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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves17%94110
9Jazz83%107108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.9
38.1
32.8
23
56%
12
3
0
1
1
3
1
11
5-10
50%
9-16
7-15
56%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.8
35.5
27.7
22
62%
5
4
2
1
0
2
1
4
5-6
83%
7-12
3-8
58%
42%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.3
34.8
30.9
11
44%
14
2
1
1
0
1
4
10
5-8
63%
3-8
5-10
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.9
32.7
16.5
5
56%
3
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 20.9
29.4
28.0
28
69%
1
5
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-3
67%
7-13
4-8
54%
44%
4-6
67%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 24.0
19.2
5.3
8
59%
5
0
1
0
0
2
3
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
18.6
19.7
6
43%
5
1
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.1
15.3
12.4
4
41%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
12.5
21.2
3
38%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.2
3.8
11.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.2
8.7
0
1-2
47%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
2.4
0
0-0
42%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.6
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.3
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
41.1
37.9
38
68%
3
13
2
1
0
1
0
3
14-18
78%
9-16
6-12
56%
54%
2-4
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.1
37.2
36.8
14
43%
14
3
0
1
2
4
2
12
0-3
0%
7-15
8-15
47%
55%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.7
35.1
34.4
8
45%
5
2
1
2
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
56%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
32.9
34.2
8
42%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
1-4
25%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
27.2
30.7
13
66%
4
2
0
1
1
3
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
2-5
40%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
23.7
26.6
13
63%
3
0
1
1
3
1
1
2
1-3
33%
6-8
4-8
75%
56%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
15.0
8.4
8
69%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.7
13.1
7.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.0
7.8
3.8
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
2-3
1-1
67%
57%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
6.9
9.7
2
53%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
23.4
1
3-5
52%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
3.0
0
0-1
46%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.8
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.