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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets30%95116
4Mavericks70%102108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
44.4
26.6
13
53%
8
2
0
1
1
2
3
5
3-5
60%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.6
43.9
32.1
19
52%
10
5
0
1
0
3
4
6
1-1
100%
9-18
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.9
37.9
35.2
25
53%
4
6
2
1
0
3
1
3
7-8
88%
6-15
4-9
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.3
32.7
29.0
5
42%
5
2
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.5
15.9
19.3
4
50%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.7
38.9
25.1
26
77%
6
10
5
1
1
2
3
3
7-9
78%
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
3-5
60%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.5
24.7
13.4
16
47%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
6-13
2-4
46%
47%
1-3
33%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.6
12.9
21.6
4
58%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
7.4
15.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.2
6.4
28.1
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
6-10
33%
55%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.0
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.0
0.7
0
0-0
44%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.0
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.7
43.5
34.7
8
34%
11
10
4
2
2
0
0
11
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
42%
0-4
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.6
35.5
29.1
17
54%
9
2
1
1
2
2
5
4
3-4
75%
7-14
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
34.6
26.3
23
67%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.4
31.7
30.2
9
52%
14
0
0
0
3
3
7
7
3-6
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
62%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.5
10.3
37.4
5
51%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
9-17
50%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.6
40.1
26.7
17
50%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
33.1
32.8
14
47%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
2-5
40%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
20.1
14.3
4
34%
7
0
0
0
0
3
4
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
12.1
4.7
10
56%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
4.0
4.5
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.6
5.1
0
0-1
42%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
2.1
0
0-1
48%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.3
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.