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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Magic59%9886
16Heat41%95104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
36.0
37.6
17
57%
14
0
0
1
2
3
2
12
5-9
56%
6-11
5-9
55%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
30.5
31.0
9
46%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
2-5
40%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.9
29.1
29.1
10
46%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
4-10
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
23.8
23.7
7
44%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
18.5
20.7
12
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
2-2
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
25.9
20.3
13
69%
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
2-4
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.2
24.2
22.4
5
42%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.8
21.1
24.0
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
52%
0-4
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
12.0
8.2
4
41%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
12.0
6.5
6
55%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
7.0
14.6
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-2
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.8
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
34.3
32.3
22
59%
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
6-8
75%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.9
29.3
32.6
25
61%
3
7
0
1
3
0
0
3
4-8
50%
9-16
7-15
56%
50%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.4
26.3
16.8
5
50%
4
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.7
21.4
16.7
11
61%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
3-7
43%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
17.9
26.0
8
57%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
29.9
26.5
9
53%
6
0
1
0
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.0
26.4
26.2
11
61%
8
0
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
25.9
16.3
6
60%
2
0
2
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
21.7
28.5
7
51%
4
6
0
2
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.6
4.2
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.6
2.6
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.2
8.7
0
0-0
41%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.