FinalWin Prob.pScore
2433%95
118
1467%101
90
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
128.39290.9
MIA logo MIA
98.99192.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM118
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)118
100%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot118
100%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)118
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)118
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)118
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MEMMISS Haddadi 16' Jump Shot118
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)118
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot118
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)118
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32MEMMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 1118
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33MEMCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)116
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36MEMMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot116
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38MEMGrizzlies Rebound116
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MEMAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)116
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55MEMCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)116
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot116
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21MEMHunter Dunk (6 PTS) (Young 2 AST)116
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38MEMCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)114
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Cook 28' 3PT Jump Shot114
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MIAJones Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)114
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MEMHunter Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)114
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:10MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)112
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot112
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23MEMHunter Driving Dunk (2 PTS)112
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55MEMCarroll 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55MEMCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56MEMMISS Haddadi 9' Turnaround Hook Shot108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:22MEMMISS Carroll 13' Jump Shot108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:45MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16MIAHEAT Rebound108
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17MEMMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:40MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)108
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:44MEMBeasley STEAL (2 STL)108
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)108
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)108
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)108
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58MEMMISS Young Driving Layup108
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:19MEMHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot108
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34MEMHunter Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)108
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)108
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)108
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 6:55MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS)108
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 6:55MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (40 PTS)107
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)106
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)106
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 7:25MEMRandolph 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:25MEMGrizzlies Rebound104
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47MEMThabeet Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)104
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47MEMThabeet REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47MEMJones BLOCK (1 BLK)101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 8:01MIACook 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)101
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 8:19MEMThabeet Layup (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)101
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 8:39MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)99
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 8:57MEMMISS Gay 16' Jump Shot99
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 9:06MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)99
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot99
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 9:20MEMRandolph Layup (11 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)99
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 9:34MEMGrizzlies Rebound97
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 9:36MEMMISS Gay Driving Layup97
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 9:58MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)97
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 10:12MEMGay Alley Oop Dunk (39 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)97
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 10:13MEMThabeet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup95
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 10:41MEMGay 19' Jump Shot (37 PTS)95
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 10:59MIAArroyo 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)93
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 11:13MIAHEAT Rebound93
