FinalWin Prob.pScore
459%98
86
1641%95
104
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
97.788102.3
MIA logo MIA
116.98978.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMagic Rebound83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)83
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07ORLMISS Redick 17' Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29ORLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56ORLMISS Barnes 7' Jump Shot83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35ORLMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 183
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30ORLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56ORLBass 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWright Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21ORLWright STEAL (1 STL)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46ORLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13ORLAnthony STEAL (2 STL)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)71
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:26MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44ORLMISS Barnes Layup68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02ORLMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10ORLMagic Rebound68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:10ORLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:23MIABeasley Reverse Layup (16 PTS)68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38ORLMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 7:46ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot68
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:14ORLRedick 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:20MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)66
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:45MIAHEAT Rebound66
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:47ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 266
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:47ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 266
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:54ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot66
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:16ORLGortat Tip Shot (4 PTS)66
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:18ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:21ORLMISS Johnson Layup64
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 9:27ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot64
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:57ORLBass 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)64
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:11ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Anthony Tip Shot62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Haslem 21' Jump Shot62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:58ORLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 11:04ORLMagic Rebound62
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 11:06ORLMISS Barnes Driving Layup62
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 11:21MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)62
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 11:40ORLGortat Reverse Layup (2 PTS)62
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL60
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound60
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Carter 34' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLWade BLOCK (3 BLK)60
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)60
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 1:00MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)60
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 1:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 1:08ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 1:21MIAAnthony 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)60
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 1:34ORLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)60
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)60
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 2:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 2:12ORLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot60
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q3 - 2:28ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot60
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 2:52ORLCarter Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)60
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 3:02MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)60
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 3:03MIAHEAT Rebound60
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot60
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 3:26ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q3 - 3:26ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 3:38MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Lewis: Tip to Howard58
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 3:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 3:42ORLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)58
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q3 - 4:30ORLHoward Driving Layup (17 PTS)58
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q3 - 4:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)56
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot56
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q3 - 4:59ORLCarter 7' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)56
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 5:13MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)54
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 5:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 5:37ORLMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot54
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 5:59MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)54
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 6:13ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 6:13ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 253
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q3 - 6:14ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 6:16ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 6:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)53
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot53
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 6:41ORLCarter 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 6:55MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)51
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 7:02ORLBeasley STEAL (1 STL)51
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)51
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 251
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 7:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 7:28ORLMISS Pietrus Dunk51
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 7:48MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)51
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 8:01ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q3 - 8:01ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 250
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q3 - 8:12MIABeasley Layup (14 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)50
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 8:34ORLCarter 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)50
8.5%
68
91.5%
Q3 - 8:44MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)48
