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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards26%10495
7Suns74%112121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
28.6
37.4
15
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-11
6-12
55%
49%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
28.4
40.9
10
51%
4
3
1
2
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
6-13
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.1
26.4
34.7
3
45%
6
1
0
1
3
1
2
4
1-3
33%
1-2
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
24.3
38.5
22
45%
4
3
2
1
1
2
1
3
7-8
88%
3-16
6-13
19%
46%
3-5
60%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
11.6
20.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
27.9
18.9
20
86%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
6-6
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
21.9
19.9
7
37%
9
0
0
1
1
3
5
4
1-1
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.2
19.3
5.8
13
67%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-4
25%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
19.1
2.4
2
17%
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-5
0-1
20%
49%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
18.5
8.3
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.5
14.0
11.2
1
11%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
1.9
0
0-0
57%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.1
31.9
40.1
23
60%
14
1
0
1
0
2
5
9
5-5
100%
9-17
9-16
53%
57%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.9
29.6
36.8
15
56%
7
15
0
1
0
3
1
6
3-3
100%
6-10
6-10
60%
55%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.6
27.2
32.3
14
59%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
25.4
26.4
22
60%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
9-14
3-6
64%
52%
1-4
25%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.2
24.9
33.5
8
82%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
4-4
5-10
100%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
25.0
11.5
8
57%
5
0
0
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
54%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
22.6
20.8
12
68%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
20.5
31.6
6
60%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.9
12.0
5.6
7
45%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.7
12.0
3.5
5
51%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.9
9.0
4.1
1
17%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.0
1.8
0
0-0
46%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.7
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.