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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Pacers14%9398
4Magic86%107106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
38.9
28.6
5
28%
5
2
1
1
3
0
0
5
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
1-5
20%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.2
33.4
23.0
26
61%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
9-15
3-6
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.6
33.3
33.2
14
54%
6
2
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
2-6
33%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.7
31.2
26.5
13
54%
6
7
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.0
15.4
21.8
8
80%
5
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.1
24.3
21.9
8
33%
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-11
4-10
36%
44%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
23.7
30.7
5
34%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.5
16.8
24.1
6
75%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
2-4
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
14.7
14.9
6
75%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
8.3
3.6
7
72%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
6.8
0
1-1
44%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.2
4.5
0
0-1
40%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.8
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.8
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
42.2
39.8
21
53%
23
1
0
1
4
3
9
14
13-22
59%
4-10
6-10
40%
60%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.9
32.8
28.7
28
59%
7
3
0
1
0
0
0
7
6-6
100%
8-17
5-10
47%
48%
2-4
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
26.7
33.7
10
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
21.3
24.9
6
32%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-4
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
20.8
27.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.2
27.2
16.5
13
59%
4
7
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
44%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
24.0
18.1
13
74%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
3-4
75%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
19.7
16.3
7
51%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-5
20%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.8
19.6
20.2
6
43%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
5.8
6.7
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.8
8.9
0
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
3.8
0
1-1
52%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.