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 9:06ORLPietrus 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 9:25MIAO'Neal 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)46
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 9:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
10.4%
63
89.6%
Q3 - 9:48ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 9:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)46
11.9%
63
88.1%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Arroyo 6' Jump Shot46
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 10:14MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 10:15ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 10:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)46
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q3 - 10:44ORLPietrus 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAO'Neal 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)44
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 11:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 11:22ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
12.7%
61
87.3%
Q3 - 11:42MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)44
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL44
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAArroyo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)44
17.5%
59
82.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)44
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)42
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot40
20.0%
54
80.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q2 - 1:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)37
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q2 - 1:01ORLMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot37
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q2 - 1:13MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)37
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q2 - 1:28ORLPietrus 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)35
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q2 - 1:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q2 - 2:02ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)35
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 2:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)35
20.2%
50
79.8%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 235
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 235
18.6%
50
81.4%
Q2 - 2:32MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot35
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 2:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot35
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 3:04ORLCarter 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)35
18.9%
50
81.1%
Q2 - 3:23MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 3:34MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 3:37ORLMISS Howard 6' Running Hook Shot33
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q2 - 3:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)33
21.3%
48
78.7%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 4:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
19.8%
48
80.2%
Q2 - 4:04ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 4:17ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 233
21.7%
48
78.3%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
20.3%
48
79.7%
Q2 - 4:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
21.8%
47
78.2%
Q2 - 4:39ORLMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot33
22.5%
47
77.5%
Q2 - 4:51MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
24.1%
47
75.9%
Q2 - 4:51MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q2 - 5:10ORLWilliams Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)33
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q2 - 5:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup33
29.0%
45
71.0%
Q2 - 5:27ORLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)33
27.3%
45
72.7%
Q2 - 5:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
22.8%
45
77.2%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Arroyo 8' Fadeaway Jumper30
22.1%
45
77.9%
Q2 - 5:54ORLHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)30
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 6:07ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
19.8%
45
80.2%
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot28
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 6:29ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)28
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q2 - 6:47MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
19.8%
45
80.2%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 228
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q2 - 7:15MIAHEAT Rebound28
20.6%
44
79.4%
Q2 - 7:17ORLMISS Howard Dunk28
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 7:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 7:19ORLMISS Barnes Reverse Layup28
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 7:39MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 7:57MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
26.5%
41
73.5%
Q2 - 7:58ORLMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
27.3%
41
72.7%
Q2 - 8:16MIABeasley 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)28
30.0%
41
70.0%
Q2 - 8:33ORLHoward 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)28
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 8:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Beasley 7' Jump Shot26
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 9:09ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS)26
28.3%
39
71.7%
Q2 - 9:15ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot23
23.6%
39
76.4%
Q2 - 9:31ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
22.2%
39
77.8%
Q2 - 9:31ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
21.6%
39
78.4%
Q2 - 9:45MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)21
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 9:58ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q2 - 9:58ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 220
21.6%
37
78.4%
Q2 - 10:15ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.9%
37
77.1%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 120
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q2 - 10:31ORLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)20
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 10:35ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 10:48MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 10:50ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q2 - 11:04MIAAnthony Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)20
27.4%
35
72.6%
Q2 - 11:34ORLRedick 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
29.3%
33
70.7%
Q2 - 11:47MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T2)18
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL18
25.3%
33
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
27.3%
33
72.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
32.1%
31
67.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
34.7%
29
65.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 218
35.0%
29
65.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 218
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAWade Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
36.6%
29
63.4%
Q1 - 1:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
40.3%
27
59.7%
Q1 - 1:09ORLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot18
40.8%
27
59.2%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWright Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
41.9%
27
58.1%
