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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers86%104103
29Nets14%9084
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.5
37.0
39.3
14
49%
14
6
1
1
0
1
2
12
4-5
80%
5-12
7-12
42%
57%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
36.1
36.9
3
30%
2
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
35.0
39.3
29
57%
10
5
2
2
1
2
2
8
4-6
67%
11-18
9-18
61%
52%
1-5
20%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.4
24.2
28.0
11
69%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.1
10.8
25.3
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
5-9
33%
58%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
25.4
29.0
14
78%
13
4
0
1
0
4
4
9
0-0
-
7-7
3-5
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
22.8
16.6
8
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
49%
2-3
67%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
21.2
16.4
14
78%
0
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
7-8
2-3
88%
49%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
10.7
2.5
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
6.9
1.9
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.4
6.5
2.5
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.8
3.3
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.7
39.8
33.8
18
47%
11
4
0
1
2
2
4
7
6-7
86%
6-16
7-13
38%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
37.8
33.9
20
46%
5
1
2
1
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
8-19
5-12
42%
46%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.8
36.9
30.6
21
77%
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
5
6-6
100%
6-7
4-9
86%
46%
1-4
25%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
34.5
22.6
6
31%
9
1
1
0
4
2
4
5
0-4
0%
3-8
3-5
38%
52%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
29.7
33.7
7
29%
5
2
1
1
2
0
0
5
1-2
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.8
21.0
22.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.4
17.0
22.6
4
25%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-6
29%
40%
0-1
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.5
10.6
13.1
5
87%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-2
50%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
4.8
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
4.6
4.3
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
3.3
18.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
41%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.4
12.9
0
1-2
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.4
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.1
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.