FinalWin Prob.pScore
2814%92
99
686%106
100
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
108.89183.0
SAS logo SAS
108.792101.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS99
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)99
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 0:01.0INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot99
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASDuncan 1' Dunk (19 PTS)99
15.1%
100
84.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)99
91.1%
98
8.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup99
95.9%
98
4.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)99
54.0%
98
46.0%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot99
64.7%
98
35.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)99
70.3%
98
29.7%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot99
64.0%
98
36.0%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)99
44.2%
98
55.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
57.0%
98
43.0%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)99
43.6%
98
56.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup99
55.9%
98
44.1%
Q4 - 1:12INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
42.5%
98
57.5%
Q4 - 1:12INDHibbert 1' Tip Shot (20 PTS)99
42.5%
98
57.5%
Q4 - 1:12INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot97
21.7%
98
78.3%
Q4 - 1:24INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
31.1%
98
68.9%
Q4 - 1:26SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot97
27.2%
98
72.8%
Q4 - 1:41INDRush 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)97
19.5%
98
80.5%
Q4 - 1:57SASParker 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)95
13.4%
98
86.6%
Q4 - 2:13INDParker STEAL (1 STL)95
19.0%
96
81.0%
Q4 - 2:32INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
32.4%
96
67.6%
Q4 - 2:33SASMISS Ginobili 14' Running Bank Shot95
27.8%
96
72.2%
Q4 - 2:56INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T9)95
19.4%
96
80.6%
Q4 - 3:10SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)95
30.8%
96
69.2%
Q4 - 3:25SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
37.7%
94
62.3%
Q4 - 3:26INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
42.4%
94
57.6%
Q4 - 3:43INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
45.6%
94
54.4%
Q4 - 3:44SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot95
42.6%
94
57.4%
Q4 - 3:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
35.9%
94
64.1%
Q4 - 3:52INDMISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot95
38.8%
94
61.2%
Q4 - 4:13SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)95
46.1%
94
53.9%
Q4 - 4:13SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
48.0%
93
52.0%
Q4 - 4:23INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)95
55.1%
92
44.9%
Q4 - 4:23INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)94
53.2%
92
46.8%
Q4 - 4:47SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
46.3%
92
53.7%
Q4 - 4:47SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)93
48.8%
91
51.2%
Q4 - 4:57SASHill Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)93
55.4%
90
44.6%
Q4 - 5:11INDMurphy 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)93
59.1%
89
40.9%
Q4 - 5:32SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)91
51.4%
89
48.6%
Q4 - 5:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)91
67.3%
86
32.7%
Q4 - 5:51INDMISS Rush 6' Jump Shot91
69.7%
86
30.3%
Q4 - 6:11SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)91
68.5%
86
31.5%
Q4 - 6:11SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 291
69.6%
85
30.4%
Q4 - 6:11SASSPURS Rebound91
68.0%
85
32.0%
Q4 - 6:11INDMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
70.1%
85
29.9%
Q4 - 6:37SASHill 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)91
74.9%
85
25.1%
Q4 - 6:56INDFord 2' Layup (14 PTS)91
79.9%
83
20.1%
Q4 - 7:24SASJefferson 1' Reverse Dunk (10 PTS)89
70.0%
83
30.0%
Q4 - 7:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
75.2%
81
24.8%
Q4 - 7:38INDDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)89
76.9%
81
23.1%
Q4 - 7:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)89
80.4%
81
19.6%
Q4 - 7:46SASDuncan 2' Layup (13 PTS)89
80.4%
81
19.6%
Q4 - 7:48SASMISS Hill 2' Layup89
86.7%
79
13.3%
Q4 - 8:05INDFord 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)89
80.6%
79
19.4%
Q4 - 8:29INDHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
76.3%
79
23.7%
Q4 - 8:30SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot87
74.9%
79
25.1%
Q4 - 9:01SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
67.7%
79
32.3%
Q4 - 9:02INDMISS Rush 12' Jump Shot87
69.3%
79
30.7%
Q4 - 9:18INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
72.8%
79
27.2%
Q4 - 9:19SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
71.4%
79
28.6%
Q4 - 9:32SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)87
68.0%
79
32.0%
Q4 - 9:39SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
73.0%
78
27.0%
Q4 - 9:40INDMISS Hibbert 18' Jump Shot87
74.4%
78
25.6%
Q4 - 9:56SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
77.4%
78
22.6%
Q4 - 9:56SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
77.9%
77
22.1%
Q4 - 10:16INDHibbert 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
78.2%
76
21.8%
Q4 - 10:31SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)85
74.2%
76
25.8%
Q4 - 10:51INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
78.3%
74
21.7%
Q4 - 10:51INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
77.8%
74
22.2%
Q4 - 11:21SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
71.1%
74
28.9%
Q4 - 11:21SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
71.9%
73
28.1%
Q4 - 11:26SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
75.4%
72
24.6%
Q4 - 11:27INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot83
76.6%
72
23.4%
Q4 - 11:43SASJefferson 3' Layup (6 PTS)83
79.1%
72
20.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND83
82.6%
70
17.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound83
85.4%
70
14.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Rush 40' 3PT Jump Shot83
83.5%
70
16.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
