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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics77%100110
24Grizzlies23%90105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.2
41.2
30.0
19
65%
2
6
1
1
2
2
1
1
6-8
75%
2-8
3-6
25%
51%
3-3
100%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.4
37.0
32.9
18
65%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-7
3-7
14%
52%
5-6
83%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.8
35.2
36.4
18
68%
2
9
1
2
1
4
0
2
2-3
67%
8-11
6-11
73%
52%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
33.4
29.1
13
78%
8
3
0
1
1
1
0
8
3-3
100%
5-7
6-11
71%
54%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.1
26.5
26.7
13
62%
6
0
1
0
1
2
0
6
1-1
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
61%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.2
23.6
19.0
15
47%
4
2
1
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
1-6
17%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.6
15.8
19.1
9
64%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.9
15.2
12.7
4
40%
4
1
1
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
11.9
14.6
1
57%
5
0
0
0
0
1
4
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
0.3
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.9
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.0
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
41.9
34.2
20
60%
5
2
2
1
0
5
3
2
6-6
100%
7-14
7-14
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
40.9
38.1
23
55%
7
2
3
1
1
1
1
6
9-9
100%
7-12
7-14
58%
47%
0-5
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
40.6
32.9
21
62%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
9-11
4-9
82%
47%
1-6
17%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.9
35.4
32.5
15
55%
8
1
0
1
0
0
4
4
3-4
75%
6-12
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
34.9
29.2
11
58%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
45%
0-2
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.8
18.4
14.7
2
33%
8
0
1
0
4
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
14.6
20.6
11
56%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
5-9
3-7
56%
44%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.8
13.2
13.8
2
100%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
0.3
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
5.9
0
1-1
40%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.6
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
4.8
0
1-1
54%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.