Q1 - 1:34ORLCarter Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)18
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q1 - 1:41MIAAnthony 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
46.6%
25
53.4%
Q1 - 1:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
49.7%
23
50.3%
Q1 - 1:55ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Hook Shot18
50.2%
23
49.8%
Q1 - 2:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot18
51.3%
23
48.7%
Q1 - 2:38ORLAnthony STEAL (1 STL)18
49.9%
23
50.1%
Q1 - 2:51ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot18
51.3%
23
48.7%
Q1 - 3:11ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)18
50.2%
23
49.8%
Q1 - 3:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
45.6%
23
54.4%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot15
44.9%
23
55.1%
Q1 - 3:50ORLHoward 8' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)15
43.3%
23
56.7%
Q1 - 4:07MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)13
41.8%
23
58.2%
Q1 - 4:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Anthony Reverse Layup13
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q1 - 4:32MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q1 - 4:34ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot13
44.5%
21
55.5%
Q1 - 4:47MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)13
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q1 - 5:03ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)13
48.4%
19
51.6%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)10
44.3%
19
55.7%
Q1 - 5:36MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)10
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 5:53ORLHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)10
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 6:13MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)8
46.8%
16
53.2%
Q1 - 6:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
48.8%
14
51.2%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot8
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 6:46ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)8
48.8%
14
51.2%
Q1 - 7:03MIARichardson Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)8
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 7:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 7:26ORLLewis 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)8
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 7:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 7:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 7:52ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)6
53.4%
10
46.6%
Q1 - 8:16MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 8:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 8:27ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 8:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Richardson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot6
55.2%
10
44.8%
Q1 - 8:50MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
55.2%
10
44.8%
Q1 - 9:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.7%
10
45.3%
Q1 - 9:02ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
55.2%
10
44.8%
Q1 - 9:21MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
56.5%
10
43.5%
Q1 - 9:38ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
58.5%
8
41.5%
Q1 - 9:53MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 10:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
63.9%
5
36.1%
Q1 - 10:08ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Hook Shot6
64.5%
5
35.5%
Q1 - 10:25MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)6
65.9%
5
34.1%
Q1 - 10:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
69.0%
2
31.0%
Q1 - 10:41ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot3
65.3%
2
34.7%
Q1 - 11:01ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 11:16MIABeasley 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 11:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
62.5%
0
37.5%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade Layup0
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 11:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.5%
0
37.5%
Q1 - 11:39ORLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Carter0
64.0%
0
36.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.97 48.3%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
8
17
47%
MIA
12
16
75%
Midrange
ORL
17
33
52%
MIA
23
51
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
MIA
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
9
17
53%
MIA
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1757%8.5 / 15
J. Redick1372%6.5 / 9
M. Pietrus12100%6.0 / 6
V. Carter1045%5.0 / 11
R. Lewis945%4.5 / 10
J. Williams744%3.5 / 8
B. Bass660%3.0 / 5
A. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
M. Gortat440%2.0 / 5
R. Anderson375%1.5 / 2
M. Barnes0-0.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2560%12.5 / 21
M. Beasley2261%11.0 / 18
Q. Richardson1161%5.5 / 9
D. Wright1161%5.5 / 9
U. Haslem956%4.5 / 8
J. O'Neal857%4.0 / 7
M. Chalmers750%3.5 / 7
J. Anthony660%3.0 / 5
C. Arroyo550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
76
+11
-12
87
MIA
82
+10
-7
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.97 48.3%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
106.7
ORL 97.7 +19.1
MIA 116.9
Pace
92.0
89.6
ORL 102.3 +24.2
MIA 78.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.5
ORL 14.1 +4.4
MIA 18.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
49.6%
ORL 49.4%
MIA 56.2% +6.8%
TO %
14.8%
13.6%
ORL 13.2%
MIA 9.2% +4.0%
ORB %
24.6%
26.0%
ORL 17.1%
MIA 22.0% +4.9%
FTrt
34.0
29.6
ORL 21.8
MIA 23.5 +1.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.7%
51.9%
ORL 35.3%
MIA 59.5% +24.2%
STL %
6.8%
8.1%
ORL 5.7% +0.1%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
8.6%
9.4%
ORL 3.0%
MIA 10.0% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
52.1%
ORL 48.3%
MIA 56.5% +8.2%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.0%
ORL 47.1%
MIA 75.0% +27.9%
Mid FG%
42.3%
40.8%
ORL 51.5% +6.4%
MIA 45.1%
3P %
37.5%
34.6%
ORL 32.1%
MIA 50.0% +17.9%
FT %
72.4%
75.2%
ORL 52.9%
MIA 68.4% +15.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
29.8%
ORL 21.8% +2.0%
MIA 19.8%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
48.3%
ORL 42.3% +20.7%
MIA 63.0%
3P Att. %
35.0%
21.9%
ORL 35.9% +18.6%
MIA 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes20.627.4
Points86104
Rebounds3943
Assists1225
Steals55
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)34 (2)
Field Goals34-7842-81
At-the-Rim FG8-1712-16
Midrange FG17-3323-51
2-Point FG25-5035-67
3-Point FG9-287-14
Free Throws9-1713-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
36.0
17
57%
14
0
0
2
3
3
2
12
5-9
56%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 30
30.5
9
45%
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
G · 6'6" 220 · 33
29.1
10
45%
2
2
0
0
3
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-4
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
23.8
7
44%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
F · 6'6" 215 · 28
18.5
12
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
25.9
13
72%
5
1
2
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 35
24.2
5
42%
1
5
1
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 226 · 30
21.1
0
0%
4
1
1
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
12.0
4
40%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
12.0
6
60%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
7.0
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 270 · 35
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
48%
39
12
5
2
12
0
7
32
9-17
53%
25-50
50%
9-28
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.