83.0%
70
17.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Bogans 8' Jump Shot83
82.2%
70
17.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDHansbrough 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)83
80.4%
70
19.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDPacers Rebound81
76.7%
70
23.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot81
75.7%
70
24.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDFord 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)81
73.3%
70
26.7%
Q3 - 1:06SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
66.4%
70
33.6%
Q3 - 1:06SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
67.2%
69
32.8%
Q3 - 1:23INDFord 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)79
71.0%
68
29.0%
Q3 - 1:46INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
66.5%
68
33.5%
Q3 - 1:48SASMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot77
65.3%
68
34.7%
Q3 - 2:05INDHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)77
58.8%
68
41.2%
Q3 - 2:25SASBogans 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)74
49.7%
68
50.3%
Q3 - 2:43INDFord 8' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)74
54.5%
66
45.5%
Q3 - 3:00INDPacers Rebound72
49.9%
66
50.1%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot72
45.6%
66
54.4%
Q3 - 3:19INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)72
42.4%
66
57.6%
Q3 - 3:29SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
34.3%
66
65.7%
Q3 - 3:29SASHill 1' Tip Shot (3 PTS)69
34.3%
66
65.7%
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS McDyess 1' Layup69
41.3%
64
58.7%
Q3 - 3:34SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)69
38.2%
64
61.8%
Q3 - 3:34SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 269
42.2%
64
57.8%
Q3 - 3:34SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 269
39.8%
64
60.2%
Q3 - 3:51INDFord 2' Layup (2 PTS)69
38.2%
64
61.8%
Q3 - 4:06SASBogans 1' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)67
33.7%
64
66.3%
Q3 - 4:27INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)67
37.1%
62
62.9%
Q3 - 4:33INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 4:36SASMISS Parker 1' Layup64
28.6%
62
71.4%
Q3 - 4:43INDMcDyess STEAL (2 STL)64
25.8%
62
74.2%
Q3 - 4:55INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 4:57SASMISS Parker 1' Layup64
28.6%
62
71.4%
Q3 - 5:08INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
24.9%
62
75.1%
Q3 - 5:08INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
24.5%
62
75.5%
Q3 - 5:22SASParker 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
22.3%
62
77.7%
Q3 - 5:44INDHead 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)62
25.0%
60
75.0%
Q3 - 5:50SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)60
22.4%
60
77.6%
Q3 - 5:55SASSPURS Rebound60
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 5:57SASMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q3 - 6:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)60
18.6%
60
81.4%
Q3 - 6:07INDMISS Rush 9' Jump Shot60
19.5%
60
80.5%
Q3 - 6:20INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 6:23SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot60
20.7%
60
79.3%
Q3 - 6:35SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 6:36INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot60
19.5%
60
80.5%
Q3 - 6:56SASBogans 3' Layup (10 PTS)60
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 7:01INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)60
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q3 - 7:04INDWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q3 - 7:06INDDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)57
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q3 - 7:14SASBogans 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)57
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q3 - 7:26INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
23.3%
55
76.7%
Q3 - 7:26INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
22.6%
55
77.4%
Q3 - 7:41SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
20.9%
55
79.1%
Q3 - 7:41SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 255
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q3 - 7:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q3 - 7:45INDMISS Murphy 3' Layup55
21.6%
54
78.4%
Q3 - 8:07INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
23.0%
54
77.0%
Q3 - 8:09INDMISS Hibbert 14' Turnaround Jump Shot55
21.1%
54
78.9%
Q3 - 8:32INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
23.0%
54
77.0%
Q3 - 8:33SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 255
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q3 - 8:33SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 255
21.1%
54
78.9%
Q3 - 8:48INDMurphy 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)55
20.3%
54
79.7%
Q3 - 8:58INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
18.1%
54
81.9%
Q3 - 8:59INDMISS Murphy 15' Jump Shot53
16.5%
54
83.5%
Q3 - 9:09INDDunleavy Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)53
17.7%
54
82.3%
Q3 - 9:09INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q3 - 9:09SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup52
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 9:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 9:12SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 9:36INDHibbert 11' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)52
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 9:42INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
12.1%
54
87.9%
Q3 - 9:43SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot50
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 9:55SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q3 - 9:56INDMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot50
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q3 - 10:06INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 10:07SASMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot50
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q3 - 10:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
10.5%
54
