FinalWin Prob.pScore
1931%92
90
969%99
95
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
104.78691.8
HOU logo HOU
110.58680.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC90
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)90
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUMISS Brooks Free Throw 1 of 290
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)90
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUMISS Ariza 21' Pullup Jump Shot90
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 1:04OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Green 3 AST)90
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q4 - 1:06OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 1:07OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 1:15HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)87
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 1:15HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)87
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 1:26OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
3.5%
92
96.5%
Q4 - 1:26OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 286
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 1:40OKCThunder Rebound86
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 1:40OKCAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)86
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 1:44OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q4 - 1:46HOUMISS Brooks Running Layup86
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 2:04HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 2:06OKCAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)86
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 2:07OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 2:09OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot86
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 2:26HOUAndersen 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)86
5.2%
92
94.8%
Q4 - 2:47OKCGreen 11' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)86
6.8%
90
93.2%
Q4 - 3:08HOUHayes Layup (13 PTS)84
6.1%
90
93.9%
Q4 - 3:09HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)84
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q4 - 3:10HOUMISS Brooks 6' Running Jump Shot84
11.9%
88
88.1%
Q4 - 3:32HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)84
11.5%
88
88.5%
Q4 - 3:34OKCMISS Westbrook 23' Jump Shot84
12.7%
88
87.3%
Q4 - 3:56HOUAndersen Layup (8 PTS) (Ariza 6 AST)84
15.7%
88
84.3%
Q4 - 4:10OKCDurant 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Green 2 AST)84
20.9%
86
79.1%
Q4 - 4:25HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)82
15.5%
86
84.5%
Q4 - 4:25HOUAndersen Tip Shot (6 PTS)82
15.5%
86
84.5%
Q4 - 4:27HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)82
20.8%
84
79.2%
Q4 - 4:27HOUMISS Hayes Layup82
26.0%
84
74.0%
Q4 - 4:28HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)82
20.8%
84
79.2%
Q4 - 4:28HOUMISS Hayes Layup82
26.0%
84
74.0%
Q4 - 4:30HOUMISS Brooks 14' Running Jump Shot82
26.0%
84
74.0%
Q4 - 4:52OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q4 - 4:52OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 281
19.7%
84
80.3%
Q4 - 5:07OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
22.9%
84
77.1%
Q4 - 5:07HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 181
22.1%
84
77.9%
Q4 - 5:20OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
29.1%
82
70.9%
Q4 - 5:20OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)80
28.0%
82
72.0%
Q4 - 5:22OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
22.9%
82
77.1%
Q4 - 5:24HOUMISS Ariza Layup79
21.0%
82
79.0%
Q4 - 5:42OKCDurant 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
17.2%
82
82.8%
Q4 - 5:50OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
13.0%
82
87.0%
Q4 - 5:52HOUMISS Andersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q4 - 6:07HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q4 - 6:09OKCMISS Westbrook 18' Pullup Jump Shot77
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q4 - 6:30HOUAndersen 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)77
14.5%
82
85.5%
Q4 - 6:55OKCHarden Driving Slam Dunk (15 PTS)77
18.3%
80
81.7%
Q4 - 7:09OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
15.4%
80
84.6%
Q4 - 7:09HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 275
14.9%
80
85.1%
Q4 - 7:09HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 275
13.0%
80
87.0%
Q4 - 7:11HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
11.9%
80
88.1%
Q4 - 7:13OKCMISS Durant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot75
12.8%
80
87.2%
Q4 - 7:34HOUScola 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)75
15.4%
80
84.6%
Q4 - 7:44HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
19.0%
78
81.0%
Q4 - 7:45OKCMISS Westbrook Layup75
20.4%
78
79.6%
Q4 - 7:51OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
24.1%
78
75.9%
Q4 - 7:52HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)75
18.9%
78
81.1%
Q4 - 7:52HOUMISS Andersen Layup75
22.4%
78
77.6%
Q4 - 7:53HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
18.9%
78
81.1%
Q4 - 7:53HOUMISS Andersen Layup75
22.4%
78
77.6%
Q4 - 7:55HOUMISS Scola 6' Hook Shot75
22.4%
78
77.6%
Q4 - 8:12OKCCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
20.1%
78
79.9%
Q4 - 8:12OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q4 - 8:12OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
16.2%
78
83.8%
Q4 - 8:13OKCBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)73
14.0%
78
86.0%
Q4 - 8:33HOUScola 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)73
16.1%
78
83.9%
Q4 - 8:51OKCIbaka 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST)73
20.0%
76
80.0%
Q4 - 9:13OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
17.1%
76
82.9%
Q4 - 9:13HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 271
16.7%
76
83.3%
Q4 - 9:13HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 271
14.8%
76
85.2%
