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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nets26%93107
12Hawks74%102130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.7
38.0
37.8
19
71%
12
1
0
1
1
3
5
7
3-3
100%
8-12
7-15
67%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.8
36.6
32.5
23
57%
2
9
0
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
8-16
4-9
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
33.1
35.5
13
60%
2
3
2
2
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.8
21.8
8.3
13
94%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
6-6
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
18.7
26.9
8
62%
5
3
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-1
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
26.1
12.6
18
60%
7
2
1
0
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
7-13
2-4
54%
41%
1-1
100%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.4
22.8
23.3
2
11%
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-6
2-6
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.5
21.6
6.8
7
39%
1
0
3
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
0-1
29%
45%
1-2
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.4
13.6
3.8
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
7.6
4.8
1
17%
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
9.9
0
1-3
46%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
8.5
0
1-2
44%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.1
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.1
34.0
23.0
22
79%
9
2
1
1
0
0
4
5
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
53%
4-4
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.5
30.8
30.8
21
74%
3
10
4
1
0
0
1
2
5-5
100%
5-9
6-11
56%
50%
2-3
67%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
27.4
25.6
16
60%
9
2
2
1
1
1
2
7
2-3
67%
7-12
4-7
58%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.6
26.9
19.7
12
75%
3
5
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.0
25.8
29.3
16
57%
8
4
2
1
1
3
1
7
6-9
67%
5-10
6-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.7
32.3
29.8
13
48%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.5
24.5
16.9
12
64%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.8
18.7
18.4
7
46%
8
1
0
1
0
1
4
4
3-6
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.5
8.8
5.1
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
51%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.9
7.6
4.0
7
72%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.0
3.2
3.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.5
30.1
1
3-7
49%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.