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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics79%97106
24Bulls21%8680
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.8
38.5
35.6
16
53%
7
14
3
2
1
5
0
7
4-5
80%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.4
29.6
36.1
10
50%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
26.9
31.3
12
68%
10
2
0
1
1
1
2
8
0-2
0%
6-8
6-12
75%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.2
25.0
33.8
14
51%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
50%
2-5
40%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.1
22.4
30.0
10
65%
5
1
0
0
3
0
0
5
4-6
67%
3-5
5-8
60%
60%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.2
21.5
17.5
15
55%
5
0
1
1
2
0
3
2
4-4
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
48%
1-5
20%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
21.1
9.7
4
50%
8
1
0
0
2
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.6
20.7
18.1
15
46%
3
0
2
1
2
0
1
2
2-3
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
3-10
30%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
16.4
7.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.9
11.4
13.3
6
44%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
4.1
1.8
4
42%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
2.5
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.9
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.9
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.2
35.4
35.7
19
45%
5
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
3-5
60%
8-19
7-15
42%
47%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
32.7
38.6
17
40%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
7-12
58%
5-15
6-13
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
32.2
34.5
2
13%
13
2
1
1
1
3
3
10
0-0
-
1-8
4-8
13%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.0
28.8
37.0
4
29%
5
9
1
1
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.7
23.6
22.3
11
53%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
33.9
21.4
12
50%
11
1
2
1
2
1
3
8
6-7
86%
3-9
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.9
20.5
21.2
2
17%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
15.3
10.5
2
20%
5
2
0
0
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.1
8.8
9.6
11
62%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
39%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
6.3
4.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.0
2.5
6.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
34%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.3
5.6
0
1-2
44%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.