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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Pacers29%98114
19Wizards71%105113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.6
39.2
30.6
28
68%
12
4
4
1
0
2
4
8
6-6
100%
8-12
2-5
67%
49%
2-6
33%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
31.3
27.9
10
56%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
2-4
50%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
31.3
31.2
11
38%
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
0
5-6
83%
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
0-1
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.7
28.4
26.1
12
38%
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
6-14
3-7
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.0
22.5
22.0
4
20%
8
0
0
0
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
1-9
4-8
11%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.5
26.9
23.2
6
60%
2
10
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.2
26.7
21.4
24
105%
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
10-10
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
4-6
67%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.1
25.0
20.9
19
57%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
5-6
83%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
8.7
18.6
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
9.6
0
1-2
46%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.2
5.8
0
1-1
43%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
3.8
0
0-1
52%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.8
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.6
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
45.3
34.9
31
77%
7
0
3
1
0
4
3
4
1-5
20%
9-12
5-11
75%
50%
4-6
67%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
38.7
38.1
23
67%
3
2
0
2
0
4
0
3
5-5
100%
9-13
5-11
69%
49%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.0
35.4
33.7
6
51%
9
1
1
1
5
1
5
4
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
54%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
35.3
37.2
22
48%
10
11
2
1
0
4
2
8
4-7
57%
6-14
6-13
43%
48%
2-6
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
19.6
11.9
2
33%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.5
19.9
17.8
14
58%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
7-11
2-5
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
18.0
23.1
5
43%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
14.0
16.9
10
129%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
47%
2-2
100%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.2
7.2
11.8
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
6.6
4.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
5.2
0
1-2
51%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
2.7
0
0-0
58%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.5
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.