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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Thunder54%99102
24Grizzlies46%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
42.0
37.5
11
46%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.2
41.2
41.0
32
59%
10
4
0
2
2
2
3
7
11-12
92%
9-15
8-17
60%
50%
1-7
14%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
36.3
33.7
23
63%
6
7
1
1
1
3
1
5
3-5
60%
7-11
5-11
64%
44%
2-5
40%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
30.5
29.8
7
61%
6
2
1
1
2
2
1
5
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
27.8
13.6
15
72%
8
0
0
0
2
1
2
6
1-1
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
50%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.3
23.1
26.2
6
25%
5
4
2
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-9
3-5
22%
48%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.1
17.6
20.4
8
50%
7
1
1
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.2
12.6
11.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.2
8.8
10.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 30.6
8.6
0
1-2
47%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.7
6.0
0
1-1
53%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
3.6
0
1-1
52%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.8
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
41.1
37.7
16
38%
7
0
0
1
2
2
3
4
7-12
58%
3-13
6-13
23%
49%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.9
40.3
31.8
12
58%
9
0
0
1
3
3
2
7
0-3
0%
6-9
4-8
67%
55%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
40.1
38.3
19
41%
20
1
0
1
0
2
11
9
3-5
60%
8-20
8-16
40%
48%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
39.5
38.2
18
38%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
48%
1-8
13%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
38.0
30.6
20
59%
2
8
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
46%
2-5
40%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
19.4
17.5
5
73%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.8
10.0
12.2
2
33%
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.8
6.1
13.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
5.4
4.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
6.4
0
1-1
42%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.6
4.5
0
1-1
50%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
2.2
0
0-0
56%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.