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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Knicks31%100113
12Hornets69%10796
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
41.4
36.6
17
67%
14
3
1
1
0
5
0
14
5-6
83%
6-10
7-13
60%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.3
34.5
34.0
22
93%
2
9
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
6-8
75%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.8
34.3
32.7
28
67%
7
0
0
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
49%
4-7
57%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
33.3
29.4
20
67%
6
2
0
1
3
3
3
3
0-0
-
10-13
4-8
77%
47%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
32.9
25.1
4
52%
4
2
3
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
29.6
26.7
12
68%
11
3
1
1
2
1
1
10
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.9
27.4
32.0
8
38%
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.0
6.6
7.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
10.1
0
1-3
48%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.5
7.3
0
1-2
49%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
3.2
0
1-1
49%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.5
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.3
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.5
38.9
30.5
16
58%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
3-8
38%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
36.6
36.4
13
40%
6
13
1
2
0
3
1
5
5-5
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
54%
0-3
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
36.1
32.0
20
69%
7
0
0
1
1
4
6
1
8-8
100%
6-10
7-13
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.9
22.2
20.9
9
57%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
20.4
32.4
12
59%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
4-8
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
25.8
21.8
10
39%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
2-6
33%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.8
24.6
18.5
10
53%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-1
0%
5-8
3-5
63%
53%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.9
24.0
21.8
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.3
11.4
17.0
4
33%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
6.6
0
1-1
52%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
3.6
0
0-1
52%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.2
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.