99.1%
68
0.9%
Q4 - 11:15MEMMISS Randolph 5' Turnaround Hook Shot93
99.2%
68
0.8%
Q4 - 11:23MEMGrizzlies Rebound93
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q4 - 11:24MEMMISS Randolph 10' Turnaround Hook Shot93
99.2%
68
0.8%
Q4 - 11:42MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)93
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 293
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q4 - 11:44MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)93
99.2%
68
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM93
99.3%
67
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)93
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q3 - 0:09.0MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)93
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAAnthony 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)90
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJump Ball Wright vs. Randolph: Tip to Arroyo90
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0MEMAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)90
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q3 - 1:00MEMGrizzlies Rebound90
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q3 - 1:16MEMRandolph 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)90
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q3 - 1:37MEMThabeet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
98.4%
65
1.6%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot88
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q3 - 2:01MEMRandolph Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)88
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 2:12MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS)88
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 2:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Haslem Layup88
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q3 - 2:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot88
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q3 - 2:40MEMGay Driving Dunk (32 PTS)88
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 2:57MIAWade 10' Floating Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)86
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q3 - 3:09MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)86
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 3:09MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 285
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q3 - 3:16MEMGrizzlies Rebound85
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 3:21MEMMISS Gay Driving Layup85
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q3 - 3:26MEMThabeet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot85
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q3 - 3:42MEMGay 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)85
97.5%
61
2.5%
Q3 - 3:43MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
96.5%
61
3.5%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup82
96.3%
61
3.7%
Q3 - 4:09MEMGasol 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)82
95.3%
61
4.7%
Q3 - 4:22MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)80
94.6%
61
5.4%
Q3 - 4:22MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 280
94.8%
60
5.2%
Q3 - 4:36MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
94.4%
60
5.6%
Q3 - 4:36MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
94.3%
60
5.7%
Q3 - 4:38MEMThabeet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
93.6%
60
6.4%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot78
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q3 - 4:58MEMMayo 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)78
92.3%
60
7.7%
Q3 - 5:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)76
89.9%
60
10.1%
Q3 - 5:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
92.4%
57
7.6%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot76
93.3%
57
6.7%
Q3 - 5:34MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)76
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q3 - 5:39MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)73
90.0%
57
10.0%
Q3 - 5:42MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
88.1%
57
11.9%
Q3 - 5:43MEMMISS Randolph Reverse Layup73
88.7%
57
11.3%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)73
90.0%
57
10.0%
Q3 - 6:20MEMRandolph 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)73
86.8%
57
13.2%
Q3 - 6:38MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)71
85.2%
57
14.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Beasley Reverse Layup71
84.4%
57
15.6%
Q3 - 6:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
82.7%
57
17.3%
Q3 - 6:50MEMO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)71
83.5%
57
16.5%
Q3 - 7:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)71
83.3%
57
16.7%
Q3 - 7:27MEMConley 13' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
85.3%
55
14.7%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWright 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)69
83.5%
55
16.5%
Q3 - 7:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
85.3%
53
14.7%
Q3 - 7:54MEMMISS Randolph 11' Jump Shot69
86.0%
53
14.0%
Q3 - 8:09MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)69
86.4%
53
13.6%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot69
85.8%
53
14.2%
Q3 - 8:28MIAJump Ball Beasley vs. Gay: Tip to Wright69
84.4%
53
15.6%
Q3 - 8:34MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)69
86.4%
53
13.6%
Q3 - 8:55MEMConley Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)69
84.4%
53
15.6%
Q3 - 8:59MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)67
82.5%
53
17.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup67
80.8%
53
19.2%
Q3 - 9:23MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)67
79.2%
53
20.8%
Q3 - 9:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)64
73.9%
53
26.1%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot64