Q4 - 9:24HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q4 - 9:25OKCMISS Westbrook 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
14.9%
76
85.1%
Q4 - 9:44OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
17.1%
76
82.9%
Q4 - 9:45HOUMISS Andersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q4 - 10:13OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
14.6%
76
85.4%
Q4 - 10:13OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
14.1%
76
85.9%
Q4 - 10:24OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
12.0%
76
88.0%
Q4 - 10:25HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot69
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q4 - 10:43OKCIbaka Layup (8 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)69
9.8%
76
90.2%
Q4 - 10:48OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
8.0%
76
92.0%
Q4 - 10:49HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q4 - 11:09OKCIbaka 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)67
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q4 - 11:33HOUBrooks 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q4 - 11:53OKCCollison Foul Turnover (P1.T12)65
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKC65
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUBrooks 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)65
11.1%
72
88.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Ariza Layup62
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 1:00HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)60
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 1:23OKCGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)60
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q3 - 1:44HOULowry 16' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)57
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 2:02OKCCollison Layup (2 PTS)57
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 2:22OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 2:24HOUMISS Scola 21' Jump Shot55
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 2:46OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 2:46OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 2:54HOULowry Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)53
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 3:10OKCGreen 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS)53
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 3:24HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 3:24HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 251
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 3:36OKCWestbrook Layup (11 PTS)51
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 3:38OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 3:39OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 3:53HOUScola 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)49
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 4:06HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
3.3%
64
96.7%
Q3 - 4:07OKCMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot49
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q3 - 4:18HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)49
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q3 - 4:18HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)49
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 4:20HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)49
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 4:21HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 4:35OKCGreen 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)49
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 4:54HOUHayes Layup (11 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST)47
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 5:15HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 5:16OKCMISS Westbrook 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 5:27OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q3 - 5:28HOUMISS Brooks 10' Jump Shot47
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 5:46OKCIbaka 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Krstic 2 AST)47
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 5:59OKCThunder Rebound45
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 6:01HOUMISS Scola 8' Hook Shot45
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q3 - 6:12HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)45
3.9%
60
96.1%
Q3 - 6:13OKCMISS Westbrook Layup45
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 6:20OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 6:22HOUMISS Brooks 9' Running Hook Shot45
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 6:38OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 6:38OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q3 - 6:41HOUHayes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)43
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 6:56HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 6:57OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 7:10HOUBattier Layup (10 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)43
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q3 - 7:29OKCWestbrook Layup (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)43
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q3 - 7:47HOUScola Layup (9 PTS)41
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 7:48HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)41
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 7:48HOUMISS Scola Layup41
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 7:50HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 7:52HOUMISS Brooks 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 8:16HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 8:17OKCMISS Krstic 17' Jump Shot41
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 8:34HOUBattier Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)41
