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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings40%96102
24Bulls60%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
44.4
35.1
23
50%
8
3
2
1
0
3
1
7
6-9
67%
7-18
7-13
39%
49%
1-1
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
39.6
36.9
14
50%
7
2
2
1
0
3
4
3
2-2
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.6
21.8
22.5
6
44%
5
1
0
0
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
16.4
21.1
3
20%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
15.4
29.3
4
41%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
3-7
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
23.3
15.6
17
86%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
3-5
60%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
23.1
31.3
16
65%
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
3-4
75%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.5
19.6
8.5
10
73%
3
7
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
16.8
3.7
0
0%
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.8
16.0
16.9
9
61%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
1-3
33%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.4
3.6
14.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.7
2.2
0
0-1
47%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
42.6
38.9
26
66%
5
2
2
1
1
3
3
2
3-4
75%
10-15
7-14
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.2
41.3
35.5
24
54%
3
7
0
1
1
3
1
2
6-7
86%
9-19
8-17
47%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.0
40.6
35.2
14
48%
4
4
6
1
1
5
0
4
5-6
83%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
39.5
36.9
10
53%
10
2
0
1
1
5
2
8
0-1
0%
5-9
5-9
56%
53%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.7
21.9
22.9
0
0%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.0
32.2
31.2
14
68%
8
2
0
1
0
0
2
6
2-3
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
21.9
24.2
10
48%
9
0
0
1
0
2
4
5
2-3
67%
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.2
0.1
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.3
5.6
0
1-2
46%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
5.5
0
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
2.5
0
0-1
51%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.0
2.4
0
0-0
37%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.