
26.6%
Q2 - 7:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
75.5%
29
24.5%
Q2 - 7:50DALMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 236
75.8%
29
24.2%
Q2 - 7:50DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
77.2%
29
22.8%
Q2 - 8:08MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)35
75.0%
29
25.0%
Q2 - 8:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
77.0%
27
23.0%
Q2 - 8:30DALAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)35
77.6%
27
22.4%
Q2 - 8:47DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
78.9%
27
21.1%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Beasley 10' Running Jump Shot35
78.4%
27
21.6%
Q2 - 9:06DALGooden Dunk (2 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)35
76.5%
27
23.5%
Q2 - 9:28MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)33
74.6%
27
25.4%
Q2 - 9:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q2 - 9:46DALMISS Marion 6' Running Jump Shot33
77.1%
25
22.9%
Q2 - 10:03MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)33
78.1%
25
21.9%
Q2 - 10:21DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)33
79.7%
23
20.3%
Q2 - 10:35DALGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
76.3%
23
23.7%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot30
75.6%
23
24.4%
Q2 - 10:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
74.2%
23
25.8%
Q2 - 10:53DALMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot30
74.8%
23
25.2%
Q2 - 11:05MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)30
75.8%
23
24.2%
Q2 - 11:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
77.5%
21
22.5%
Q2 - 11:15DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot30
78.1%
21
21.9%
Q2 - 11:29MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)30
79.3%
21
20.7%
Q2 - 11:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
82.4%
18
17.6%
Q2 - 11:44DALMISS Marion 4' Jump Shot30
82.9%
18
17.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
83.9%
18
16.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
81.9%
18
18.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
80.1%
18
19.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0DALMarion 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)28
81.9%
16
18.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
80.1%
16
19.9%
Q1 - 1:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
82.9%
13
17.1%
Q1 - 1:11DALAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)26
83.2%
13
16.8%
Q1 - 1:20MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
83.8%
13
16.2%
Q1 - 1:42DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)26
85.4%
11
14.6%
Q1 - 2:03MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
83.6%
11
16.4%
Q1 - 2:08MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
85.0%
9
15.0%
Q1 - 2:09DALWade BLOCK (1 BLK)24
85.3%
9
14.7%
Q1 - 2:20DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
86.0%
9
14.0%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot24
85.7%
9
14.3%
Q1 - 2:46DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)24
85.1%
9
14.9%
Q1 - 3:08MIAWade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)24
86.0%
9
14.0%
Q1 - 3:28DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)24
87.0%
7
13.0%
Q1 - 3:35DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)22
86.0%
7
14.0%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup22
85.6%
7
14.4%
Q1 - 3:58DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
84.8%
7
15.2%
Q1 - 4:04DALMavericks Rebound20
83.0%
7
17.0%
Q1 - 4:05DALMISS Marion 6' Turnaround Jump Shot20
82.0%
7
18.0%
Q1 - 4:20MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)20
83.0%
7
17.0%
Q1 - 4:38DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)20
84.2%
5
15.8%
Q1 - 4:49DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
81.8%
5
18.2%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot17
81.3%
5
18.7%
Q1 - 5:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
79.5%
5
20.5%
Q1 - 5:10DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot17
80.0%
5
20.0%
Q1 - 5:26DALMavericks Rebound17
81.0%
5
19.0%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot17
80.6%
5
19.4%
Q1 - 5:42DALMarion Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
79.6%
5
20.4%
Q1 - 5:53DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)15
78.3%
5
21.7%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot15
77.8%
5
22.2%
Q1 - 6:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
76.4%
5
23.6%
Q1 - 6:05DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot15
76.9%
5
23.1%
Q1 - 6:25MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)15
78.0%
5
22.0%
Q1 - 6:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
79.3%
3
20.7%
Q1 - 6:38DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 115
79.5%
3
20.5%
Q1 - 6:49MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
78.0%
3
22.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
78.3%
2
21.7%
Q1 - 7:00DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)13
79.3%
1
20.7%
Q1 - 7:12DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
76.3%
1
23.7%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot10
75.8%
1
24.2%
Q1 - 7:29DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)10
74.7%
1
25.3%
Q1 - 7:45DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)7
71.5%
1
28.5%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Beasley 4' Hook Shot7
71.0%
1
29.0%
Q1 - 7:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
69.7%
1
30.3%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot7
71.0%
1
29.0%
Q1 - 8:10DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
