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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Warriors41%102101
2176ers59%105117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
36.4
31.8
14
47%
4
4
4
2
1
4
0
4
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
1-4
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
29.2
43.3
8
25%
1
2
2
2
0
3
0
1
2-5
40%
3-14
10-19
21%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
22.6
28.7
5
50%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
20.7
28.5
8
80%
5
0
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.1
15.6
18.9
8
57%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
57%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
33.0
27.2
24
82%
3
3
1
1
0
6
0
3
13-15
87%
4-6
5-9
67%
50%
1-2
50%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
30.4
32.4
10
81%
1
2
2
2
0
2
0
1
5-5
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.4
28.8
17.7
15
63%
5
2
0
1
2
1
2
3
9-11
82%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
17.4
3.2
9
113%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
3-4
75%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
5.9
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
6.2
0
1-1
59%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.9
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.6
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
40.0
36.0
26
61%
14
4
3
1
1
3
5
9
1-1
100%
11-19
6-11
58%
53%
1-2
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.5
38.9
9.2
15
54%
7
6
3
0
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
6-9
1-2
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.9
34.5
41.1
14
31%
8
2
3
2
1
4
3
5
6-6
100%
4-15
6-13
27%
51%
0-5
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.5
31.7
31.0
20
74%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
6-8
75%
7-10
6-13
70%
46%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.6
29.1
31.0
12
67%
13
1
0
1
4
2
5
8
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
16.6
37.3
11
74%
7
1
0
1
0
3
5
2
1-1
100%
5-7
7-14
71%
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
16.6
24.3
14
70%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.7
11.3
4.2
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.0
8.4
3.3
4
69%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.9
7.3
16.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.8
3.2
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
2.3
3.8
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.