FinalWin Prob.pScore
2914%93
98
486%107
106
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
104.39490.5
ORL logo ORL
114.09396.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDORL
Q4 - 0:00.0IND98
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLMAGIC Rebound98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:9 Def:14)98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Johnson Driving Layup98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)97
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLLewis Dunk (10 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDMISS Murphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0INDFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDMISS Hansbrough 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Carter 11' Jump Bank Shot96
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:14)96
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 1:14INDMISS Hansbrough 21' Jump Shot96
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 1:27ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)96
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 1:45ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)96
3.1%
101
96.9%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot96
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 2:11ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)96
5.8%
101
94.2%
Q4 - 2:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:13)96
12.3%
98
87.7%
Q4 - 2:27INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
14.8%
98
85.2%
Q4 - 2:40INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
22.3%
98
77.7%
Q4 - 2:41INDMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot96
14.8%
98
85.2%
Q4 - 2:54ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)96
21.4%
98
78.6%
Q4 - 2:54ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)96
22.6%
97
77.4%
Q4 - 3:08INDFord Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)96
27.3%
96
72.7%
Q4 - 3:14ORLLewis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)96
41.2%
96
58.8%
Q4 - 3:29INDHoward BLOCK (4 BLK)96
31.3%
96
68.7%
Q4 - 3:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)96
27.3%
96
72.7%
Q4 - 3:32INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
36.0%
96
64.0%
Q4 - 3:33INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
29.8%
96
70.2%
Q4 - 3:39INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
36.1%
96
63.9%
Q4 - 3:40ORLMISS Carter Driving Reverse Layup96
33.3%
96
66.7%
Q4 - 3:48ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
27.3%
96
72.7%
Q4 - 3:50INDJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)96
29.9%
96
70.1%
Q4 - 4:03ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)96
36.3%
96
63.7%
Q4 - 4:03ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)96
37.8%
95
62.2%
Q4 - 4:13INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)96
45.0%
94
55.0%
Q4 - 4:37INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
55.7%
94
44.3%
Q4 - 4:38ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot96
52.5%
94
47.5%
Q4 - 4:59INDFord 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)96
45.3%
94
54.7%
Q4 - 5:24INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
34.5%
94
65.5%
Q4 - 5:26ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
32.1%
94
67.9%
Q4 - 5:36INDAnderson STEAL (1 STL)94
27.0%
94
73.0%
Q4 - 6:00ORLCarter 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot (24 PTS)94
34.6%
94
65.4%
Q4 - 6:19INDWatson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)94
38.6%
92
61.4%
Q4 - 6:34ORLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Redick 5 AST)91
25.9%
92
74.1%
Q4 - 6:53INDHansbrough 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS)91
38.8%
89
61.2%
Q4 - 7:09ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
30.1%
89
69.9%
Q4 - 7:09ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)89
32.1%
88
67.9%
Q4 - 7:09ORLMAGIC Rebound89
35.7%
87
64.3%
Q4 - 7:09ORLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
40.7%
87
59.3%
Q4 - 7:35INDDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)89
35.8%
87
64.2%
Q4 - 7:47ORLJohnson Driving Layup (10 PTS)87
30.2%
87
69.8%
Q4 - 7:56INDHibbert 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)87
35.9%
85
64.1%
Q4 - 8:07INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
28.6%
85
71.4%
Q4 - 8:08ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
27.1%
85
72.9%
Q4 - 8:16ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
23.8%
85
76.2%
Q4 - 8:17ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
27.1%
85
72.9%
Q4 - 8:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)85
23.8%
85
76.2%
Q4 - 8:29INDMISS Rush 21' Jump Shot85
25.2%
85
74.8%
Q4 - 8:49INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
28.7%
85
71.3%
Q4 - 8:50ORLMISS Redick 17' Jump Shot85
27.2%
85
72.8%
Q4 - 9:10INDMurphy 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
23.4%
85
76.6%
Q4 - 9:25ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)83
19.3%
85
80.7%
Q4 - 9:38ORLMAGIC Rebound83
28.1%
82
71.9%
Q4 - 9:38ORLMISS Barnes 7' Jump Shot83
31.5%
82
68.5%
Q4 - 9:40ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
28.1%
82
71.9%
Q4 - 9:43ORLMISS Redick Layup83
31.5%
82
68.5%
Q4 - 9:51INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
28.1%
82
71.9%
Q4 - 9:51INDHibbert Layup (6 PTS)83
28.1%
82
71.9%
Q4 - 9:54INDAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)81
20.6%
82
79.4%
Q4 - 10:00ORLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)81
23.4%
82
76.6%
Q4 - 10:14ORLMAGIC Rebound81
19.0%
82
81.0%
Q4 - 10:15INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
20.1%
82
79.9%
Q4 - 10:35INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
22.8%
82
77.2%
Q4 - 10:37ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 281
22.3%
82
77.7%
Q4 - 10:37ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
20.3%
82
79.7%
Q4 - 10:48ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
22.8%
81
77.2%
Q4 - 10:49INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
24.0%
81
76.0%
