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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs69%99115
25Clippers31%9290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
30.7
33.6
10
50%
2
7
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
7-13
50%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.6
27.6
23.9
8
68%
3
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.5
26.3
29.9
17
60%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-7
57%
5-8
4-7
63%
48%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.6
25.8
32.1
21
69%
3
0
0
1
1
3
1
2
3-3
100%
9-14
7-13
64%
51%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.3
21.4
23.1
2
33%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.4
23.1
24.8
17
91%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
4-6
67%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.6
21.3
21.0
11
68%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
5-7
71%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
17.6
20.1
7
90%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-3
67%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.6
17.4
9.7
14
78%
9
0
1
0
1
2
3
6
0-0
-
7-9
1-3
78%
51%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
15.8
9.8
8
80%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.7
6.6
5.9
0
0%
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
6.6
2.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.1
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
34.4
35.7
16
62%
9
1
2
1
2
1
5
4
0-0
-
8-13
6-12
62%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
33.6
34.4
19
50%
10
1
0
1
1
0
3
7
1-2
50%
9-18
7-14
50%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
33.2
33.2
10
42%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
51%
2-4
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
27.1
35.2
11
63%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-4
75%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.5
20.1
11.4
2
17%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.7
30.6
35.0
20
55%
3
6
1
2
2
3
0
3
6-7
86%
4-10
4-10
40%
45%
2-5
40%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.2
20.8
9.7
4
40%
4
1
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.6
13.2
23.8
2
25%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
9.6
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.1
8.4
8.4
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
5.0
4.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.4
4.0
10.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.6
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.