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q3 - 8:41HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
5.8%
54
94.2%
Q3 - 8:42OKCMISS Durant Layup41
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q3 - 8:47HOUBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)41
6.8%
54
93.2%
Q3 - 9:07OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P2.T11)41
6.0%
54
94.0%
Q3 - 9:26HOUAriza Layup (25 PTS)41
6.9%
54
93.1%
Q3 - 9:41HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q3 - 9:43OKCMISS Durant 16' Pullup Jump Shot41
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q3 - 9:57HOUScola 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)41
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q3 - 10:06OKCSefolosha Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)41
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q3 - 10:06OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q3 - 10:07HOUMISS Scola 12' Jump Shot41
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q3 - 10:31HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q3 - 10:31OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 241
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q3 - 10:31OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q3 - 10:35HOUBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)40
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q3 - 10:57OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)40
9.3%
50
90.7%
Q3 - 11:21OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q3 - 11:22HOUMISS Brooks 21' Step Back Jump Shot40
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q3 - 11:44HOUROCKETS Rebound40
9.6%
50
90.4%
Q3 - 11:45HOUMISS Ariza Layup40
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU40
9.6%
50
90.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound40
9.6%
50
90.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0OKCKrstic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)40
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUHayes Layup (9 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)38
8.7%
50
91.3%
Q2 - 1:01HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
10.4%
48
89.6%
Q2 - 1:02OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 1:22HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)38
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 1:28HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
14.7%
45
85.3%
Q2 - 1:30OKCMISS Westbrook Driving Layup38
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 1:37OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
15.9%
45
84.1%
Q2 - 1:39HOUMISS Hayes Dunk38
15.5%
45
84.5%
Q2 - 1:59OKCGreen Driving Layup (10 PTS)38
14.7%
45
85.3%
Q2 - 2:19OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q2 - 2:19HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 236
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 2:19HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
12.0%
45
88.0%
Q2 - 2:32HOULowry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)36
13.0%
44
87.0%
Q2 - 2:47HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 2:48OKCMISS Green 9' Jump Shot36
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 3:13HOUBattier Foul Turnover (P1.T4)36
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 3:18HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 3:19OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot36
15.1%
43
84.9%
Q2 - 3:36HOUHayes 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS)36
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 3:55HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
17.9%
41
82.1%
Q2 - 3:57OKCMISS Sefolosha Layup36
18.6%
41
81.4%
Q2 - 4:17HOUScola Layup (4 PTS)36
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 4:19HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
21.9%
39
78.1%
Q2 - 4:20HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 136
24.0%
39
76.0%
Q2 - 4:22HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 4:24HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 4:42OKCGreen 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)36
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 5:04HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)34
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 5:12OKCScola STEAL (1 STL)34
31.5%
33
68.5%
Q2 - 5:45HOUHayes Layup (5 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)34
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 5:51HOUROCKETS Rebound34
36.9%
31
63.1%
Q2 - 5:51HOUMISS Andersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 6:02OKCHarden Layup (6 PTS)34
36.2%
31
63.8%
Q2 - 6:17OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
34.1%
31
65.9%
Q2 - 6:19HOUMISS Ariza 12' Turnaround Jump Shot32
33.2%
31
66.8%
Q2 - 6:38OKCIbaka Layup (2 PTS)32
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 6:39OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 6:41OKCMISS Harden 6' Jump Shot30
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 6:58HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 7:04HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q2 - 7:06HOUMISS Lowry 19' Pullup Jump Shot30
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 7:22OKCGreen 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q2 - 7:40OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
24.3%
31
75.7%
Q2 - 7:42HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
23.6%
31
76.4%
Q2 - 7:46HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 7:47HOUMISS Lowry 13' Running Jump Shot28
23.6%
31
76.4%
Q2 - 7:57HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 7:58OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 8:04OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q2 - 8:06HOUMISS Budinger Layup28
23.6%
31
76.4%
Q2 - 8:10OKCLowry STEAL (1 STL)28
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q2 - 8:33HOUBudinger 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)28