89.5%
Q3 - 10:15INDMISS Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
11.0%
54
89.0%
Q3 - 10:25SASJefferson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)50
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 10:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q3 - 10:31INDMISS Watson 2' Layup50
14.1%
52
85.9%
Q3 - 10:37INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q3 - 10:38SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q3 - 10:52INDMurphy 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)50
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q3 - 11:05SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q3 - 11:05SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q3 - 11:08INDDuncan STEAL (2 STL)48
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q3 - 11:16INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
15.1%
50
84.9%
Q3 - 11:17SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot48
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q3 - 11:38INDWatson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)48
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND45
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot45
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0INDHill STEAL (1 STL)45
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASMISS Hill 7' Jump Shot45
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)45
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Duncan Putback Dunk45
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASMISS Parker 2' Layup45
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0INDDuncan STEAL (1 STL)45
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T8)45
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 1:09INDHibbert 6' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)45
9.4%
50
90.6%
Q2 - 1:30INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
8.1%
50
91.9%
Q2 - 1:32SASMISS Mason Jr. 23' Jump Shot43
7.9%
50
92.1%
Q2 - 1:49INDDunleavy 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 2:04INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot41
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 2:17INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
5.7%
50
94.3%
Q2 - 2:17INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 2:20SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)39
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 2:43INDHansbrough 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)39
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 2:58INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 2:58SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 237
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q2 - 2:58SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 237
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 2:58SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q2 - 2:59INDMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot37
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 3:09INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 3:11SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q2 - 3:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q2 - 3:18SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 237
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 3:18SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 237
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 3:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q2 - 3:22INDDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)37
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 3:36SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 237
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 3:40SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
4.0%
49
96.0%
Q2 - 3:41INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 3:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)37
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 4:10INDMurphy 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 4:37SASMason Jr. 1' Layup (6 PTS)35
5.1%
46
94.9%
Q2 - 4:41SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 4:42INDMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 4:51SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)35
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 5:12INDHead 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
5.8%
44
94.2%
Q2 - 5:30SASMason Jr. 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)33
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 5:49INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
5.8%
42
94.2%
Q2 - 5:49INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 6:00INDPacers Rebound31
5.2%
42
94.8%
Q2 - 6:00SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot31
5.0%
42
95.0%
Q2 - 6:14INDHead 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
4.8%
42
95.2%
Q2 - 6:24SASParker 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
4.4%
42
95.6%
Q2 - 6:48INDHibbert 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
4.8%
40
95.2%
Q2 - 7:07INDPacers Rebound27
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 7:08SASMISS McDyess 2' Layup27
4.2%
40
95.8%
Q2 - 7:26SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
3.9%
40
96.1%
Q2 - 7:26INDMISS Head 18' Jump Shot27
4.0%
40
96.0%
Q2 - 7:52SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)27
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 8:03SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 8:04INDMISS Hansbrough 6' Jump Shot27
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 8:19SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)27
5.5%
38
94.5%
Q2 - 8:19SASBlair 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)27
5.5%
38
94.5%
Q2 - 8:21SASMISS Blair 1' Driving Layup27
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q2 - 8:21SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
6.1%
36
93.9%
Q2 - 8:21SASMISS Blair 8' Jump Shot27
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q2 - 8:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
6.1%
36
93.9%
Q2 - 8:25SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot27
