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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Trail Blazers45%96101
15Bucks55%98108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
52.0
36.5
31
62%
11
0
0
1
0
1
5
6
5-7
71%
13-22
7-14
59%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.4
49.2
38.1
23
42%
8
6
0
1
0
4
0
8
6-8
75%
7-21
7-14
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.2
44.2
30.4
8
77%
10
0
2
0
4
2
2
8
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.8
42.1
34.6
7
35%
5
1
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-7
14%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
32.6
29.5
16
55%
4
2
0
1
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
3-6
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.7
34.0
28.2
7
24%
4
7
2
1
0
3
1
3
3-6
50%
2-11
4-8
18%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
17.9
12.1
9
65%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.8
16.0
14.6
0
0%
6
2
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
2.0
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.7
7.2
0
0-1
47%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.9
6.9
0
1-2
56%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.2
5.4
0
1-2
45%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.0
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
44.0
31.8
27
65%
9
3
0
1
2
4
2
7
3-4
75%
12-19
6-11
63%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
43.9
35.3
18
52%
4
11
1
1
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
4-12
6-12
33%
44%
3-5
60%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
41.6
28.6
4
50%
4
2
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
40.1
31.0
11
46%
8
2
1
1
0
2
3
5
0-2
0%
1-7
4-8
14%
50%
3-4
75%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.3
36.9
31.6
9
38%
8
5
3
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
1-4
25%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
29.3
17.3
11
46%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
21.8
18.3
20
79%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
7-9
2-5
78%
47%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.2
14.0
4.8
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
12.6
17.6
4
52%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
6.0
11.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
18.6
1
1-3
45%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
4.2
0
0-1
48%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.