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q2 - 8:48OKCLivingston 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)28
26.2%
29
73.8%
Q2 - 9:00OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 9:02HOUMISS Andersen 8' Hook Shot26
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q2 - 9:17OKCAriza STEAL (2 STL)26
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q2 - 9:43HOUAriza 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)26
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 10:01OKCIbaka Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
26.0%
27
74.0%
Q2 - 10:12HOUAriza 10' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)26
28.2%
27
71.8%
Q2 - 10:18HOUROCKETS Rebound26
30.2%
25
69.8%
Q2 - 10:19HOUMISS Budinger Layup26
31.9%
25
68.1%
Q2 - 10:37OKCDurant 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
30.2%
25
69.8%
Q2 - 10:47OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q2 - 10:49HOUMISS Andersen 15' Jump Shot24
27.5%
25
72.5%
Q2 - 11:08HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
26.0%
25
74.0%
Q2 - 11:10OKCMISS Durant 15' Jump Shot24
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q2 - 11:18HOUBrooks Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)24
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q2 - 11:26OKCHarden Tip Shot (4 PTS)24
26.0%
25
74.0%
Q2 - 11:26OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q2 - 11:27OKCMISS Harden 15' Jump Shot22
22.9%
25
77.1%
Q2 - 11:44HOUAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q2 - 11:44HOUAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU22
26.0%
23
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound22
26.0%
23
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady 14' Running Jump Shot22
27.5%
23
72.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0OKCWestbrook Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)22
26.1%
23
73.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Brooks 21' Pullup Jump Shot20
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0OKCWestbrook Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 1:04HOUAriza Driving Layup (10 PTS)18
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 1:13OKCBrooks STEAL (1 STL)18
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 1:36HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)18
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 1:48OKCHarden Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 2:08HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)16
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 2:30HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
28.0%
16
72.0%
Q1 - 2:32OKCMISS Westbrook 12' Running Jump Shot16
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 2:45OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 2:47OKCMISS Durant 15' Jump Shot16
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 2:58OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 2:59HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 3:24OKCGreen 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 3:50HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)14
25.9%
16
74.1%
Q1 - 4:07OKCAriza STEAL (1 STL)14
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 4:08OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
31.1%
13
68.9%
Q1 - 4:11HOUMISS McGrady Layup14
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 4:22OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 4:22OKCSefolosha Tip Shot (4 PTS)14
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 4:23OKCMISS Green 9' Hook Shot12
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 4:34OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 4:36HOUMISS Scola 8' Hook Shot12
26.8%
13
73.2%
Q1 - 4:54OKCDurant Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)12
25.6%
13
74.4%
Q1 - 5:01OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 5:03HOUMISS Scola Layup12
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 5:08HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
25.6%
13
74.4%
Q1 - 5:09OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot12
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 5:22HOUAriza Dunk (2 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)12
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 5:29HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
29.0%
11
71.0%
Q1 - 5:31OKCMISS Sefolosha 16' Pullup Jump Shot12
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 5:37OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
31.0%
11
69.0%
Q1 - 5:39HOUMISS McGrady Driving Layup12
30.4%
11
69.6%
Q1 - 5:53HOUROCKETS Rebound12
29.0%
11
71.0%
Q1 - 5:53OKCMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)12
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 6:01OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 6:03HOUMISS McGrady 22' Pullup Jump Shot12
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 6:35OKCKrstic Layup (4 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)12
28.7%
11
71.3%
Q1 - 6:50HOUBattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)10
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 7:13OKCDurant 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Krstic 1 AST)10
30.1%
8
69.9%
Q1 - 7:31OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
28.5%
8
71.5%
Q1 - 7:32HOUMISS Ariza 21' Jump Shot8
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 7:46HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 7:47OKCMISS Westbrook 12' Jump Shot8
27.3%
8
72.7%
Q1 - 8:00OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
28.5%
8
71.5%
Q1 - 8:01HOUMISS Brooks 21' Jump Shot8
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 8:18HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 8:19OKCMISS Krstic 21' Jump Shot8
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 8:32HOUHayes 8' Jump Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)8
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 8:51OKCDurant Layup (2 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)8