73.1%
53
26.9%
Q3 - 9:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
71.0%
53
29.0%
Q3 - 9:44MEMMISS Randolph Layup64
71.9%
53
28.1%
Q3 - 9:47MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)64
74.0%
53
26.0%
Q3 - 9:53MEMMISS Gay Reverse Layup64
71.9%
53
28.1%
Q3 - 10:12MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)64
72.6%
53
27.4%
Q3 - 10:32MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P1.T9)64
75.4%
51
24.6%
Q3 - 10:33MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
78.0%
51
22.0%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot64
77.2%
51
22.8%
Q3 - 10:45MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
75.4%
51
24.6%
Q3 - 10:46MEMMISS Gay 9' Jump Shot64
76.2%
51
23.8%
Q3 - 11:14MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (10 PTS)64
76.7%
51
23.3%
Q3 - 11:42MEMGasol 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS)64
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA62
76.8%
49
23.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
74.1%
49
25.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 50' 3PT Jump Shot62
76.0%
49
24.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMGasol 2' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
73.2%
49
26.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)60
69.8%
49
30.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0MEMMISS Gay Driving Layup60
68.3%
49
31.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)60
69.9%
49
30.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0MEMConley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)60
73.3%
47
26.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound60
75.3%
47
24.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0MEMMISS Young 16' Floating Jump Shot60
73.9%
47
26.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T9)60
75.3%
47
24.7%
Q2 - 1:01MEMThabeet 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)60
72.4%
47
27.6%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWright Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
74.4%
47
25.6%
Q2 - 1:50MEMGay Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)60
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q2 - 1:55MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
74.4%
45
25.6%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot58
73.8%
45
26.2%
Q2 - 2:09MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)58
70.9%
45
29.1%
Q2 - 2:09MEMGrizzlies Rebound58
73.6%
45
26.4%
Q2 - 2:10MEMMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
71.7%
45
28.3%
Q2 - 2:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
73.6%
45
26.4%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 258
73.3%
45
26.7%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)58
71.6%
45
28.4%
Q2 - 2:48MEMGay Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)58
73.6%
44
26.4%
Q2 - 2:53MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
71.1%
44
28.9%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Haslem Layup56
70.3%
44
29.7%
Q2 - 2:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
68.3%
44
31.7%
Q2 - 3:00MEMWright BLOCK (1 BLK)56
69.2%
44
30.8%
Q2 - 3:02MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)56
70.3%
44
29.7%
Q2 - 3:04MEMMISS Gay Alley Oop Dunk56
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q2 - 3:10MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
70.3%
44
29.7%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q2 - 3:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
67.1%
44
32.9%
Q2 - 3:19MEMMISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot56
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q2 - 3:37MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)56
70.3%
44
29.7%
Q2 - 3:40MIAHEAT Rebound56
72.4%
42
27.6%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot56
74.5%
42
25.5%
Q2 - 4:04MEMGasol Layup (10 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)56
71.2%
42
28.8%
Q2 - 4:18MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8)54
69.0%
42
31.0%
Q2 - 4:30MEMGasol 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
66.1%
42
33.9%
Q2 - 4:56MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)52
63.6%
42
36.4%
Q2 - 5:18MEMGay 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
65.4%
40
34.6%
Q2 - 5:39MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)50
62.6%
40
37.4%
Q2 - 5:50MEMMayo Foul Turnover (P2.T5)50
59.8%
40
40.2%
Q2 - 6:02MIAWright Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)50
61.9%
40
38.1%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
64.1%
38
35.9%
Q2 - 6:09MEMMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
65.0%
38
35.0%
Q2 - 6:19MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
67.2%
38
32.8%
Q2 - 6:22MEMO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)50
65.1%
38
34.9%
Q2 - 6:36MIAWade Dunk (15 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)50
67.2%
38
32.8%
Q2 - 6:53MEMMayo 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
69.4%
36
30.6%
Q2 - 7:15MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)48
65.9%
36
34.1%
Q2 - 7:33MEMGasol Tip Shot (6 PTS)48
70.8%
33
29.2%
Q2 - 7:34MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
68.5%
33
31.5%
Q2 - 7:35MEMMISS Young 14' Jump Shot46
66.7%
33
33.3%
Q2 - 7:56MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)46
68.5%
33
31.5%
Q2 - 8:09MEMO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)46
69.3%
31
30.7%
Q2 - 8:23MIAO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
71.6%
31
28.4%
Q2 - 8:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
73.8%
29
26.2%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot46
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 8:55MEMYoung 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)46
73.9%
29
26.1%
Q2 - 9:08MEMTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
70.5%
29
29.5%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot44