Q4 - 11:01INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
26.1%
81
73.9%
Q4 - 11:02ORLMISS Johnson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot81
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q4 - 11:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)81
22.3%
81
77.7%
Q4 - 11:24INDMISS Hibbert 12' Turnaround Jump Shot81
23.4%
81
76.6%
Q4 - 11:42ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)81
26.1%
81
73.9%
Q4 - 11:42ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)81
27.6%
80
72.4%
Q4 - 11:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)81
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q4 - 11:44ORLMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot81
33.8%
79
66.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND81
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound81
35.2%
79
64.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Running Jump Shot81
32.0%
79
68.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
33.9%
79
66.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
34.5%
78
65.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)81
39.1%
77
60.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)81
40.5%
77
59.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLCarter 11' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)81
43.7%
77
56.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)81
49.2%
75
50.8%
Q3 - 1:06INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
37.3%
75
62.7%
Q3 - 1:08ORLMISS Barnes 19' Jump Shot78
36.1%
75
63.9%
Q3 - 1:21ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
33.2%
75
66.8%
Q3 - 1:22INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
34.5%
75
65.5%
Q3 - 1:38ORLAnderson Driving Layup (2 PTS)78
37.4%
75
62.6%
Q3 - 1:49ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
42.5%
73
57.5%
Q3 - 1:50INDMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot78
43.9%
73
56.1%
Q3 - 2:00INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
47.1%
73
52.9%
Q3 - 2:01ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot78
43.0%
73
57.0%
Q3 - 2:23INDDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Hansbrough 3 AST)78
40.0%
73
60.0%
Q3 - 2:48INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
35.6%
73
64.4%
Q3 - 2:49ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
34.3%
73
65.7%
Q3 - 2:55ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
31.5%
73
68.5%
Q3 - 2:57INDMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot76
32.7%
73
67.3%
Q3 - 3:13ORLPietrus Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)76
33.7%
73
66.3%
Q3 - 3:31INDFoster 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)76
37.7%
71
62.3%
Q3 - 3:50ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)74
33.8%
71
66.2%
Q3 - 4:10INDHansbrough Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)74
40.7%
68
59.3%
Q3 - 4:19INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
37.3%
68
62.7%
Q3 - 4:20ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
35.8%
68
64.2%
Q3 - 4:46INDFoster 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)72
32.6%
68
67.4%
Q3 - 4:53INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
29.5%
68
70.5%
Q3 - 4:55ORLMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot70
28.2%
68
71.8%
Q3 - 5:15INDHansbrough 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)70
24.6%
68
75.4%
Q3 - 5:30INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
22.0%
68
78.0%
Q3 - 5:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 268
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 5:31ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
20.1%
68
79.9%
Q3 - 5:46INDJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q3 - 5:56INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 5:58ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot66
18.4%
67
81.6%
Q3 - 6:07ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
16.0%
67
84.0%
Q3 - 6:08INDMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 6:27INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
18.6%
67
81.4%
Q3 - 6:28ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 166
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 6:42INDFoster Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)66
20.9%
65
79.1%
Q3 - 7:01ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T4)64
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q3 - 7:05ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
15.7%
65
84.3%
Q3 - 7:06INDMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot64
16.4%
65
83.6%
Q3 - 7:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q3 - 7:19ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 264
17.8%
65
82.2%
Q3 - 7:19ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q3 - 7:25ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 7:26INDMISS Dunleavy 13' Fadeaway Jumper64
18.7%
64
81.3%
Q3 - 7:39ORLLewis 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)64
20.5%
64
79.5%
Q3 - 7:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
23.0%
62
77.0%
Q3 - 7:53INDMISS Rush Layup64
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 8:09ORLCarter 12' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
25.4%
62
74.6%
Q3 - 8:23ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
28.2%
60
71.8%
Q3 - 8:24INDMISS Foster 16' Jump Shot64
29.2%
60
70.8%
Q3 - 8:44ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)64
31.6%
60
68.4%
Q3 - 8:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 264
32.7%
59
67.3%
Q3 - 8:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)64
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q3 - 8:44ORLMISS Carter Driving Layup64
33.8%
59
66.2%
Q3 - 9:00INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)64
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q3 - 9:13ORLPietrus Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)61
24.7%
59
75.3%
Q3 - 9:28ORLMAGIC Rebound61
27.5%
57
72.5%
Q3 - 9:29INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q3 - 9:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q3 - 9:44ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q3 - 9:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)61
