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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bucks22%9282
3Cavaliers78%10285
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
36.9
30.0
18
37%
4
8
2
1
0
2
2
2
7-7
100%
4-13
4-10
31%
42%
1-8
13%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
31.0
34.7
18
60%
7
1
2
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.3
24.0
22.2
6
50%
6
5
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
17.1
34.1
4
29%
8
0
0
1
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-7
7-13
29%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
14.2
26.2
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
31.5
20.6
16
60%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
3-8
38%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
23.3
15.2
3
39%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
20.7
26.8
7
33%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.2
17.6
6.8
6
50%
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
16.6
19.9
0
0%
1
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.8
6.9
1.4
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
0.1
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.0
38.4
38.5
26
68%
10
8
0
2
3
6
1
9
12-14
86%
4-9
9-16
44%
54%
2-4
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 27.0
35.7
33.4
17
56%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
2-5
40%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 34.5
21.7
21.4
3
38%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 21.3
18.0
16.9
2
26%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.8
17.5
22.9
9
65%
6
1
0
0
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-6
5-8
67%
58%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.2
30.5
27.0
6
38%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
53%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.4
27.0
22.9
12
58%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29.5
23.1
18.8
2
35%
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 34.5
15.6
19.2
6
77%
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.8
12.6
20.0
2
18%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.1
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.8
0.6
0
0-0
50%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.