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 9:21MEMYoung 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)44
68.1%
29
31.9%
Q2 - 9:34MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
65.9%
29
34.1%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot42
65.1%
29
34.9%
Q2 - 9:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
63.3%
29
36.7%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot42
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 10:06MEMYoung Layup (5 PTS)42
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q2 - 10:16MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
60.4%
29
39.6%
Q2 - 10:30MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
62.7%
27
37.3%
Q2 - 10:31MEMMISS Young 18' Jump Shot40
63.5%
27
36.5%
Q2 - 10:41MEMTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
65.3%
27
34.7%
Q2 - 10:44MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
63.5%
27
36.5%
Q2 - 10:57MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
65.3%
27
34.7%
Q2 - 10:57MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
65.8%
26
34.2%
Q2 - 10:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
67.5%
25
32.5%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup40
69.2%
25
30.8%
Q2 - 11:24MEMYoung Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)40
66.6%
25
33.4%
Q2 - 11:28MEMGrizzlies Rebound37
62.1%
25
37.9%
Q2 - 11:29MEMMISS Randolph Tip Shot37
60.3%
25
39.7%
Q2 - 11:30MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
62.1%
25
37.9%
Q2 - 11:31MEMMISS Young Driving Layup37
60.3%
25
39.7%
Q2 - 11:39MEMGrizzlies Rebound37
62.1%
25
37.9%
Q2 - 11:39MEMMISS Gay 16' Turnaround Jump Shot37
60.3%
25
39.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM37
62.1%
25
37.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade 29' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)37
62.1%
25
37.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMRandolph 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Thabeet 2 AST)37
65.4%
22
34.6%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
60.4%
22
39.6%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 234
60.7%
21
39.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0MEMGay Reverse Dunk (14 PTS) (Thabeet 1 AST)34
60.9%
21
39.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)32
58.1%
21
41.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHEAT Rebound32
56.2%
21
43.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0MEMMISS Gay Driving Layup32
56.8%
21
43.2%
Q1 - 1:00MEMTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
58.1%
21
41.9%
Q1 - 1:01MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 132
55.5%
21
44.5%
Q1 - 1:03MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q1 - 1:14MEMMayo Layup (12 PTS)30
50.5%
21
49.5%
Q1 - 1:16MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
47.4%
21
52.6%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Wade Layup28
46.9%
21
53.1%
Q1 - 1:36MEMGay 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
45.8%
21
54.2%
Q1 - 1:55MIAWright Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS)26
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
45.4%
19
54.6%
Q1 - 2:12MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 226
45.6%
19
54.4%
Q1 - 2:12MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 226
47.2%
19
52.8%
Q1 - 2:14MEMGrizzlies Rebound26
47.4%
19
52.6%
Q1 - 2:16MEMMISS Randolph Layup26
46.0%
19
54.0%
Q1 - 2:32MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)26
47.3%
19
52.7%
Q1 - 2:47MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
52.4%
16
47.6%
Q1 - 2:47MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
51.9%
16
48.1%
Q1 - 3:04MIABeasley Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)24
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 3:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
51.7%
14
48.3%
Q1 - 3:20MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 224
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 3:20MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
53.4%
14
46.6%
Q1 - 3:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
51.7%
14
48.3%
Q1 - 3:24MEMMISS Gay 7' Jump Shot23
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 3:32MIAWade Dunk (10 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)23
51.7%
14
48.3%
Q1 - 3:37MEMMagloire STEAL (1 STL)23
54.0%
12
46.0%
Q1 - 3:43MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
56.3%
12
43.7%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
55.6%
12
44.4%
Q1 - 4:00MEMMayo 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)23
54.0%
12
46.0%
Q1 - 4:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk21
49.8%
12
50.2%
Q1 - 4:18MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
48.2%
12
51.8%
Q1 - 4:18MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 4:30MIAChalmers 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
46.2%
12
53.8%
Q1 - 4:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
48.3%
10
51.7%
Q1 - 4:45MEMMISS Gay 15' Jump Bank Shot19
49.0%
10
51.0%
Q1 - 4:55MIADiawara Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
50.7%
10
49.3%
Q1 - 5:17MEMGay Reverse Layup (6 PTS)19
47.5%
10
52.5%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)17
45.6%
10
54.4%
Q1 - 5:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
47.5%
8
52.5%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS O'Neal 21' Jump Shot17
49.2%
8
50.8%
Q1 - 6:03MEMMayo Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
46.9%
8
53.1%
Q1 - 6:05MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
49.1%
8
50.9%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup17
48.4%
8
51.6%
Q1 - 6:15MEMConley Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
46.9%
8
53.1%
Q1 - 6:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot15
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 6:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 6:36MEMMISS Conley Layup15