27.6%
57
72.4%
Q3 - 9:48ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q3 - 10:02INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)61
26.5%
57
73.5%
Q3 - 10:17INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
21.4%
57
78.6%
Q3 - 10:19ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
20.7%
57
79.3%
Q3 - 10:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)58
19.1%
57
80.9%
Q3 - 10:34INDMISS Rush Free Throw 2 of 258
19.4%
57
80.6%
Q3 - 10:34INDMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 258
20.6%
57
79.4%
Q3 - 10:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)58
21.5%
57
78.5%
Q3 - 10:47ORLHoward Dunk (13 PTS)58
21.5%
57
78.5%
Q3 - 10:52ORLMISS Carter Layup58
25.8%
55
74.2%
Q3 - 11:04INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q3 - 11:04INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q3 - 11:20ORLCarter 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)56
20.8%
55
79.2%
Q3 - 11:38INDDunleavy 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)56
23.1%
53
76.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND54
20.9%
53
79.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLBarnes Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)54
20.9%
53
79.1%
Q2 - 0:12.0INDHansbrough Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)54
23.1%
51
76.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLJohnson Driving Layup (8 PTS)52
20.3%
51
79.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0INDFord Driving Layup (11 PTS)52
23.0%
49
77.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLBarnes Foul Turnover (P1.T3)50
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q2 - 1:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)50
18.3%
49
81.7%
Q2 - 1:04INDMISS Dunleavy 11' Jump Shot50
18.8%
49
81.2%
Q2 - 1:21ORLCarter 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)50
19.8%
49
80.2%
Q2 - 1:36INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)50
22.6%
47
77.4%
Q2 - 1:36INDDunleavy Layup (12 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)49
20.4%
47
79.6%
Q2 - 1:39INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 1:41ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Dunk47
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q2 - 1:51INDFord 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
16.5%
47
83.5%
Q2 - 2:12ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q2 - 2:12ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 2:28INDHansbrough Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)44
14.2%
45
85.8%
Q2 - 2:45ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
15.9%
45
84.1%
Q2 - 2:45ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 2:50INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)44
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 3:06INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 3:07ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 244
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 3:07ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 3:13INDLewis STEAL (1 STL)44
18.9%
42
81.1%
Q2 - 3:26ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)44
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 3:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)44
25.4%
39
74.6%
Q2 - 3:28ORLMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 3:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)44
25.4%
39
74.6%
Q2 - 3:36INDHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)44
26.3%
39
73.7%
Q2 - 3:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
28.4%
39
71.6%
Q2 - 3:46ORLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot44
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 3:52ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
25.4%
39
74.6%
Q2 - 3:53INDMISS Murphy 9' Hook Shot44
26.3%
39
73.7%
Q2 - 4:19ORLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
27.3%
39
72.7%
Q2 - 4:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
29.5%
37
70.5%
Q2 - 4:28INDMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot44
30.4%
37
69.6%
Q2 - 4:47ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
32.5%
37
67.5%
Q2 - 4:47ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 4:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
34.9%
35
65.1%
Q2 - 4:50INDMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot44
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 5:03INDPacers Rebound44
36.8%
35
63.2%
Q2 - 5:04INDMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot44
35.0%
35
65.0%
Q2 - 5:26INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
36.9%
35
63.1%
Q2 - 5:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 144
36.5%
35
63.5%
Q2 - 5:41ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
39.8%
33
60.2%
Q2 - 5:42INDMISS Murphy 12' Fadeaway Jumper44
40.6%
33
59.4%
Q2 - 5:51ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)44
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 6:05INDDunleavy Layup (10 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)44
47.0%
30
53.0%
Q2 - 6:20ORLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
44.7%
30
55.3%
Q2 - 6:31INDFord 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q2 - 6:47INDPacers Rebound40
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q2 - 6:47ORLMISS Lewis 8' Running Jump Shot40
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 7:13INDFord 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
40.0%
28
60.0%
Q2 - 7:27INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
37.4%
28
62.6%
Q2 - 7:28ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
36.6%
28
63.4%
Q2 - 7:46INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q2 - 8:02ORLJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)38
35.9%
28
64.1%
Q2 - 8:08ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q2 - 8:10INDMISS Hansbrough 19' Jump Shot38