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q2 - 8:45INDHibbert 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)27
6.1%
36
93.9%
Q2 - 9:09SASJefferson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)25
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 9:24INDHibbert 21' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)25
6.1%
34
93.9%
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Hill Free Throw Technical23
5.5%
34
94.5%
Q2 - 9:44INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
5.5%
34
94.5%
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot23
5.3%
34
94.7%
Q2 - 9:51INDBlair STEAL (1 STL)23
5.0%
34
95.0%
Q2 - 10:06SASBogans 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)23
5.7%
34
94.3%
Q2 - 10:12SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 10:13INDMISS Ford 9' Jump Shot23
7.1%
31
92.9%
Q2 - 10:22INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q2 - 10:22SASMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 223
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 10:22SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 10:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q2 - 10:31INDMISS Hansbrough 15' Jump Shot23
7.8%
30
92.2%
Q2 - 10:45INDPacers Rebound23
8.4%
30
91.6%
Q2 - 10:45SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot23
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q2 - 10:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q2 - 10:53SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot23
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q2 - 11:11INDDunleavy 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)23
7.7%
30
92.3%
Q2 - 11:19SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q2 - 11:31SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)21
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q2 - 11:32SASMISS Ginobili 18' Step Back Jump Shot21
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q2 - 11:42SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q2 - 11:44INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Hook Shot21
6.6%
30
93.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND21
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)21
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Layup21
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 0:12.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0INDMISS Hansbrough 15' Jump Shot21
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASBonner 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)21
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0INDMurphy 7' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)21
10.2%
25
89.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
9.2%
25
90.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot19
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 1:02SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
8.7%
25
91.3%
Q1 - 1:03INDMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 219
8.8%
25
91.2%
Q1 - 1:03INDMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 219
9.3%
25
90.7%
Q1 - 1:11SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
9.2%
25
90.8%
Q1 - 1:11SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
9.3%
24
90.7%
Q1 - 1:22SASSPURS Rebound19
10.3%
23
89.7%
Q1 - 1:22INDMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot19
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 1:37INDPacers Rebound19
10.9%
23
89.1%
Q1 - 1:39SASMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 119
10.9%
23
89.1%
Q1 - 1:50SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q1 - 1:52INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 219
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q1 - 1:52INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
13.1%
21
86.9%
Q1 - 1:57INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q1 - 1:58SASMISS Mason Jr. 15' Jump Shot18
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q1 - 2:05SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
11.3%
21
88.7%
Q1 - 2:06INDMISS Foster 17' Jump Shot18
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 2:26SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)18
12.1%
21
87.9%
Q1 - 2:40INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)18
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 2:40INDPacers Rebound18
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 2:40INDMISS Hansbrough 3PT Jump Bank Shot18
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 3:05SASGinobili 1' Layup (3 PTS)18
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 3:13SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
16.4%
16
83.6%
Q1 - 3:29INDRush 5' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
17.7%
15
82.3%
Q1 - 3:43SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 4:03INDRush 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)16
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 4:18SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)14
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 4:35SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 4:36INDMISS Murphy 9' Running Jump Shot14
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 4:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 4:46SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 5:13INDHibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)14
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 5:30SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)12
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 5:36SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
14.8%
11
85.2%
Q1 - 5:37SASMISS Parker 18' Pullup Jump Shot12
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 6:03INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)12
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 6:12SASMason Jr. 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
12.5%
11
87.5%
Q1 - 6:30INDHibbert 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)9
13.4%
9
86.6%
Q1 - 6:59SASBogans 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)7