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 9:03HOUScola 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)6
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 9:10HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 9:12OKCMISS Sefolosha 9' Pullup Jump Shot6
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 9:26OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 9:27OKCMISS Green 12' Pullup Bank Shot6
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 9:33OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 9:34HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 9:52OKCKrstic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 9:52OKCKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 9:52OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 9:52OKCMISS Krstic Reverse Layup4
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 10:01HOUHayes Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)4
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 10:02OKCHayes STEAL (1 STL)4
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 10:07OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 10:09HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
27.6%
4
72.4%
Q1 - 10:21OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 10:21OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 10:22OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 10:23OKCScola BLOCK (1 BLK)2
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 10:44HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)2
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 10:56HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.0%
1
72.0%
Q1 - 10:58OKCMISS Krstic 8' Hook Shot2
28.5%
1
71.5%
Q1 - 11:12OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.9%
1
71.1%
Q1 - 11:12HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 2 of 22
28.7%
1
71.3%
Q1 - 11:12HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
28.1%
1
71.9%
Q1 - 11:29OKCSefolosha 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)2
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 11:40OKCThunder Rebound0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:42OKCMISS Green 10' Running Hook Shot0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Green: Tip to Krstic0
27.6%
0
72.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.00 50.0%
HOU
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
17
28
61%
HOU
14
29
48%
Midrange
OKC
16
38
42%
HOU
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
HOU
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
OKC
18
21
86%
HOU
11
21
52%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green2166%10.5 / 16
R. Westbrook1539%7.5 / 19
J. Harden1558%7.5 / 13
K. Durant1336%6.5 / 18
S. Ibaka10100%5.0 / 5
N. Krstic638%3.0 / 8
T. Sefolosha440%2.0 / 5
N. Collison4100%2.0 / 2
S. Livingston2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ariza3165%15.5 / 24
L. Scola1647%8.0 / 17
S. Battier1393%6.5 / 7
C. Hayes1365%6.5 / 10
D. Andersen1042%5.0 / 12
A. Brooks516%2.5 / 16
K. Lowry330%1.5 / 5
T. McGrady220%1.0 / 5
C. Budinger233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
75
+15
-11
90
HOU
78
+22
-8
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.00 50.0%
HOU
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
107.6
OKC 104.7
HOU 110.5 +5.8
Pace
93.3
94.1
OKC 91.8 +10.9
HOU 80.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.0
OKC 15.7 +2.1
HOU 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
49.4%
OKC 46.2%
HOU 46.7% +0.5%
TO %
15.1%
14.5%
OKC 12.1%
HOU 7.5% +4.6%
ORB %
28.6%
27.0%
OKC 30.0%
HOU 32.7% +2.7%
FTrt
33.3
29.2
OKC 26.9 +3.6
HOU 23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.5%
57.9%
OKC 42.9%
HOU 57.9% +15.0%
STL %
8.5%
7.5%
OKC 4.7%
HOU 7.0% +2.3%
BLK %
9.1%
5.8%
OKC 7.5%
HOU 7.6% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.5%
OKC 50.0% +3.0%
HOU 47.0%
Rim FG%
59.3%
55.7%
OKC 60.7% +12.4%
HOU 48.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.4%
OKC 42.1%
HOU 42.1%
3P %
34.0%
35.1%
OKC 16.7%
HOU 34.8% +18.1%
FT %
80.5%
77.3%
OKC 85.7% +33.3%
HOU 52.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.3%
OKC 35.9% +3.7%
HOU 32.2%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
36.2%
OKC 48.7%
HOU 42.2% +6.5%
3P Att. %
18.5%
26.5%
OKC 15.4%
HOU 25.6% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCHOU
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points9095
Rebounds4745
Assists1522
Steals46
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)28 (1)
Field Goals35-7838-90
At-the-Rim FG17-2814-29
Midrange FG16-3816-38
2-Point FG33-6630-67
3-Point FG2-128-23
Free Throws18-2111-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 21
41.0
15
39%
6
7
1
0
2
3
2
4
7-10
70%
4-12
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
39.4
21
66%
8
3
0
0
2
2
2
6
2-2
100%
8-14
57%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 240 · 21
36.3
13
36%
6
2
1
1
2
3
0
6
0-0
-
5-13
38%
1-5
20%
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
23.1
4
40%
8
1
2
0
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 26
20.6
6
38%
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 220 · 20
31.9
15
58%
3
0
0
1
0
4
2
1
5-5
100%
5-8
63%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 20
23.0
10
100%
8
0
0
2
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
5-5
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 29
17.6
4
100%
3
0
0
1
1
5
2
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 192 · 24
7.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 180 · 31
C · 6'10" 260 · 32
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
#5 · G · 6'6" 201 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · C · 7'0" 275 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'2" 195 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
50%
47
15
4
5
11
0
12
35
18-21
86%
33-66
50%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.