69.8%
1
30.2%
Q1 - 8:10DALMISS Barea Free Throw 1 of 26
69.5%
1
30.5%
Q1 - 8:14DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
69.8%
1
30.2%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot6
69.3%
1
30.7%
Q1 - 8:36DALDampier Dunk (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)6
68.1%
1
31.9%
Q1 - 8:58MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
66.2%
1
33.8%
Q1 - 9:16DALDampier Layup (2 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)4
64.7%
1
35.3%
Q1 - 9:27DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)2
62.7%
1
37.3%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot2
62.2%
1
37.8%
Q1 - 9:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.9%
1
39.1%
Q1 - 9:35DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
61.5%
1
38.5%
Q1 - 9:44DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)2
62.7%
1
37.3%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade Layup2
62.2%
1
37.8%
Q1 - 9:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
60.9%
1
39.1%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
62.2%
1
37.8%
Q1 - 9:56DALAnthony STEAL (1 STL)2
60.9%
1
39.1%
Q1 - 10:10MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
62.6%
1
37.4%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 22
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 10:31DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)2
62.5%
0
37.5%
Q1 - 10:40DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
60.3%
0
39.7%
Q1 - 10:59MIAHEAT Rebound0
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 11:00DALMISS Barea 9' Jump Shot0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:08DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
60.7%
0
39.3%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Anthony Dunk0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 11:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 11:17DALMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot0
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:21DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
60.7%
0
39.3%
Q1 - 11:23DALAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)0
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:38DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.7%
0
39.3%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Dampier: Tip to Beasley0
59.0%
0
41.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.6%
MIA
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
12
21
57%
MIA
12
22
55%
Midrange
DAL
17
34
50%
MIA
19
48
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
MIA
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
Free Throws
DAL
18
23
78%
MIA
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2566%12.5 / 19
E. Dampier2083%10.0 / 12
J. Terry1653%8.0 / 15
J. Barea1267%6.0 / 9
S. Marion1250%6.0 / 12
D. Gooden964%4.5 / 7
J. Kidd750%3.5 / 7
J. Howard528%2.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2845%14.0 / 31
U. Haslem2285%11.0 / 13
M. Beasley1640%8.0 / 20
M. Chalmers1142%5.5 / 13
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
D. Wright429%2.0 / 7
C. Arroyo330%1.5 / 5
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
Q. Richardson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
83
+8
-9
91
MIA
84
+16
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.6%
MIA
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
106.7
DAL 115.2
MIA 98.9 +16.3
Pace
92.6
89.6
DAL 95.7 +5.2
MIA 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.5
DAL 15.0 +0.9
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.6%
DAL 55.0% +13.5%
MIA 41.5%
TO %
13.2%
13.6%
DAL 10.0%
MIA 9.4% +0.6%
ORB %
24.3%
26.0%
DAL 17.1%
MIA 25.5% +8.4%
FTrt
27.7
29.6
DAL 28.8
MIA 39.0 +10.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
51.9%
DAL 76.9% +34.5%
MIA 42.4%
STL %
8.1%
8.1%
DAL 5.4% +1.1%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
8.5%
9.4%
DAL 5.7%
MIA 10.9% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
52.1%
DAL 57.6% +11.1%
MIA 46.5%
Rim FG%
58.4%
62.0%
DAL 57.1% +2.6%
MIA 54.5%
Mid FG%
42.9%
40.8%
DAL 50.0% +10.4%
MIA 39.6%
3P %
37.2%
34.6%
DAL 40.0% +23.3%
MIA 16.7%
FT %
81.7%
75.2%
DAL 78.3% +0.2%
MIA 78.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
29.8%
DAL 26.3%
MIA 26.8% +0.6%
Mid Att. %
47.1%
48.3%
DAL 42.5% +16.0%
MIA 58.5%
3P Att. %
22.2%
21.9%
DAL 31.3% +16.6%
MIA 14.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points10693
Rebounds4246
Assists3014
Steals54
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)34 (1)
Field Goals39-8033-82
At-the-Rim FG12-2112-22
Midrange FG17-3419-48
2-Point FG29-5531-70
3-Point FG10-252-12
Free Throws18-2325-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 31
38.4
25
66%
5
1
0
1
2
5
0
5
3-3
100%
8-16
50%
2-2
100%
G · 6'4" 210 · 37
36.7
7
50%
6
11
2
0
3
3
0
6
1-2
50%
0-0
-
2-6
33%
G · 6'0" 185 · 25
33.7
12
67%
4
9
2
0
1
4
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 265 · 34
31.7
20
83%
17
0
0
2
1
3
3
14
6-7
86%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 32
26.8
12
50%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
31.5
16
53%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30
22.9
5
28%
1
4
0
0
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'10" 250 · 28
17.3
9
64%
4
0
0
1
1
4
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 33
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29
#13 · G · 6'6" 212 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
58%
42
30
5
4
9
0
7
35
18-23
78%
29-55
53%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.