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q2 - 8:30ORLBarnes Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q2 - 8:48INDDunleavy Layup (8 PTS) (Hansbrough 2 AST)38
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q2 - 8:56INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q2 - 8:57ORLMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot36
40.4%
24
59.6%
Q2 - 9:14INDJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q2 - 9:22ORLGortat Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)36
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q2 - 9:30ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
42.3%
22
57.7%
Q2 - 9:31INDMISS Hansbrough 8' Jump Shot36
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q2 - 9:50ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)36
45.1%
22
54.9%
Q2 - 10:04INDJones 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)36
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q2 - 10:20ORLBarnes Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)34
47.0%
19
53.0%
Q2 - 10:37INDGortat STEAL (1 STL)34
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q2 - 10:49INDPacers Rebound34
52.3%
17
47.7%
Q2 - 10:49ORLMISS Barnes 17' Jump Shot34
51.4%
17
48.6%
Q2 - 10:54ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q2 - 10:56INDMISS Hansbrough 9' Hook Shot34
50.3%
17
49.7%
Q2 - 11:10INDJones Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)34
51.0%
17
49.0%
Q2 - 11:17INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
48.5%
17
51.5%
Q2 - 11:19ORLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot33
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q2 - 11:36INDJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)33
45.9%
17
54.1%
Q2 - 11:38INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q2 - 11:40INDMISS Hansbrough 20' Jump Shot30
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL30
41.1%
17
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)30
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Carter 20' Fadeaway Jumper30
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
37.2%
17
62.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 130
37.5%
17
62.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
34.6%
17
65.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Pietrus 22' Jump Shot28
34.0%
17
66.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)28
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 1:11ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)25
27.3%
17
72.7%
Q1 - 1:16ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 1:17INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot25
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 1:34ORLCarter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)25
33.4%
14
66.6%
Q1 - 1:44ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 1:45INDMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
39.0%
11
61.0%
Q1 - 2:10INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
39.6%
11
60.4%
Q1 - 2:11ORLMISS Carter 19' Fadeaway Jumper25
39.0%
11
61.0%
Q1 - 2:15ORLMAGIC Rebound25
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 2:15ORLMISS Carter 9' Turnaround Jump Shot25
39.0%
11
61.0%
Q1 - 2:33INDJones Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)25
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 2:44INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
35.2%
11
64.8%
Q1 - 2:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 223
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 2:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 223
33.9%
11
66.1%
Q1 - 2:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
33.5%
11
66.5%
Q1 - 2:47ORLMISS Howard Layup23
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 3:04INDHansbrough Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)23
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 3:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 3:14ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 223
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 3:14ORLMAGIC Rebound23
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 3:15ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.0%
10
64.0%
Q1 - 3:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 3:26INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 3:37ORLCarter 10' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 3:56INDMurphy 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 4:18ORLCarter Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)21
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 4:25ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 4:27INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 4:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 4:35ORLMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 5:01INDDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 5:15INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 5:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 5:16ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot19
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 5:19ORLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 5:39ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 5:40INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 5:43INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 5:45ORLMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot19
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 6:05INDDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 6:28ORLCarter Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 6:45INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)17
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 6:54INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 6:56ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
27.3%
4
72.7%
Q1 - 7:08INDDunleavy 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)14
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 7:23INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 7:25ORLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot12
