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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves8%85104
1Celtics92%104122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.9
37.9
26.4
18
52%
6
6
1
1
3
0
2
4
2-5
40%
5-12
2-6
42%
41%
2-3
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.0
33.6
32.4
20
53%
11
0
1
1
0
1
5
6
2-2
100%
9-18
7-14
50%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.8
30.9
30.9
8
37%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-9
4-10
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 20.9
30.6
27.0
21
63%
2
2
1
1
0
4
1
1
4-4
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
42%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.3
28.5
31.9
15
77%
11
5
1
1
0
1
5
6
4-4
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
45%
1-1
100%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
17.4
20.5
11
50%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
5-7
71%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.1
16.6
13.8
3
28%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.2
15.8
10.3
8
106%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
4-4
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.2
14.3
12.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.1
10.7
17.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 24.0
3.7
5.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.3
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.6
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.2
34.4
33.9
29
85%
7
4
0
1
0
2
1
6
7-7
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
51%
6-6
100%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.8
32.6
36.6
13
50%
2
15
3
2
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
6-11
6-11
55%
54%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.4
30.0
35.1
20
63%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
3-6
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.1
29.9
29.5
14
70%
11
3
0
0
3
6
4
7
0-0
-
7-10
5-8
70%
61%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
27.9
31.6
10
85%
8
1
0
1
2
1
0
8
2-2
100%
4-5
6-12
80%
55%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.9
24.5
17.5
15
68%
6
3
1
1
1
0
0
6
5-7
71%
5-8
2-5
63%
52%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.3
20.3
13.9
10
64%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
13.8
12.4
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.6
12.1
16.0
7
43%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
7.7
8.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
3.4
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
3.4
1.0
4
72%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.9
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.2
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.