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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Thunder31%9290
9Rockets69%9995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
41.0
31.9
15
41%
6
7
1
1
0
2
2
4
7-10
70%
4-12
4-11
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
39.4
37.9
21
62%
8
3
0
1
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
8-14
4-9
57%
47%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.2
36.3
38.3
13
36%
6
2
1
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
5-13
7-14
38%
48%
1-5
20%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
23.1
22.2
4
40%
8
1
2
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
20.6
20.5
6
38%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.3
31.9
25.2
15
57%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
5-5
100%
5-8
2-6
63%
43%
0-3
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
23.0
16.8
10
100%
8
0
0
0
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.1
17.6
23.5
4
106%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.3
7.0
17.3
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 30.6
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.7
3.4
0
0-1
51%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
3.1
0
1-1
49%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.8
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
47.0
31.8
31
64%
8
6
2
2
1
1
1
7
4-10
40%
6-12
4-8
50%
49%
5-8
63%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.3
37.4
29.2
13
93%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
3-5
60%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.6
35.4
34.6
16
48%
8
1
1
1
1
0
3
5
2-4
50%
7-15
7-13
47%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.9
34.7
34.7
5
16%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-10
5-10
20%
47%
0-5
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.5
30.6
17.7
13
66%
15
2
1
1
0
2
8
7
1-2
50%
6-9
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.7
25.3
28.6
3
28%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.5
17.9
16.7
10
42%
4
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
7.7
12.5
2
20%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.6
4.1
17.9
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.3
20.0
0
4-7
57%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.0
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.0
0.8
0
0-0
41%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.3
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.