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 7:39ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 7:40INDMISS Ford 19' Fadeaway Jumper12
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 8:04ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 8:04ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
23.4%
3
76.6%
Q1 - 8:13INDHibbert 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 8:26ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)10
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 8:47INDMurphy 8' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)10
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 8:57INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 8:58ORLMISS Howard Layup8
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 9:15INDRush Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)8
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 9:24INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 9:26ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot6
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 9:36INDFord Layup (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)6
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 9:57INDPacers Rebound4
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 9:58ORLMISS Pietrus Layup4
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 10:20INDMurphy 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 10:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 10:35ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 10:41ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 10:43INDMISS Ford Layup2
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 10:45INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 10:47INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 10:54ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 11:02INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
12.1%
2
87.9%
Q1 - 11:02INDHibbert Putback Dunk (2 PTS)2
12.1%
2
87.9%
Q1 - 11:03INDMISS Dunleavy 7' Jump Shot0
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 11:21INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 11:22ORLMISS Carter 10' Running Jump Shot0
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 11:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 11:32INDHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)0
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 11:45ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)0
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Hibbert: Tip to Williams0
12.1%
0
87.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.0%
ORL
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
18
78%
ORL
18
29
62%
Midrange
IND
21
48
44%
ORL
9
28
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
ORL
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
Free Throws
IND
7
10
70%
ORL
25
35
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy2659%13.0 / 22
T. Murphy1454%7.0 / 13
T. Ford1354%6.5 / 12
R. Hibbert880%4.0 / 5
T. Hansbrough833%4.0 / 12
S. Jones788%3.5 / 4
E. Watson675%3.0 / 4
J. Foster675%3.0 / 4
B. Rush528%2.5 / 9
D. Jones536%2.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2858%14.0 / 24
D. Howard2153%10.5 / 20
A. Johnson1359%6.5 / 11
J. Redick1372%6.5 / 9
R. Lewis1050%5.0 / 10
R. Anderson750%3.5 / 7
M. Pietrus633%3.0 / 9
M. Barnes643%3.0 / 7
M. Gortat2100%1.0 / 1
J. Williams0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
85
+9
-9
94
ORL
87
+16
-6
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.0%
ORL
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
111.5
IND 104.3
ORL 114.0 +9.7
Pace
97.0
92.0
IND 90.5
ORL 96.7 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.7
IND 15.9
ORL 14.9 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
53.6%
IND 51.7% +4.6%
ORL 47.1%
TO %
14.7%
14.8%
IND 9.8%
ORL 6.5% +3.3%
ORB %
21.6%
24.6%
IND 15.9%
ORL 22.4% +6.5%
FTrt
29.6
34.0
IND 11.4
ORL 40.7 +29.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
53.7%
IND 61.9% +11.9%
ORL 50.0%
STL %
7.4%
6.8%
IND 4.3%
ORL 4.3%
BLK %
8.0%
8.6%
IND 5.3%
ORL 9.1% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
55.8%
IND 51.0%
ORL 51.0%
Rim FG%
57.4%
61.6%
IND 77.8% +15.7%
ORL 62.1%
Mid FG%
39.8%
42.3%
IND 43.8% +11.7%
ORL 32.1%
3P %
34.8%
37.5%
IND 31.8% +0.8%
ORL 31.0%
FT %
77.5%
72.4%
IND 70.0%
ORL 71.4% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
33.0%
IND 20.5%
ORL 33.7% +13.3%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
32.0%
IND 54.5%
ORL 32.6% +22.0%
3P Att. %
27.8%
35.0%
IND 25.0%
ORL 33.7% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsINDORL
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points98106
Rebounds4548
Assists2618
Steals44
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)6 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (3)37 (2)
Field Goals42-8836-86
At-the-Rim FG14-1818-29
Midrange FG21-489-28
2-Point FG35-6627-57
3-Point FG7-229-29
Free Throws7-1025-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
38.9
5
28%
5
2
1
3
0
2
0
5
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 230 · 29
33.4
26
59%
4
2
0
0
1
3
0
4
5-5
100%
9-15
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 245 · 30
33.3
14
54%
6
2
2
0
2
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-6
33%
G · 6'0" 165 · 27
31.2
13
54%
6
7
1
0
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
50%
1-2
50%
C · 7'2" 270 · 23
15.4
8
80%
5
3
0
0
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 250 · 24
24.3
8
33%
6
3
0
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29
23.7
5
36%
4
4
0
0
1
3
1
3
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 31
16.8
6
75%
3
2
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33
14.7
6
75%
5
1
0
0
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
8.3
7
88%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
#32 · · 6'10" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'1" 175 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
45
26
4
3
9
0
7
38
7-10
70%
35-66
53%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.