43.4%
8
56.6%
Q1 - 7:04MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
44.3%
8
55.7%
Q1 - 7:22MEMMayo Driving Dunk (6 PTS)15
46.3%
6
53.7%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)13
44.3%
6
55.7%
Q1 - 7:42MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 7:42MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 7:49MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
40.3%
6
59.7%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Beasley Driving Reverse Layup11
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot11
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 8:02MIAHEAT Rebound11
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Chalmers Layup11
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 8:22MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 8:22MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 8:32MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot9
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 8:53MIAHEAT Rebound9
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 8:56MEMMISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot9
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 9:16MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 9:25MEMDiawara STEAL (1 STL)9
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 9:43MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 9:55MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
37.8%
4
62.2%
Q1 - 9:55MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
37.4%
4
62.6%
Q1 - 9:56MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 9:57MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 27
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 9:57MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 9:57MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 9:58MEMMISS Gay 9' Running Hook Shot6
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 10:12MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot6
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 10:36MEMGay Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 10:49MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 10:59MEMGasol 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 11:18MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 11:36MEMMayo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Gasol: Tip to0
28.5%
0
71.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.12 56.2%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
26
46
57%
MIA
16
28
57%
Midrange
MEM
17
34
50%
MIA
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
MEM
20
27
74%
MIA
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay4162%20.5 / 33
M. Gasol1689%8.0 / 9
O. Mayo1680%8.0 / 10
Z. Randolph1338%6.5 / 17
S. Young932%4.5 / 14
M. Conley880%4.0 / 5
S. Hunter6100%3.0 / 3
H. Thabeet583%2.5 / 3
D. Carroll467%2.0 / 3
H. Haddadi0-0.0 / 2
M. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2552%12.5 / 24
D. Wright1680%8.0 / 10
J. O'Neal1267%6.0 / 9
C. Arroyo857%4.0 / 7
J. Jones758%3.5 / 6
M. Beasley625%3.0 / 12
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
M. Chalmers433%2.0 / 6
J. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
D. Cook225%1.0 / 4
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
79
+24
-13
103
MIA
78
+11
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.12 56.2%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.6
106.7
MEM 128.3
MIA 98.9 +29.4
Pace
93.4
89.6
MEM 90.9
MIA 92.1 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.5
MEM 15.8
MIA 15.6 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
49.6%
MEM 55.1% +8.8%
MIA 46.3%
TO %
15.3%
13.6%
MEM 12.2% +0.6%
MIA 12.8%
ORB %
31.3%
26.0%
MEM 45.5% +26.5%
MIA 19.0%
FTrt
32.0
29.6
MEM 30.3 +5.3
MIA 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.9%
51.9%
MEM 42.6%
MIA 48.6% +6.0%
STL %
8.3%
8.1%
MEM 7.6% +2.1%
MIA 5.5%
BLK %
7.6%
9.4%
MEM 12.1% +4.6%
MIA 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.1%
MEM 56.2% +6.2%
MIA 50.0%
Rim FG%
59.0%
62.0%
MEM 56.5%
MIA 57.1% +0.6%
Mid FG%
40.3%
40.8%
MEM 50.0% +10.5%
MIA 39.5%
3P %
33.7%
34.6%
MEM 44.4% +15.8%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
73.3%
75.2%
MEM 74.1%
MIA 80.0% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.6%
29.8%
MEM 51.7% +16.7%
MIA 35.0%
Mid Att. %
44.6%
48.3%
MEM 38.2% +9.3%
MIA 47.5%
3P Att. %
14.8%
21.9%
MEM 10.1%
MIA 17.5% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points11890
Rebounds4926
Assists2017
Steals75
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (9)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)18 (5)
Field Goals47-8935-80
At-the-Rim FG26-4616-28
Midrange FG17-3415-38
2-Point FG43-8031-66
3-Point FG4-94-14
Free Throws20-2716-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
38.2
41
62%
4
2
2
0
2
1
0
4
8-12
67%
12-24
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
31.0
13
38%
7
1
0
1
2
3
4
3
2-2
100%
4-15
27%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 255 · 25
29.9
16
89%
15
1
2
1
1
1
4
11
2-4
50%
7-7
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
27.9
16
80%
3
2
0
1
2
3
0
3
4-4
100%
6-7
86%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 22
24.6
8
80%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25
23.3
9
32%
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
1-1
100%
4-12
33%
0-2
0%
C · 7'3" 263 · 23
20.7
5
83%
5
2
1
5
1
3
1
4
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 32
16.6
0
0%
3
5
0
0
1
5
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 23
7.1
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 265 · 25
6.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 24
6.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 28
6.9
6
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G · 6'7" 224 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
56%
49
20
7
8
13
0
15
34
20-27
74%
43-80
54%
4-9
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.