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 7:17SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
13.1%
7
86.9%
Q1 - 7:18INDMISS Watson 17' Jump Shot7
13.5%
7
86.5%
Q1 - 7:28INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 7:29SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot7
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 7:46SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
13.1%
7
86.9%
Q1 - 7:47INDMISS Hibbert 7' Running Hook Shot7
13.5%
7
86.5%
Q1 - 7:57INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 7:59SASMISS Parker 4' Floating Jump Shot7
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 8:13INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)7
12.9%
7
87.1%
Q1 - 8:25SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)4
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 8:51INDDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
10.4%
7
89.6%
Q1 - 9:16SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
9.6%
7
90.4%
Q1 - 9:30SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
10.4%
5
89.6%
Q1 - 9:31SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot2
10.9%
5
89.1%
Q1 - 9:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
10.4%
5
89.6%
Q1 - 9:42INDMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot2
10.6%
5
89.4%
Q1 - 9:55SASParker 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
11.1%
5
88.9%
Q1 - 10:09INDDunleavy 6' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
11.9%
3
88.1%
Q1 - 10:20INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
11.2%
3
88.8%
Q1 - 10:20INDParker BLOCK (1 BLK)0
10.6%
3
89.4%
Q1 - 10:25SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
11.2%
3
88.8%
Q1 - 10:39INDMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)0
10.4%
3
89.6%
Q1 - 10:50SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
11.2%
3
88.8%
Q1 - 10:56INDBogans STEAL (1 STL)0
11.9%
1
88.1%
Q1 - 11:00INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
12.8%
1
87.2%
Q1 - 11:02INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
11.9%
1
88.1%
Q1 - 11:12SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.4%
1
87.6%
Q1 - 11:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.7%
1
88.3%
Q1 - 11:18SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 20
12.3%
1
87.7%
Q1 - 11:18SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
11.8%
1
88.2%
Q1 - 11:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 11:24INDMISS Hibbert 14' Jump Shot0
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:39INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Hook Shot0
12.9%
0
87.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Hibbert: Tip to McDyess0
12.4%
0
87.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.2%
SAS
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
13
20
65%
SAS
20
33
61%
Midrange
IND
20
44
45%
SAS
11
37
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
SAS
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
IND
15
18
83%
SAS
23
38
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Murphy2175%10.5 / 14
R. Hibbert2063%10.0 / 16
T. Ford1450%7.0 / 14
M. Dunleavy1150%5.5 / 11
B. Rush956%4.5 / 8
T. Hansbrough945%4.5 / 10
L. Head975%4.5 / 6
D. Jones338%1.5 / 4
E. Watson330%1.5 / 5
J. Foster0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1948%9.5 / 20
T. Parker1533%7.5 / 23
K. Bogans1488%7.0 / 8
M. Ginobili1365%6.5 / 10
G. Hill1260%6.0 / 10
R. Jefferson1056%5.0 / 9
M. Bonner788%3.5 / 4
R. Mason Jr.638%3.0 / 8
A. McDyess220%1.0 / 5
D. Blair225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
82
+9
-9
91
SAS
84
+19
-8
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.2%
SAS
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
110.4
IND 108.8 +0.1
SAS 108.7
Pace
97.0
91.5
IND 83.0
SAS 101.8 +18.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
16.0
IND 17.3
SAS 14.2 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
51.5%
IND 51.9% +6.6%
SAS 45.3%
TO %
14.7%
14.1%
IND 10.1%
SAS 8.1% +2.0%
ORB %
21.6%
26.8%
IND 17.5%
SAS 36.7% +19.2%
FTrt
29.6
29.6
IND 22.2
SAS 44.7 +22.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
58.1%
IND 38.5%
SAS 50.0% +11.5%
STL %
7.4%
6.9%
IND 5.5%
SAS 8.7% +3.2%
BLK %
8.0%
6.9%
IND 14.3% +8.0%
SAS 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
54.0%
IND 53.2% +4.7%
SAS 48.5%
Rim FG%
57.4%
62.2%
IND 65.0% +4.4%
SAS 60.6%
Mid FG%
39.8%
40.7%
IND 45.5% +15.8%
SAS 29.7%
3P %
34.8%
35.8%
IND 35.3% +2.0%
SAS 33.3%
FT %
77.5%
74.0%
IND 83.3% +22.8%
SAS 60.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
36.1%
IND 24.7%
SAS 38.8% +14.1%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
40.6%
IND 54.3%
SAS 43.5% +10.8%
3P Att. %
27.8%
23.2%
IND 21.0% +3.3%
SAS 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDSAS
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points99100
Rebounds3851
Assists1518
Steals58
Blocks104
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)18 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (6)33 (2)
Field Goals39-8136-85
At-the-Rim FG13-2020-33
Midrange FG20-4411-37
2-Point FG33-6431-70
3-Point FG6-175-15
Free Throws15-1823-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'2" 270 · 23
34.7
20
63%
7
3
1
6
2
4
2
5
2-2
100%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 245 · 30
27.5
21
75%
7
1
0
1
1
5
1
6
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 230 · 29
27.3
11
50%
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
0-5
0%
G · 6'6" 225 · 29
25.7
3
38%
1
0
0
0
2
4
1
0
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 199 · 31
22.7
3
30%
5
5
2
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
28.9
9
56%
4
1
0
2
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 165 · 27
25.4
14
50%
2
5
0
1
2
1
0
2
2-4
50%
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
· 6'9" 250 · 24
23.4
9
45%
6
0
0
0
1
4
1
5
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
21.5
9
75%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
#32 · · 6'10" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'1" 175 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
53%
38
15
5
10
9
0
7
31
15-18
83%
33-64
52%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.